posted on Apr, 17 2006 @ 06:41 PM
If Iran has a deliverable device, and I can't say they don't, look for the following as possible milestones, in no particular order other than which
comes to mind without much thought;
The PA/HAMAS vs Israel or the Israel vs PA/HAMAS situation will be the ignitor - it's so tense that mere rumour of conflict could mean actual
conflict. Suicide bomber, soldier shootin' a little girl - won't take much - how about a traffic accident?. You get the notion - volatile and
Statements of allegation and counter-allegation will ensue. Then it will happen; someone will actually declare a "line in the sand" school-yard
style, and whatever "behaviour/action" the "line" is about will be breached before the news cycle is over - I guarantee it. Really, that quick.
War, Palestine vs Israel or vice-versa. They may have declarations already in the "can" - I would - prudent behaviour. One day - no more.
No diplomatic action of consequence will be required as one who follows the news of late can surmise that all diplomatic missions and wary travelers
are on a war footing already - most likely have been for months. "Conde's World Tour" may exemplify this.
Once this "bottle" is "uncorked" the vintage will be red and taste like rust and go "off" very quickly. Statements of support for Palestine and
Israel will effervesce and be quite a heady bouquet. Something like, "If "X" is done by "Y", then "Z" will happen. Sub the "Z" value with
nuke or "a veiled threat that'll mean nuke" and you have the general gist.
So, once again, "line in the sand" time... I'm afraid the very last one. The next step might be theatre-wide public unrest of "the Arab Street"
from China through the "Stans" and right through to Europe and maybe "gulp" North America. Something will happen, almost anything, and it starts.
Maybe WWIII, maybe not - won't matter much to the people who die if the nukes fly.
That there are 40000 humans out there waiting, killing themselves patiently-waiting, to go and kill themselves and innocents - I can't say that
surprises me. Not anymore - feels about right, however wrong.
That there are Israeli and Arab peoples involved doesn't surprise me. These folks are perhaps incapable of any cross-cultural problem resolution
skills in regard to this specific issue - same story across recorded history, time and time again. Just plain broken - can't be fixed - the
technology is lost; we never took history.
OK. What does surprise me is how this can unfold over years and it's like fate or something more sinister - already written - two steps forward,
three steps back, and we can't stop it - quicksand - vortex. This hypothetical scenario ends with the Middle-East theatre-wide, a glassy plain, where
radio signals can't travel, devoid of the life that threatened itself and then had the stupidity to make good on those threats.
What's left? Uh, a whole lot less. Maybe if NA/SA/Aus/Europe/Rus/Chn don't get "smoked" then the idiots we pay to do all this stuff will be a
little less "cognoscente" and more cognizant of who and what they are here to preseve and protect - ALL OF US.
[edit on 17-4-2006 by V Kaminski]