Does the U.S. really stand a chance?, page 2


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reply posted on 6-5-2006 @ 08:09 PM by Daedalus3
Nobody's saying manpower is deterministic in wars today.
And I'm not trying to turn this into US vs. China thread. I'm aying that today China has the ability to invade taiwan, while simultaneously allowing safe passage to well equipped troops from the mainland across the straits.
The key is the ability provide safe passage to these troops and mechanised units crossing the straits. How does one do that?
Prevent any surface fleet/carrier getting close enough by fielding PLANAF SU30MKKs/SU27s/Jh-7s/Jh-8s with long range AshCMs. Provide suffiecient air cover to these a/c(which have enough BVR capability with the likes of the SD10 and the R-77)with the upgraded J-7s that get raw radar data feed from their more advanced companions(don't know if they can but its common sense so presuming they do ).
Thus enabling a enabling a tight CAP at a standoff distance of 200km - 300km.
These a/c can be rotated 24/7 by replacements and air - refueling, again out of the range of enemy fire.
Then PLAN has a huge sub fleet and if used efficiently could provide sufficient littoral operations in the straits. The more advanced kilos and surface ships would give a layered defense against USN ASW and USN SSNs.
At the same time the PLAAF/PLA would be assigned the task of preventing the US from opening new fronts that would force the chinese to withdraw from theTaiwan theatre.
The only sureshot way for the US would be to commit the entire PACCOM to the cause and try to wear the chinese out, i.e. not let them get sufficient forces on the island in the first place. If that were to fail(and I've provided enough evidence of a PLAN/PLANAF layered defence capable of doing that ) there would be only one option:

Engage the chinese in land combat on the island(thus causing immense collateral damage) while targeting supply routes from the mainland with stealth and stand-off long range LACMs. That would be viewwd as an escalation, and would force the chinese into sending subs out to try and maime a carrier or two.Also its would IMO force them take out a more 'offensive' stance rather than a defensive one. I.e. that layered defensive becoming a more of a offense-defense system with the PLAAF getting more involved in defensive ops and the PLANAF taking on an offensive role.

It would be a long drawn out affair with the winner being the one able to hold out longer and force the opposition into a rethink of its objectives. Nukes over taiwan are
not an option for either side.

I'm a little uninformed about PLAN/PLANAF ASW capabilities and that could be the key to this all.Will get back on that.

Here the thread I as talking about:

Can China Invade Taiwan

It goes everywhere(Like TCrowne observes right at the end) but it is most certainly one of ATS's most prized possessions. Its an ATSopedia on the topic..

EDIT: That heavily fortfied beachhead is a no brainer for the chinese missile forces.
600+(last I counted) missiles just solely for the pupose of neutralising Taiwanese defences.
"One CSG stopping the chinese"... ???!


reply posted on 6-5-2006 @ 11:10 PM by Omniscient
Originally posted by worksoftplayhard
if you think the us does stand a chance then thats a narrow minded view... iraq is huge, so is iran... first they have to navigate the terrain alive then they have to flush out osama himself!? good luck with that youll need it, osama could be hiding in an underground tunnel network while the us is searching the streets for cripes sake.


I think you are greatly misunderstanding this thread, or at least by the terms I understand it by. I don't think it's asking if the United States stands a chance in the War Against Terrorism, but rather, would it stand a chance in hypothetical wars against countries with countries whose militaries have more troops than ours. Or perhaps it's asking if the USA has the power to take on a wide range of countries at the same time. Either way, the weapons we are using in Iraq right now are VERY weak in comparison to the weapons we'd use in a World War or war against China. We are for the most part, using small bombs to combat these 'primitive' armies in the Middle East. Against a technologically advanced, formidable opponent, we would bring out the real hardware, Weapons of Mass Destruction; Nuclear Weapons, Chemical-Biological Weapons, the "Satellite Destroyer" mentioned in other threads, and much more large scale and bunker busting bombs that would affect much larger amounts of people. This would make up for the horrible loss we might suffer in man to man combat. This is not a question about Osama Bin Laden. Capturing Osama Bin Laden, which was originally the pretext of the "War On Terrorism" is now not even recognized as the "goal". I believe the current, 'official' goal is somewhere along the lines of creating Iraq's new government.
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