posted on Sep, 14 2006 @ 07:00 PM
As of analysis it is of paramount importance to see some answers to this topic of Musharaff`s behaviour. First we have to put in light that the
Taliban is hosted, supplied and protected by many various tribesmen and important political figures in Pakistan. Also we have to put in mind that some
old bonds Taliban had to US intelligence during the Soviet invasion of Afganisthan is still intact.
1. We have to look at the benefit Musharaff will have to make an agreement with the taliban.
2. Another aspect is the immidiate impact an agreement will have on Pakistans politics in certain regions.
3. Chinese influence and further investments in the southern region of Balochistan is of high relevance, especially the port of Gwadar and its
So, strap on your tin-foil helmets and hats.
First we have to make a distinction between Taliban and Al-Qaeda. The Taliban is not Al-Qaeda and vice versa. The Taliban is hosting and protecting
members of Al-Qaeda just like tribesmen and politicians in Pakistan are covering for the Taliban.
With that said we can continue.
So what does this say us?
We must also put in the back of our heads that the tribesmen i Pakistan is higly influencing their respective hamlets, small regions etc.
Those who sympathize with the Taliban in many border areas in Pakistan is also a source of conflict and is capable of putting quite a lot of sand in
the infrastructural machinery regionally.
By giving the Taliban a "green card", Musharaff also gives the local leaders(elders) a more soothing relationship to Musharaff`s dictatorship.
Allies is what Musharraf needs in a constrained grip of power in regional chain of command.
As for the region of Chitral where Bin Laden supposely hides occasionally, allies within the Taliban is of course evident.
With this short "explanation" we answered question nr.1 very superficial.
With question nr.2 it is harder to explain short term impacts on regional stability and commercial benefit. Is it out of range to ask a question like:
Is the Taliban having a tight grip on areas in Pakistan that Musharaff don`t want to admit? Is Musharaff "blackmailed" in some ways by a combination
of tribesmen, politicians and intelligence that may cost him his throne? Does the US through its channels know and have to much information on
Musharaff`s regime which is fearsome in the circles of the true rulers of Pakistan, ISI and Musharaff`s henchmen?
Therefore by this it is plausible that it`s not so much of a "scandal" that Musharaff is making "deals" with the Taliban because it has been
"understandings" with the Taliban and the US secret services for a long time already. So a competetive light in the background may be seen when we
look and analyse the situation in this way. It is not to much to say that some strings can be seen between the US and Taliban. And what about the
russians? That`s another question.
So about question nr.3
The chinese. Yes, what about the chinese? China is currently having some major projects in Pakistan at the time writing.
In the southern region of Balochistan the chinese is building a dry dock and is investing some hundreds of billions of dollars in a town called
Gwadar. Balochistan is a troublespot for Pakistan and is harbouring terrorists and Taliban enclaves. The southern Afganisthan doesn`t have any border
patrols and is an extremely fragile and porous border to both Iran and Pakistan. The activity in Balochistan is immense.
Through the chinese investments the Pakistan "government" is having a golden age in Gwadar. But, there are some extremely troublesome aspects of the
chinese investments. China sent over 400 engineers to help develop the town of Gwadar. Baloch extremists have been killing, kidnapping and terrorizing
chinese workers. If you sleuths out there read the news recently, we learned that a Baloch leader was killed, Bugti. The truth about his death is that
Beijing had a contract on him. China is in play, Musharaff needs allies for the moneyflow.
[edit on 14-9-2006 by Dark Vader]