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Op/Ed: Birth Of A Quad-Polar World?

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posted on Aug, 18 2006 @ 05:46 PM
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There are a multitude of reasons that are pushing our politicians towards ever expanding economic and political unions. The first and foremost offered by the unionist proponents is the economic clout that comes from such unions. The second is regional stability and third is the usually tacit rather than explicit benefit of a combined military deterrent.
 


Yesterday saw an announcement from the Japanese Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry, Toshihiro Nikai, that revealed Japan's efforts to create a 16 nation Asian economic bloc. The block comprises no less than half of the World's population taking in, along with Japan, China, India, Australia, New Zealand, South Korea and a 10 nation South East Asian bloc.


Japan proposes 16-nation Asian trade bloc

KUALA LUMPUR (AFP) - Japanese officials have proposed a sprawling 16-nation free-trade grouping with China,
South Korea, Australia, India, New Zealand and the 10-nation Southeast Asian bloc.

The 16 last year formed the East Asia Summit -- seen as a precursor of a giant free-trade community embracing half the world's population.

The plans were met with initial approval from Australia, New Zealand and Malaysia.


Australia, NZ, Malaysia support Japan's 16-nation free-trade proposal

KUALA LUMPUR (AFP) - Japan won the support of Australia, New Zealand and Malaysia for its proposed 16-nation free-trade grouping with China, South Korea, India and the 10-country Southeast Asian bloc.

"We welcome the move," Michael Mugliston, . of the Asia trade task force at Australia's department of foreign affairs told reporters on the sidelines of an Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) economic officials meeting.

Japanese officials on Thursday proposed the ambitious trade bloc which would take in half the world's population. The 16 nations last year formed the East Asia Summit -- seen as a precursor of an eventual giant free-trade community.

The economic clout that will arise from this economic bloc is phenomenal. It does not take an economist to see that over 3 billion consumers in industrialized economies is a major market.

As with the European Union, economic union is the precursor to political and eventual military union. Even though this proposal is "decades" away from eventuality, if it arises at all, the effect it will have on international dynamics will be felt from now on.

I've mentioned two of the poles in a future Quad-Polar World. The next union closest on the horizon is the American union which is being shrouded in an almost complete news media black out. Plans are well underway in Washington, Ottawa and Mexico (Distrito Federal) to form an economic and political American union. The plan comes in the form of the Security and Prosperity Partnership of North America pact agreed in March 2005 by President Bush, Prime Minister Martin and President Fox.


The Plan to Replace the Dollar With the 'Amero'

The idea to form the North American Union as a super-NAFTA knitting together Canada, the United States and Mexico into a super-regional political and economic entity was a key agreement resulting from the March 2005 meeting held at Baylor University in Waco, Tex., between President Bush, President Fox and Prime Minister Martin.

A joint statement published by the three presidents following their Baylor University summit announced the formation of an initial entity called, “The Security and Prosperity Partnership of North America” (SPP). The joint statement termed the SPP a “trilateral partnership” that was aimed at producing a North American security plan as well as providing free market movement of people, capital, and trade across the borders between the three NAFTA partners:

We will establish a common approach to security to protect North America from external threats, prevent and respond to threats within North America, and further streamline the secure and efficient movement of legitimate, low-risk traffic across our borders.

From the US State Department archives:


Bush, Fox, Harper Stress North American Unity, Cooperation

Washington -- By working together to address shared concerns on such issues as border security, immigration and economic competitiveness, the three nations of North America can help ensure higher standards of living for all their citizens, according to the leaders of Canada, Mexico and the United States.

Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, Mexican President Vicente Fox and U.S. President George W. Bush -- in Cancún, Mexico, for a March 30-31 trilateral summit – told reporters March 31 that the agenda of North America's Security and Prosperity Partnership (SPP) will be pursued through trilateral Cabinet-level meetings on trade, environmentally responsible energy policies, immigration, border security and technological innovation.

Lastly in the Quad-Polar role call would be Russia. The red-haired bastard stepchild that no one really wants to associate itself with. Perhaps Russia would again try to absorb it's former Soviet states into an economic bloc simply out of necessity to compete with the three other super unions. Or perhaps even a non-aligned union, a contradiction in terms, but a telling discription of the left overs that do not necessarily want union but band together when needed to safeguard their interests if jeapordized by the other three super-unions.

How will this alter the dynamics of international relations? How will international politics play out in 10 or 20 years when there are 4 super powers? Will it be better or worse than the current singular uni-polar situation? What can be certain is that the days of unilateralism will be gone.

[edit on 18/8/06 by subz]




posted on Aug, 19 2006 @ 12:58 PM
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I think its really paethetic that these unions are basically just encompassing geographic interests.

Though I geuss they all include their own certain roles, of certain countries being the consumers and developers of new technologies/products while others are the cheap labor and another/others are the raw material suppliers which makes sense.

I personally see russia as being the raw material supplier to the world and maybe if they can get off the vodka a major player consumer and developer wise in a decades time.

With Africa being part of the EU for the materials and labor.

So the only real question is where does this leave the middle east/Muslim world, are they going to revert back to the middle ages or fullfill there potential and become consumers and developers. Because i dont think they have much else to offer materials wise besides oil (which is the most important now but not in 20 years time) maybe Iran and Iraq have some mining potential.



[edit on 19-8-2006 by Desolate Cancer]



posted on Aug, 20 2006 @ 02:23 AM
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Originally posted by subz
Lastly in the Quad-Polar role call would be Russia. The red-haired bastard stepchild that no one really wants to associate itself with. Perhaps Russia would again try to absorb it's former Soviet states into an economic bloc simply out of necessity to compete with the three other super unions. Or perhaps even a non-aligned union, a contradiction in terms, but a telling discription of the left overs that do not necessarily want union but band together when needed to safeguard their interests if jeapordized by the other three super-unions.


Or maybe, Russia will remain neutral to work for the highest bidder. Remember, she has after all been broken financially as a result of the loss of the Cold War. If I were Russia, I'd lay low, and provide services to whomever paid the most.

Talk about a great way to set oneself up to prosper.

TheBorg



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