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Get Ready for Peak Grain

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posted on Nov, 2 2006 @ 03:56 AM
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The world's cereal grains are now at historic lows not seen since the early 1970's. Major price hikes in food are coming, as peak grain now joins the ranks of peak oil, peak water and peak fish. The FAO says world hunger is increasing, and in six of the last seven years, global population has eaten significantly more grains than farmers could produce.




Next spring may be a good time to bring back the victory garden.


Grain Drain: Get Ready for Peak Grain Energy Bulletin

Now’s the time to brace yourself for major price hikes in food, as peak grains join the lineup of lifestyle-changing events along with peak oil and peak water.

Unless this year’s harvest is unexpectedly different from six out of the last seven years, the world’s ever-decreasing number of farmers do not produce enough staple grains to feed the world’s ever-increasing number of people. That’s been a crisis of quiet desperation over the past decade for the 15,000 people who die each day from hunger-related causes. It’s about to cause a problem for people who assumed that the sheer unavailability of food basics, usually seen as a problem of dire poverty, would never cause a problem for them.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


Grain stockpiles at lowest for 25 years Financial Times

The world’s stockpiles of wheat are at their lowest level in more than a quarter century, according to the US Department of Agriculture, which on Thursday slashed its forecasts for global wheat and corn production.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


Drought in Australia Helps Push Wheat Prices to a 10-Year High NYTimes

Analysts estimate that the wheat crop in Australia, one of the world’s largest wheat exporters, might fall to 10.5 million metric tons, a decline of 58 percent from last year’s crop.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


Prices rally for corn, wheat, soybeans Aberdeen News

"It's really pretty unusual to see this kind of rally or any kind of price rally going into or during harvest," said Alan May, marketing specialist for South Dakota State University Cooperative Extension Service.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


Wheat Prices May Reach Record Bloomberg

A growing scarcity of wheat may send prices for the world's most-planted crop to their highest in the next six months, threatening to spur inflation in China and India and increase costs for food companies.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


Wheat prices raise fears of supply crisis Financial Times

The rise in the prices of wheat and other grains has led analysts to caution that the world could face a crisis within the next ­12 months if there is another ­disappointing year of global ­production.

Food companies, already under pressure from high energy prices (which raise packaging and transportation costs), are feeling the impact of higher wheat and grain prices and are passing some of the cost on to customers. Food commodities overall are higher than they were a year ago, with increases in the price of rice, wheat, barley, oats, corn, cocoa and coffee offsetting declines in butter and milk, according to Bernstein Research.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.




More grain charts here

Are we hearing the third horseman approaching?

Climate change, widespread drought and global desertification is crippling our agricultural base and the rising demand for bio-fuels to offset oil prices is also bearing down on food production.

New fuels depleting food supply Globe and Mail

Crude oil is set to rise after elections and this will exacerbate it all. So along with peak grain, plan on peak meat and peak dairy to follow in the coming weeks, and I hope your pantries are already full.

Peak mayhem is coming...























[edit on 2-11-2006 by Regenmacher]




posted on Nov, 2 2006 @ 06:08 AM
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Regenmacher,

Thanks for the post, good stuff. People who live in urban areas may not realize how dependent we have become to relatively small number of large corporations for our food. To me this is a very disturbing situation when I think of the millions who live in the large metropolitan areas and are 3 days from a barbaric situation if the supply lines, or the picket lines, or the corporations themselves caused a disruption in food supplies.

Remember - you can't eat a sidewalk.

The small-sized farms, which used to produce the majority of our food crops through cooperatives are all but gone and replaced with the behemoths that have gobbled up land into their corporations. Corporations don't bother me - I'm a firm capitalist - but the oligopoly that has formed over the years should concern everyone. All it takes is a couple of mergers and you're looking at a monopoly on our grown foods. Moreover, the smaller the number of sellers in the majority of the food source chaing, the less we have control - well, for that matter KNOWLEDGE - of what decisions are being made about the treatment of our food.



posted on Nov, 2 2006 @ 10:09 AM
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New fuels depleting food supply Globe and Mail

This link says it best for me. When the capitalists see more profit in fuel than food, they will do whatever it takes to compete tooth and nail to grow their money 'trees' in whatever form is cheapest and most cost efficient (to them).

