posted on Jul, 30 2006 @ 07:57 PM
Originally posted by Duby78
India will become hyperpower, but not so soon, maybe within 20-40 years. China is likely to become world's no 1 superpower much sooner. IMO, the time
of US being only super/hyperpower is at end. And yes, there is Russia, wich is rising again, in many aspects (including economy and military).
Anyone with an education in economics 101 can tell you that China's economy is in a dependant state.
China is dependant on selling cheap mass produced goods to the U.S. while undervalueing it's own currency. China needs the U.S. to keep itself above
water. China officially gets over 60% of all it's national income from American trade, however that number is estimated to be much higher.
Most of China is still below the poverty line and this is true of India aswell. While this will not be a preventitive aspect of keeping them from
becoming a "hyperpower", it doesn't help.
The fact that a large portion of China's people dislike the communist system and dislike the government will eventually lead to a collapse in the
government if it does not act soon.
There are three key elements to being a superpower.
1. Strong economy. China is getting a strong economy, but it's dependance on the US and the undervalued juan don't help China's economy just
surpassed that of Italy, and Germany is still a larger market player.
2. Strong Military. China's military is large, but a large military doesn't mean it is strong. China is atleast 30 years behind the latest aerospace
technology being developed by the world's current "hyperpower", the U.S.
3. Dedicated Population. This is the area where China fails to become a superpower. In China, the rich are heavily seperated from the poor. Most of
China's people support the idea of a revolt and don't like their government. There ismuch more to this side of the story but I will let this to
Now back on topic to india. India could very well become a superpower, but first it must get a stronger economy.