There is a lot of talk on these boards about an attack on Iran. Some discussions are civil and other are less civil. There has been talk about what
the best course of action is etc. Some have suggested force, some have suggested diplomatic means. Less stable members of this forum have suggested a
preemptive Nuclear strike having forgotten just how awful Nuclear weapons really are. (This course of action is bizarre considering the fact that
Iranian missiles can't actually hit the US let alone the fact that Iran doesn't actually have nukes. I would also contend that many of these people
have never met an Iranian and should probably do so before they advocate wholesale destruction of their nation. Additionally I like to separate a
people from their state. I'm not a great fan of Bush that doesn't mean all Americans are like him. The same thing works for the Iranians)
Heres my 2 cents on what we in the west should do. Firstly, lets look at the history of Iran
1) You have a theocracy which came to power in 1979. This theocracy replaced the Shah, a pro western monarch who was hated thanks to his repressive
domestic policies. Having ruled since 1941 he was backed by us in the west and did our bidding. Naturally when he was overthrown we severed all ties
with Iran and relations have been icy since.
2) Now, the Islamic revolution came about as a result of hatred of the pro western Shah and his short comings. Now in 2006 although there is no longer
a Western influence and distribution of wealth is slightly better, the present government has now turned out to be just as repressive as the Shah and
as a result support for the regime has dropped. People are fed up. They want jobs and prosperity for their children, they are in a sense just like us
in the west.
So what do the Mullahs do? Their current problem is falling internal support and fear of a democratic revolution. They don't want democracy but they
want to cement their place of power.
ENTERS: Mahmud Ahmadinejad a fire brand, hand picked by the clerics, to shake things up an increase support for the regime. This is his stated goal
and he wants things to be like 1979, so he's an ideal candidate. Naturally he wins!
1)Iranian people are by nature patriotic. The 1979 revolution shows this. They do not take kindly to foreign interference by other nations. The
clerics need a bogeyman and the west fits in nicely thanks to the support of the Shah. They also know that George W is on his big drive to rid the
world of WMD (even though the US has the biggest and baddest WMD's ever created-how ironic!) so they have constructed the following standoff with the
West knowing that we will take the bait.
2)Throw in a bit of "destroy Israel" rhetoric (which has been going on since 1979) and you have a threat that our media and governments can't
Based on what I have just stated, my argument is this. The minute bombs start falling on Iran, people will flock to support their government and the
Mullahs will be in power another 20 years guaranteed. Everything Ahmadinejad has said about the west in the past few months will be vindicate, i.e.
“They are out to get us!”
Ahmadinejad is baiting the West to increase public support of the Clerics. We are the scapegoat for the failings of the clerics. The worst thing we
could do is oblige him!
Besides any hit on Nuclear facilities will cause a massive release of radiation into the atmosphere. Leukemia levels will fly through the roof and
thus another card will fall into the lap of the Mullahs.
Best course of action. Support pro democracy groups within Iran. Broadcast radio programs into Iran. Let internal politics in Iran run their course.
The Mullahs are doomed, they know it. There are a lot of very very angry young Iranians without jobs. Don't for gods sake bomb them!
[edit on 21-4-2006 by enslaved83]