War Without End, Amen, Amen
Originally posted by Justin Oldham
This may be a new Cold War, or it may be the continuation of what started after 1945. Either way, we are now faced with a new period of extreme
volatility that pits old rivals against each other.
First off, please accept my compliments on an excellent article. It is refreshing to see such talent at work, and I hope to see much more of this sort
of well-informed analysis on PTS.
As for the Cold War, I'm of the notion that it never really ended, just changed in form. The major powers are still much the same -- but with some
new twists -- and the battlefields are more subtle, with war being waged more on political and economic terms than anything else for now.
Even though the Soviet Union "collapsed", Russia remains a major player on the world stage, with plenty of nukes and fingers in the pies of every
continent and a thriving arms export industry -- as well as many levers of power remaining from her "glory days".
China is still a "rival" if not a full-blown enemy, but to become too cozy with Beijing is not without its own perils.
The Middle East is still a mess, Africa is still a free-for-all and Latin America is starting to come under the sway of a resurgent Marxist axis --
with rumblings of revolution in Mexico.
Plus lots more, such as the issue with the Koreas (and the desire to keep them from uniting), a nuclear-armed Japan and the rise of a new European
superstate that may well become tempted to return the continent to a semblance of its former imperial splendor.
And, of course, Islamic terrorists and the inevitable spread of nuclear weapons around the globe.
Quite a lot of trouble to borrow no matter which way you slice it, and with the power of international constituencies to shape public opinion via the
media, and mounting domestic hostility toward overseas adventurism, the picture becomes far more complex.
In my opinion, for anyone to suggest that there is "stability" in the world would be a cruel jest. The world is very much in flux and can change in
disastrous ways literally overnight.
But despite all this, I think we've seen worse -- although WMDs and emerging technologies (such as nanoweapons) change everything.
I've proven I'm no prophet, but I predict that the 21st century will see a lot more people become victims of genocide than the 20th century did.
And that's a hell of a record to beat.
Running Backwards Into The Future
So are we ready for more Cold War?
No, not really.
But then, looking back, we've never really been ready for anything that's happened to us. It's always been hard, and life has always been full of
We just adapt or perish, and so far, so good.
[edit on 7/9/2006 by Majic]