Since the 1970's opec has never been able to control the price of oil....They try to give the apprerance they can but they cant.
The 1970's oil shock was a supply problem, the run up in price over the last few years was actually a result of demand i.e. economic growth in china
and India.
The war in Iraq has added a so called terror premium to the price of oil.....estimates very as to what the terror premium actually is but suffice to
say its anywhere from $5-$15 a barrel.
The world is awash in oil right now....storage levels are at decade highs.
However, none of this means that oil cant go higher...a terrorist attack or war with Iran could easily send oil over $100 a barrel. Also the long
term trend in price is up.
I think the bottom line as far as Iran is concerned is that higher oil prices enable them to continue funding terrorist and buying expensive military
hardware from Russia and china so its in their best interest to talk up the price of oil.
Winter is the excuse to achive their objective.
[edit on 12-12-2006 by etshrtslr]

