Originally posted by donwhite
Did you mean “100s OR 1000s” of exploratory wells? It seems “100s OF 1000s” is too many
Well i said 'hundreds of thousands' but i meant for wells overall and when i went back to look the world total is somewhere between 100 - 200
thousand a year with 850 odd thousand wells in operation last year.
Productive oil wells in America go deeper every decade. I think we’re well below 10,000 feet today in new productive wells. Whereas (I
believe) Saudi Arabia wells may be mostly around 3,000 feet deep.
www.eia.doe.gov... and as far as i remember the norm is still below the US average of 6 k feet.
This is interesting. The recent discovery in the Gulf of Mexico involved drilling in deep water - excess of 10,000 feet - and the well itself
was a deep well. The drilling tower itself cost nearly a billion dollars but it is useable for many years. I have said all that to say this, I
believe it is possible to locate areas “more likely” to have oil as distinguished from areas where it is “less likely.”
Well that is surely so and what i tried to indicate was that there is still a great many dry holes ( not commercially viable) being drilled every year
and that our advancing knowledge of tectonics and such does not seem to be increasing the success margin by any great degree...
Yes. It looks to me that currently we would be best served by nuclear powered generating plants, and hybrid cars. All electric cars seem to be
too limited in range - 70 miles - and require fairly long re-charge times.
en.wikipedia.org...
I would say that it was in fact very practical for the suburban working person and certainly not overly expensive ( considering the limited
production numbers and general GM intransigence) when adding the relatively cheap maintenance.
I am skeptical about capacitor technology because my old AF radar school explained that capacitors are great at storing volts but not so good
at storing amps. And raw electric power is amps not volts.
Well skepticism is always a good thing as long does not reserve it strictly for things one does not already know about....
As long as we - the consuming public - permit the sellers to set policy, it will remain as it is or get worse - from our perspective. Current
large price fluctuations are blamed on “speculators” in the spot market. That practice represents an infringement on the “free market”
concept that I’d like to try to fix. For example, prohibit the re-sale of crude oil in less that 30 days. Probably 7 days delay would work as well.
Fungible? No problem. Not in this day and age of bar codes and RFID to label every barge or ship or pipeline load.
Sounds like solid ideas to me as and as long as their choosing to keep all the wonderful alternatives from us we should at least force them to stop
manipulating this one to such a great degree.
You enjoy a good rep with me SX, but I’m not sure I can accept your optimistic POV.
Well i certainly do not expect you to simple trust me this time because you have liked what i had to say in the past! I am very optimistic about the
future ( such great technologies just beyond view of the general public) and while it might get far worse before it gets better that sorta thing does
not discourage me.

I have posted extensively on the abiotic versus biotic question in the past but that is a huge area and probably best discussed
elsewhere...
You’d think by now there would be a consensus on the origin of crude oil. Are you aware why that is not the case?
There is a consensus all over the world that oil does indeed come from biotic sources but as with all scientific questions consensus is rarely a
indication of objective reality.

If oil comes from organic material only that means very little or non is produced now thus making the resources
'scarce' and subject to ever higher prices; that's why they will defend the biotic theory for however long they can.
I do understand that. OTOH, I find it incredible that so many otherwise good men would lie about this issue of how much oil is in the Persian
Gulf.
It's not a question of lying as much as it is one of simply not talking about the issue; people know how to keep their jobs and reputations and it's
not a question that comes up regularly or at all. The men who are lying about ME oil are not 'good' by any stretch of the imagination and they are
very rarely the people actually working the field or doing the research; the rest know their place and will just say whatever whoever is paying them
to say. The Saudi proven reserved are now well over a trillion barrels ( proven to higher standards than is commonly required in the West) and if you
ask me that is still relatively conservative.
icular, I have lived most of the United States model. In general I love geology and science and people who seem to be well informed on those
topics have my confidence as a given. I believe them because it sounds reasonable and is consistent with what I have learned elsewhere. I understand
none of that makes it true.
I will never ever suggest that you just take my word on this and you have every right to be skeptical considering what this all means if as true as i
believe ( and can prove imo) it to be. If can show you where the rabbit hole starts but i'm not going to push you in.
Well ijust finished complaining of speculators manipulating the spot market so I cannot consistently now deny that our markets are not
manipulated, can I?
Well i think most people understand deep down that rich people mess with the prices but just lack the knowledge to understand the scale of it and how
it directly affects their day to day lives...
[quot]I’m just lucky to have been born where I was born and not in one of those many places you described. Pure luck.
Lucky in where you were born but we should not forget that it was normally the sacrifice of those who came before us ( in those lucky countries) that
brought about lucky places to be born in.
Yes. That I also believe.
Pretty surprising thing to have sorted out and imo a great place from ( assuming you have researched how they can manage doing that) which to
investigate what is currently happening and what sort of future they want for us.
Exactly.
Did'nt know this was common knowledge and i guess it's time to start digging deeper.
It’s a theory based on 2 assumptions. 1, that production will always be maximized and 2, that no oil is being held back.
And if the market really decided these issues we really should not have any problems but from past conduct it's evident that markets sometimes create
supply without demand being in evidence and sometimes refuses to create supply despite overwhelming demand. If we could have true unrestricted markets
( but each nation should be able to regulate imports and exports however they see fit without intimidation, which is obviously not a simply thing to
manage) this world could be turned into a paradise planet capable of supporting hundreds of billions in the type of luxury now reserve for a few
hundred thousand.
Plainly, as you set it out, they will not be able to tell or know.
Thanks for you good comments StellarX.
And while people work long hours just to keep food on the table and a roof over their heads ( the standards are obviously far higher in the west but
life is as hurried) they will never have the time to figure out what is going on and i believe that is another primary reason for keeping people
living right on the edge...
Stellar