Originally posted by xmotex
But frankly I don't think for a second Hezbollah is deluded enough to think they have a snowball's chance in hell of displacing Israel. IMHO Hezbollah's current primary aim is to increase their political power in Lebanon, and to do so by positioning themselves as the only defenders of Lebanon from foreign agression.
One of the Iranian interests in Hezbullah is that Hezbullah is an Iranian front against Israel. The day of attack on Iran or the day in which sanctions against Iran become too stringent, Hezbullah will be used to attack Israel with what we saw in the past month (we did not see the use of the Zilzal missiles who are capable of hitting Tel-Aviv, Beer Sheva and even Dimona). Iran supplied Hezbullah with weapons not for the sake of Hezbullah's political strength but as a front line against Israel on the day of their choosing. Iran built for Hezbullah huge, underground, interlinking command and ammunition bunkers for not for political use but for offensive use against Israel on the day of their calling.
Again, propaganda aside, DO not allow yourself to be fooled that Shebaa farms or 3 Lebanese prisoners are the reasons for Hezbullah's aggressions.
Islamists believe that Israel can be forced to its knees not through Hezbullah alone but with Syria and Iran acting together Israel will be overwhelmed.
Hezbullah's abduction of the two soldiers was performed for a few reasons.
1- They knew that they were able to pull it off without a large backlash (they were wrong).
2- They wanted to assist the Palestinians.
3- They wanted to show that they have the capability to stike at Israel and save face from their last failed attempt.
4- Iran wanted to shift the focus of attention from their nuclear ambitions to another issue (which failed), raise the sakes and show that they have power in the middle east by using a form of blackmail.


