posted on Nov, 10 2006 @ 01:08 AM
The Democrats should probably go hardcore on Iraq, if not much else. They should make themselves intractable so that Bush has to veto a few proposals-
I won't go so far as to say that they should attempt to save Iraq for 2008, because first of all that's just evil and second the Republicans will
figure it out and withdraw. They do however need to be seen forcing the issue down the throat of the Republicans so that the Republicans can't fall
back on the cooperation thing. The democrats have done a great job at looking like the aggressors and they need to press that advantage now so that
the Democrat Congress is seen as chasing the Republicans out of Iraq when Bush was trying desperately to stay in, even though the truth will be that
there was no way around beginning to pull down in the next 2 years, politically speaking.
I'd be shocked to see either party walk the talk on immigration. The other day I heard the phrase "one element of comprehensive reform that we can
certainly pass". OK, pardon my ignorance, but if you start severing things from a comprehensive plan, doesn't it cease to be comprehensive and
become just one thing? Maybe a little amnesty, maybe some funding, maybe a wall and maybe not, but don't think for one minute that the Dems are going
to stop a demographic shift that favors them, or that the Republicans will suddenly get off their butts now that they no longer have the means to do
Economics are definately the issue when it comes to backing up the dirty tricks with actually being electable. We're in economic trouble, and the
window of time when that works in the favor of democrats is rapidly closing. If the cycle doesn't boom again before 2010, the Democrats are going to
start to falter. Problem for the dems is that I'm not so sure we're at the half-way point yet... the stock market looks good but in some areas a
dollar just doesn't go as far- in gold the stockmarket is nowhere near a record- only in dollars. So the dems have got to help create a bottom to the
cycle right where we are and get things trending upwards so that around 2008/9 the average citizen starts to at least feel as prosperous as he
did a few years ago when his house was worth more than he paid for it and 2.50 seemed like a lot to pay for gas.
Personally I'd think about home buying incentives for the high end of the working class and the lower middle class, throwing a few bones towards
organized labor in construction, and making sure the construction companies get hit a bit extra on taxes- home building will slow a bit and
construction costs there will go up a bit and this is gonna pull on the home market from the supply side a little bit, hopefully resulting in
Democratic constituents buying homes and seeing them hold their value or maybe even appreciate a tad.
There is almost no way the Democrats are going to wage an effective campaign to reduce energy prices in 2 years, so I think that's a battle they want
to save until they run the government. It's going to take them 8 years of control to push through a comprehensive energy policy. They're better off
playing tricks on this subject- play hide the pricetag by lowering excise taxes and maybe even subsidizing it with tax rebates for the working class
and jacking it up on corporations who will just hand the tax right back to us at the register, then fix it for real later. That might sound cynical
but let's face it, the average voter is a little on the stupid side and if you tell them the truth (we need 8 years to give you results) they're
gonna vote for whoever is unscrupulous enough to do what you refused to do.
I'm not saying they can't do ANYTHING ligit on energy prices- they can tug on the demand side a little bit if they're willing to shell out big
bucks in incentives for carpooling, public transportation, etc, but that just amounts to a subsidy until you build the good habit enough that you can
reduce the benefits and hope that the good behavior continues.
Long story short, they are up against some seriously tough issues. They don't have to play them smart to win because the average voter wont know the
difference, but they'll win bigger if they play it smart... as long as they know when to suppliment good government with good public relations, ie:
lying your butt off.