posted on Jun, 23 2006 @ 06:09 AM
My 2 cents...
It is of course true that NK and the US are still in a de facto state of war, and as such it is entirely within the legal rights of both countries to
pursue the courses of action they appear to be pursuing, firing a missile (test or otherwise) and warning of destroying the missile (on the test bed
or otherwise) respectively.
As such, I believe that it would be fruitless to allow this discussion to be diverted into one concerning the legality of either nation's actions,
not only because of the reason given above but also, being realistic, neither nation has shown respect for international law of late and we
have absolutely no reason to expect either of them to do so in future.
And a point which seems conspicuously absent from the discussion thus far (forgive me if this is not the case and I have simply missed it) is that the
current US administration has expressly listed NK along with tens of other nations as a target and part of the so-called (and highly amusingly named)
"axis of evil" back in '02. Any considerations of the US administration's true motives and reasoning in this situation cannot afford to leave its
long standing intentions towards NK or that these intentions were and still are part of a global strategy for American hegemony (cf: PNAC). It
is worth pointing out in this context that NK has expressed no such intentions for world domination.
And it is also fruitless to debate the relative levels of insanity of the leaders of these two nations - it is clear to any reasoning human being that
they both at the very least are sociopaths with incredibly warped conceptions of their own places and importance in the human family; one of them
simply has a more effective and widespread PR campaign and propaganda network than the other. Nations don't go to war because their leaders are
insane - that is simply the excuse often sold by either side to justify war with the other - they go to war because powerful interests have much to
gain from it, and these same powerful interests use "useful idiots" like KJI and GWB to serve these ends.
I personally don't think those in charge at Pyongyang are idiotic enough to think that they could possibly stand a chance of survival were they to
actually launch an armed ICBM at the US - if MAD was enough to stop the Russians, then utter and completely CERTAIN destruction for NK with
only a moderate chance of destruction of a couple of US cities is more than enough to make this a no-brainer for NK. This, I believe, is the reason
that if the NK's launch this missile it will indeed either be allowed to crash in international waters or be detonated in flight by the NK's
themselves, and will not carry a warhead.
I think it should also be considered that given the mediocre performance of the MDS historically, it is highly unlikely that the US administration
will attempt to shoot the missile down themsleves unless absolutely certain (and I reiterate, I believe this to be unlikely in the EXTREME) that the
missile carries a nuclear or other warhead, since failure to do this would engender an obvious and dangerous loss of prestige for the US. Nor do I
think it likely that they would dare shoot this down on the test bed. Should the NK's detonate the missile safely over international waters, the US
could even possibly claim that they shot it down themselves - who could say otherwise?
It is far more likely IMHO that the US administration is well aware that there is little likelihood that this missile launch is a real threat, and is
"talking the talk" in order to use NK's launch to further scare its own population and place itself in the eyes of the international community on
the moral highground to enable it to justify the advancement of their plan for world domination.
[edit on 23-6-2006 by fulcanelli]