Originally posted by bigx01
you can't really get off oil. there are so many things made from oil. plastic, tires & ruber, clothes, fertalizer,lubricants (general and
anything that is plastic around you was made with oil. synthetic oil like amsoil does not mean it contains no oil. mineral oil is a byproduct from
Yes, it is true, but nearly 90% of oil is used to produce energy and not materials.
The advancement in materials science will lead to the in all likelyhood
push towards the deep; deep offshore drilling that is. The engineering
problem that prevents these reserves hundreds of miles off of coastal lands is that current materials are not strong enough to withstand these
environments, and current materials which can be used are very expensive. Per pound of still is well more than 10 times cheaper than the latest and
strongest in composite materials per pound.
Necessity is the mother of invention. I don't believe that humans are inept enough to simply discard the idea that because it is too expensive now,
it will never happen. Instead, what you will see is that in the next 15-20 years, is a sort of birth in the engineering of the required composites.
This, first and for most, diminishes the western
world's dependence on middle east oil.
I still think abiotic oil is a long way off. There is no need to go off of an oil based economy and energy production network. That is, if the only
reason is to reduce pollution in the atmosphere and environment by 15% is the only reason, you must keep dreaming. There are hundreds of billions of
barells of oil out in the oceans untapped and far from the nearest rig.
Right now, there are people thinking, researching and development methods and schemes to apprhened this oil, and natural gas. Sooner than later, their
work will pay off, though in all likelyhood, not in the prime of their lifetime.
Global warming is not a good enoguh reason to be abiotic-oil. So a few island nations must withstand harsher hurricanes and the danger of erosion of
coast. Most people do not live on small islands in the Pacific. And the idea of Global Warming being a threat to all coastal lands is far from
definitive. There may be large contingencies of researchers who think that the coastal lands and land hundreds of miles inland will flood, but their
are also many that feel their is too much uncertainity, and that people are acting irrational.
So the icecaps melt twice as fast as they did yesterday. There is nothing to suffest it will continue, because researchers may point to numerous times
during the earth's lifetime when this same event has happened before, far from mankind's use of hydrocarbons.
Unless you can figure out how to take a cup of water, pour it into an auto and make it run at the same level of effeciency as today's auto's, then
the world can
meet the oil demand.