Good news, y'all. There is a preeminent sports betting site which can be found at www.scoresandodds.com. In addition to giving the spread and totals
and major injuries for all the major American sports, it has a feature you can click on called "Matchup." If you click on this, you will get tons of
typical gambler info, like how these teams have done vs. the spread in their last umpteen games: (1) against each other; (2) on the road; (3) at home;
(4) on grass; (5) on artifical turf; (6) and a billion other things.
You also get one very other interesting feature. They have a computer which I think is like the one Vegas and the islands use to set their spreads,
minus the adjustments for how the idiotic herd will pile up and bet
. And when their computer differs from the actual spread by something like
six or more points, they put a big green star on the game, which means something like: "Although this info is provided for news matter only, you might
want to bet your brains out on this one."
In my experience, their computer is correct noticeably more than half of the time, though nothing like 70% of the time. Of course, one only needs to
be right 52.38% of the time to.... Stop! I'm not going there. I am a recovered sports gambler and don't care whatever percentage one needs to beat
an 11/10 book.
But here is what I DO CARE ABOUT:
Scores and Odds has the current spread at USC by 7-1/2, assuming that key Texas players are not suspended prior to gametime for whatever
transgressions they're supposed to have committed. Thus, the perception is that the public is going to bet the bejesus out of USC, even at that
number, and that they'd better put the number that high or they'll get killed if Texas fails to cover.
Do you know what the computer's spread for the game is?
Are you going to take my word for this?
Most of you have known me for some time now. Will you believe me, even if it's a huge disparity?
The computer says TEXAS BY FOUR POINTS. Yes, that's right. No misprint. An 11.5 difference from what the sportsbooks have.
I'm so far in debt, a few more grand won't matter much, and I LOVE my chances on this one. I have a friend who lives right across the border, in
Tahoe, and unlike me had the good sense to go in to a field of law which pays tons of money, so he could go right on over to Stateline and plunk down
however much money I wanted to get myself in trouble over, lol.
DAMN, that's a big swing between those spreads. What do y'all think. Here is the million-dollar question:
If this game turns into a shootout, can Texas's offense stay with USC's and wind up with one of these 51-47 scores?
Many of y'all are from the South, and I believe several are Texans. I know for sure what sort of a religion Texas football is in that state. And you
know for sure what sort of awesome offense USC has when it's clicking. Despite its embarrassing performance against A&M, which I'm sure was a case of
their looking ahead to Colorado and the title game, are Texas's offense and defense up to matching USC blow for blow, if it turns into one of those
Y'already know what I think from watching them this season: The wrong team's favored. NOW I see an 11.5 point chasm between the time I like to win
and the one bettors like to win. Isn't that DAMN hard to avoid???
Any informed, statistically detailed info from neutral parties, or from parties who can present their case in a detached manner, will be enormously