reply to post by justin_barton3
Like Iraq, right? Guerrilla have no real bases, they base out of the general occupied population, and unless you're considering genocide, you cant
Unless you convince them to stop fighting, other than that, its poking a hornet's nest with a stick, might kill some, but you'll just piss off all
the other hornets that did survive.
As for the OP:
You're looking at your campaign as if you're attacking someone who's got no Anti-Air defenses. If you threw a "major air campaign" against
someone who holds his ground in Air Defense, you're looking at a LOT of cassualties.
Eitherway, there are only a handful of countries that can hold their own in Air Defense, mainly being: Israel, Russia, some Nato Countries, and maybe
China in the next 10years. So we'll think of them as our Theoretic "enemies".
All are pretty familiar with Guerrilla war, either fighting it, or sponsoring it from behind the scenes, so on that area, the States deffo does not
want to go there with any of them, so you're looking at a fast conflict.
All have tactical nukes as well (Israel ofc doesnt acknowledge any nukes whatsoever). And if its a big war, they WILL be used (doesnt mean cities will
be glassed, but on a loosing situation, any of them would be prone to hit the button, its always been an option for all parties involved in this
There is simply no way you will deterr any of said parties not to use a tactical nuke, its like asking your soldiers not to use their ammo. You're
assuming all out war, so all gloves are off.
While Stealth Bombers cannot be seen easily
in radar, they are not indestructible, and the Russians and Israeli's should have low frequency
wave radars lying around (turns out, old radars are much better at giving you the general direction of a stealthy target).
Who knows...maybe they even got something figured out to find em. Something like monitoring US air bases, and trying to intercept them near to their
bases. Perhaps even preemtively bombing them, since all parties have very capable Air to Ground capabilities.
Carrier groups are not invulnerable to Submarine threats, specially not to Diesel-Electric, AIP, etc subs. Russians have em, Nato has em, and so do
the Chinese, cant remember if Israeli's do.
Any of the above peeps would be willing to sacrifice a sub to get a torp on a CVN. Not to even mention cheap supersonic naval missiles.
Ground wise, it would depend who got air superiority, or how did the "enemy" neutralized the US air Superiority. I know of at least one
Stealthbomber have been shot down from the ground (Serbia) by a fairly capable Anti-Air force (they downed lots of Cruise missiles as well)
One could only guess what would happen when fighting really well trained peeps. Either the Stealthbombers neutralize the enemy AA completely, or it
ends up in a stalemate, since the States wont compromise ground units before securing completely the air.
So basically, you'd know who would win in the first week(s) of the conflict.
When you hear a stealthbomber or two were downed (if its even reported at all), you'll know its over, and a peace agreement, armstice/whatever is
coming. If you dont, it means the AA has been wiped out, and US air will whoop the enemy armor and the conflict will enter gueriilla-mode.
There will be no more WW1-WW2 style wars, conflicts will tend to be fairly fast unless occupation happens....then its FUBAR.
[edit on 7-5-2008 by Ioseb_Jugashvili]