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Originally posted by Aimless Searcher
Can someone clarify for me why the drastic differences are there? Use simple words, please...
The longshot and least likely distance is 0.00010 AU.
Odds: N-sigma of 3 means a 99.7% chance the true miss distance will be greater than the minimum miss distance.
The most likely is the Nominal Miss Distance at 33.7 LD/0.0867 AU. Give them some more time to get a fix on 3-BD and that wide variance will narrow.
Originally posted by firebat
Anyways, do we have until the 25th?
As it breaks up more and more, the orbit becomes more erratic in its orbit. The orbit also takes awhile to track, and isn't an instant known thing. As Regenmacher stated above...
Originally posted by AGENT_T
really sorry. 'lost the link in my history' 1 day' doh!! it,s widely accepted that 73P/Schwassmann-Wachmann 3 will miss by at least 4 million miles but the problem is there is another 1100m asteroid passing by that could collide with the comet slowing and sending fragments down to earth. its called '2006gy2 or sumthin. lost the link cos i had 2 go 2 work. but i,ll find it
ok its asteroid 2006 gy2. still findin the link
[edit on 21-4-2006 by AGENT_T]