The hungry be damned. It's still about the profits, not people.

Why can't people start using some common sense and use the energy God has given us to grow our food AND cut our use of fossel fuels that are costing us so dearly?




Dawn of the "Solar Salon" in US Living Rooms



In this undated handout photo from Solar Systems shows a solar power plant in the Mojave Desert with panels reflecting light up to a central tower, similar to the one the Australian government announced Wednesday, Oct. 25, 2006 will help build the largest solar power plant in the world as part of a new strategy to combat global warming.The government, under fire for refusing to sign the Kyoto Protocol on reducing greenhouse gas emissions, will contribute 75 million Australian dollars (US$57 million; euro45 million) to the A$420 million (US$319 million; euro254 million) project to built a 154 megawatts solar power plant in Victoria state which will use mirrored panels to concentrate the sun's rays, Treasurer Peter Costello said. (AP Photo/Solar Systems,HO)




posted on Nov, 2 2006 @ 10:52 AM
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All the grains shot up this morning. It's not looking good for consumer prices, when corn is breaking resistance at $3.50 and some are now speculating corn is going to $5/bushel.

Grains, Soybeans Advance



posted on Nov, 2 2006 @ 04:23 PM
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ok having 20,000+ acres of corn i can tell you in northern Indiana the crop yield has never been better! EVER and if you can find a place that sells corn for 5 bucks I WANT TO KNOW WHERE b/c I have never seen it. Anyways the world has so much food to feed everyone. We have a midsize farm and where producing millions of bushels! Most of our corn goes to china for them only for the reason that the FDA doesn’t come out to places and give them approval for "our" food you could image it would be a expensive process



posted on Nov, 2 2006 @ 07:26 PM
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Only When the last Fish is caught, The last tree cut down and the last river polluted will Mankind realise that he cant eat money.



posted on Nov, 2 2006 @ 08:06 PM
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Peak Grain isn't written in stone and in fact sounds like a HUGE opportunity for improved farming practices.

Skyscraper Urban Organic Farming

Kinsale Energy Descent Plan (PDF Warning)

Of course the Doomers out there will tell you it's all for naught and you might as well kiss your ass goodbye, I disagree with them completely and find their inaction to be further endangering our species. Nihilism at it's worst. Hope you guys aren't doomers.


Gaviotas

Here is an inspirational group.

[edit on 2-11-2006 by sardion2000]

[edit on 2-11-2006 by sardion2000]



posted on Nov, 2 2006 @ 09:27 PM
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Originally posted by engenerQ
ok having 20,000+ acres of corn i can tell you in northern Indiana the crop yield has never been better! EVER and if you can find a place that sells corn for 5 bucks I WANT TO KNOW WHERE b/c I have never seen it.


Corn hits 10-year high CNN

Today, Jul 07 futures hit a high $3.80, $4.00 is the next resistance level.

Saying "never seen it" would imply you have no knowledge of grain prices, considering corn hit $5.54 1/2 in 1996.


Thursday Corn Comment
The corn market found very few resting sell orders above the market maybe causing some of the big move higher in corn. Who is going to sell corn? The farmer? He thinks corn is going to $5. Open interest was up almost another 10,000 contracts.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


Desertification and drought means the grain surplus is dwindling, and it doesn't matter to the poor if there's tons of grain in storage when they can't afford it.



posted on Nov, 2 2006 @ 09:35 PM
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Originally posted by engenerQ
ok having 20,000+ acres of corn i can tell you in northern Indiana the crop yield has never been better!


Interesting.... so what's your take on the futures prices? bubble? what month is this year's harvest going to hit the market? Sorry.. jsut an inquisitive speculator here, ever on the look out for trading ideas..



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