Refresher course on the circumstances I suppose. I'm also thinking of moving this to the Disinfo forum, since it seems a better fit.
The following images are from this link
Another Crater Shot
The Wide, Low Angle View
The Bird's Eye View
I've never seen a satisfactory explanation for the size of that crater. Anyone who has played with firecrackers knows that they blow up and out.
The air offers much less resistance than the ground. The force of the explosion will not go down through resistance if it can go up with little
It seems to me that the bomb would have to be buried, dropped from the air, or at least packed into a shaped charge angled down into the road, to
create that sort of impression.
I'm guessing that someone would have noticed if the explosive was air-dropped, so that leaves a buried charge or a shaped charge, or some
unconventional explosive that blossoms so rapidly, and with such heat, that it can open up a crater that size.
BTW, how the Hell do you pack a 2 ton shaped charge into a minivan, nevermind drive it to its destination?
Forgetting that for a second, why would they align the charge to shoot down, if Hariri's car was passing on the side? Why not angle it sideways?
There's so much about this event I don't understand, and I'd like very much to have more information, but sadly, that isn't possible. The
information is not widely available, so all we're left with is broad statements in the media that draw our conclusions for us, and do
so by alluding to facts attested to by one expert or another.
I have absolutely no agenda on this thing, I really just want to know what happened. I'm sure there are others who are similarly curious. It would
be nice to see the data used by these experts to draw their conclusions, so we can have a better idea of just how feasible said conclusions are.
I know one thing for sure. Cratering charges are rated according to their effectiveness when buried - they're not rated in the open air (meaning
there isn't any easily referenced chart, that I'm aware of, on the damage they produce in varying quantities outside the ground) because they're
basically useless in that environment. They'll make a lot of smoke and noise, and do very little damage.
Of course, I have absolutely no frame of reference for explosives of this size. Could the updraft from the blast actually suck the roadway up and out
to leave a crater? I just don't know.
So how would someone go about determining the effects of 4000 lbs of explosive X in the open air, above the ground, without actually recreating the
incident? I'm lousy when it comes to higher math...