posted on Mar, 26 2006 @ 03:42 PM
Over the past 6 to 8 months, I have been watching events unfold in Eastern Europe involving Russia and the former soviet block. An alarming pattern is
emerging, which seems to suggest that Russia is planning to retake control of the former soviet states of Ukraine, Belarus and Armenia.
Following the elections in Ukrain, it appears that they will now join Belarus in having a 'Moscow-Friendly government', opposition activists from
Belarus have been jailed and refused access to lawyers, doctors and family, and Russia is still threatening to cut off gas and oil supplies to the
This combined with strengthening ties with both Germany and China appears to suggest that the Kremlin is shoring up allies for any force, which would
most likely be termed by Moscow as a 'stabalising force'. The only thing keeping Moscow from such a move currently is Great Britain and The United
States previous intervention in the area during the Bosnia conflict.
Here comes the tricky part, if you see current opinions on Iran you will see that Russia and China are both opposed to a Security council resolution,
and the reason for this may be a simple one. If the United States eventually goes in to nueteralise the Iranian nuke threat, then that would leave
coalition forces too widely spread to deal with Russian incursions into Eastern Europe and China's invasion of Taiwan.
This is only a hypothesis of course, but as will all sequences of events, should the opportunity arise, it is likely the chance will be seized.