Even if we are shortly planning a strike on Iran, it doesn't mean we are going to invade. I would look more for a week or so air campaign on Iran,
not an invasion. I recently posted a thread about the US now having a plan to drop 10,000 smart munitions in a few HOURS.
There would be terrorist repercussions, but as far as Iran's nuclear facilities and most of its conventional military, they would be toast.
Now if we invade, that's another story. Especially because, while Russia and China might tolerate an air campaign, they might NOT tolerate an
invasion. Even if they did, Syria would likely jump in by attacking into Isreal, or US forces in Iraq. N. Korea might get frisky. And if Venezula's
Chavez is to beleive, the US could face a southern threat from Venezula, Cuba, and possibly other Latin America countries (although frankly, the TX,
LA, MS, FL, AL, OK, AR, and NM national guard units could take care of that threat).
And if we are going to invade I would watch for a build up of armor and mechanized units in S. Iraq near Basra. Any land invasion would have to come
from there. Its closer to Tehran then the gulf is.
So far I don't THINK there has been such a build up, but then again, I don't know if there would be a lot of reporters or civillians in S. Iraq that
would witness that though.
Also, as far as I know, except for units currently deployed in Iraq, alot of our forced entry type units (82nd Airborne, 75th Rangers, 1st and/or 2nd
Marine Expeditionary Force), are all at home. Anyone know anything on deployments of these units?
Conscription, possible, but not really likely. While the active forces of the US are spread relatively thin, more then half of our guard and reserve
forces are still available. I'd have to do some serious checking, but I think we could field another 6 or 7 full divisions within about 45-90 days
if needed. Another 3 or 4 more within 120-180 days after that. Not to mention alot of air guard fighter and attack aircraft.
Yes it's very very worrysome, and it could get very, very, bad, but lets not all come unglued just yet.
[edit on 23-9-2006 by Sr Wing Commander]