posted on Oct, 18 2005 @ 06:48 PM
So, is this going to be 1986 all over again, with a team up 3-1, on their home field, one out away from the World Series, then losing to a devastating
HR and going quietly in Games 6 and 7 at the other team's park? That's exactly what happened to the Angels in 1986, and the fact they had a 300-game
winner pitch part of Game 7 (Don Sutton) helped them not a whit.
OR, is this going to be like 1975? The Big Red Machine, with arguably the greatest second baseman ever (I think so), and arguably the greatest
catcher ever (I don't think so, but MANY do), ahead 6-3 in the 8th inning, and only 4 outs from winning it all, only to have journeyman nobody Bernie
Carbo break their hearts with a magnificent 3-run HR. And then Fisk, having the defining moment of his Hall of Fame career at a tender age, hitting
that never-to-be-forgotten home run off the foul pole in the 12th to win Game Six and complete the Bosox's resurrection from the dead.
Then came Game 7. In Fenway. The Red Sox ablaze from the glory of the previous night. They take a 3-0 lead in the 3rd inning. The crowd is going
insane. They carry the lead into the 6th inning. Then Tony Perez hits a 2-run HR to cut it to 3-2. Then the Reds score another run in the seventh,
tying it, and Fenway gets very nervous. Then arguably the greatest World Series ever ends with Morgan's single in the 9th driving in the winning run
and the Reds holding on for a 4-3 victory.
MORAL: The fact the Astros suffered a devastating blow does NOT mean they are going to roll over and play dead for two games, just because the 1986
Angels did. The 1975 Reds suffered every bit as devastating a blow when they lost what is probably still regarded by expert consensus as the greatest
World Series game ever, and they fell behind 3-0 on the road in Game 7, but they got up off the mat and won.
Houston has a pitcher who, in my opinion, is the greatest right-hander in MLB history, pending the remainder of Pedro's career. Yeah, Sutton was not
enough for the Angels in 1986, but Clemens in 2005 is not remotely comparable to Sutton in 1986, nor is Clemens' career remotely comparable to that of
Sutton, whom many felt had no business being elected to the Hall (career "adjusted ERA" only 8% better than league averages).
CAN St. Louis come back? Obviously, and there's a substantial chance that they will. But do I think they will? Hell, no. They have to beat two
great pitchers. IF they get to the Game 7, He will be breathing fire, carrying His 7th ERA title with Him (and if your name is not Lefty Grove, who
won NINE such titles (!), you've never won more than 5). And don't you know He wants like hell to avenge His mediocre performance in last year's Game
I'll put my money on Houston.