posted on Oct, 22 2006 @ 01:17 PM
South Korea, on their own, could easily defeat the North in a conventional battle. They outnumber them in all relevant areas of air, land and sea
power and they have HUGE technologic advantage (200 odd F-16C.30/.50 vs. 50+25 MiG-23/29) besides.
Our role is merely to act as turn-key on whatever atomic stockpiles are there or 'could be' present to ensure that the North does not attempt a
About the dumbest element of the entire ROK situation is the relative ease with which Seoul can be reached with even conventional artillery from
hillside redoubts along the DMZ; making desultory brinksmanship all too tempting to the insane bastards across the wire.
Yet for all this, 'Assuming nothing changes'; the best Kim Jong Il can hope for is to live out his life like his Pop, hated and mocked as a
reclusive despot with Hollywood Dreams. More Khaddafy than Kruschyev.
Because while he could certainly despoil the ROK with a major atomic attack there and perhaps Japan, it would only be China that he was serving in the
long run and he fears them as much if not more than U.S. as they hold his trade tail and can give it a good yank whenever they wish.
The PRC itself doesn't want this to end however as they use our 'defense' of Taiwan and Korea as a stalking horse justification to bleed us white
with excessive defense spending and at the same time, they cannot afford the embarrassment of a flourishing, united, Korea because they are the ones
who propped up Kim Il Sung to begin with and it would defacto mean admitting that 50 odd years of hereditary communist stupidity was entirely their
That Pyongyang is something like 250 miles from Beijing doesn't help of course but the sad fact is that, if it were simply a matter of conventional
force, we should have let the ROK 'have their way' with their DPRK neighbors a /long/ time ago.
As is, Kim Jong Il has undoubtedly realized that, all his drama queen antics aside, we are simply waiting out the loyalties if not lifespan of a punk
ass petty tyrant (in the literal Greek sense) and nothing he does about it, conventionally, will make a difference.
Nothing he does about it with nukes will either. Except to make other people's lives (selling to terrorists etc.) miserable with his passing.
Nations smaller than Continent size should not have nukes for the same reason that 3 year olds shouldn't be given loaded guns. They have no idea
what they are risking and no /care/ that they could cost others that they SHOULD care about everythning because they are too much a bunch of tiny ass
runts with attitudes compensating for assets as they bark like little dogs thinking they can win the world over with fierceness.
For this too, I hold the PRC collectively to blame as they have propped up Norkia's short-person psychology even as I acknowledge that their
diversionary politics are successfully taking us out of the game with a runaway global-cop insanity of spending on things not directly related to our
own 'self defense' through economic betterment and self-ownership.