US fears defeat in Iran war, page 1
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reply posted on 18-3-2006 @ 03:15 AM by TrueAmerican
Mehran, since you're relatively new to ATS, you should know that usually when you post an article such as this, the only thing they expect is your comments and analysis of the article. Otherwise, you can go to any news organization to get the stories. It's the comments and analysis that make ATS special. Could you add your thoughts on the article please?

To me this article pretty much sounds like a propaganda rally cry, from someone that has nothing better to do than cook up reasons why Americans on the overall prefer diplomacy first and military action last. Even though I am no fan of our administration or the Iraq war, one thing is very true: America has tried for a very long time every avenue of diplomacy first with Iran over the nuclear issue. And still, despite Iran's stalling tactics, the US pursues a solution through further diplomacy, albeit with more pressure and heated warnings, rather than through an immediate war.

Make no mistake. America is not afraid of Iran, or of losing a war with Iran. Losing is simply a calculated risk that any nation must consider when taking preemptive action. But remember, a full scale war or invasion of Iran is not what at issue here. If anything, limited strikes to curtail Iran's nuclear weapons ambitions are at issue, which is why this article IMO is useless, inflamatory rhetoric. It is almost as if the author is trying to penalize America for using diplomacy first rather just going over and wiping Iran off the map. Oh no...off the map? Now where have we heard that before?

You see, Mehran, with attitudes such as your author here displays, is it any wonder that Israel will not tolerate your country obtaining nuclear weapons? They know that in Iran, if it obtains the bomb, diplomacy may well take a back seat. Nuclear weapons and "shoot first, ask questions later" should never be subject to the same mentality. Ever. If the human race is to survive.

And yet on the same token, I will turn that right back on this administration as well as Israel, and any intentions they may have of using tactical nukes on Iran. It MUST not happen.

[edit on 18-3-2006 by TrueAmerican]


reply posted on 18-3-2006 @ 05:05 AM by bigx01
you win





shoulder fired rockets like
those are bringing apachee's down left and right in iraq

NOT!!!



[edit on 18-3-2006 by bigx01]


reply posted on 18-3-2006 @ 09:03 AM by iqonx
Originally posted by BlackOps719
Those shoulder fired pre historic Vietnam era weapons are a joke. You have no idea what will come flying into Iran when the time comes. The sad part is you most likely wont even see what is attacking you until it is too late. You would have just as much luck with a fly swatter or a good rusty pocket knife. All I can say is good luck with that. Say hi to Bob for me.






those missiles are not "pre-historic" vietnam missiles they are based on the chinese QW-2 missile tech and the QW-2 is slightly better then the modern stinger missile it has bigger warhead, further range and has some tech form the sa-16 which allows it too withstand modern ECM techniques.

that missile is hardly "pre-historic" its not based on the sa-7 its based on the qw-2


reply posted on 18-3-2006 @ 09:38 AM by iqonx
Originally posted by bigx01
you win





shoulder fired rockets like
those are bringing apachee's down left and right in iraq

NOT!!!



[edit on 18-3-2006 by bigx01]


what those are misagh-2 missiles they are not based on the missiles that the iraqis are using which are sa-7 style missiles those missiles in the picture are misagh-2 not misagh-1(which is a also a second generation missile) missiles these are all-aspect missiles that can easily lock onto an apache gunship. if the iraqis had these alot more helicopters and aircraft would have been downed.

heres a video of the missile(not in english):
www.iran-economy.de...


these missiles outrange the stinger and have a slightly more powerfull warhead.
www.sinodefence.com...


also interestingly enough the misagh-1 is a second generation missile also based on the qw-1 :
www.sinodefence.com...

the bottom link doesnt seem to be working right know but it did a while back anyway whne you clicke don it it showed the brochere for the misagh-1 and clearly stated second generation missile.
www.iranexporters.org...


anyway these missiles are no joke and the apache is not invincible like you guys belive it is and these missiles dont need a "luckey" shot becuase they can engage at all aspects and have a more sensative IR seeker.


actualyl thinking back the misagh-2 could actually infact even be a qw-3 missile becuase the difference between the qw-1 and qw-2 is not that great while the jump between qw-1 and qw-3 is great so it would make sense that it could also be the qw-3 which infact is based on the russian sa-16 and since iran already recived sa-16 from russia years ago in an arms shipment if you check my missile thread it would make sense there is a strong possiblilty that it is a qw-3.

[edit on 18-3-2006 by iqonx]


reply posted on 18-3-2006 @ 09:51 AM by jajabinks
I think the US would lose in a war vs Iran, and they know this, and thats why they are not contemplating any kind of military action vs Iran. Some of the American people in this forum keep saying that the US can just launch a few measily air strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities and be done with it..and then we can all just sit around and asses to what extent their alledged WMD program has been set back and maybe they'll give the insurgents in Iraq a little more help and thats it.
WRONG!
In reality if the US launches air-strikes vs Iran, Iran will immediatly launch it's own ballistic missiles at US bases, and with 13X,000 troops on 100's of bases, and many thousands more 'contractors' in Iraq..they will have many targets in missile range, and these missiles will kill many people..the US could then launch more air-strikes but be assured Iran has sophesticated anti-ship missiles that will cause a great deal of damage and to US shipping. They can also immediatly export to Iraq missiles like the SA-16 with the insurgents don't currently have in large numbers..If they are to get many of these many more US helicopters will be lost in Iraq..The US will be in a war of attrition, on top of the war of attrition that it is already in, and it would be forced to cease-fire early before sustaining additional damage, even though the US itself inflicted damage.

Then some Amercans in the forum think, well then we could just nuke em..
WRONG!
The US would be in no political or strategic position to deploy nuclear bombs..Once millions of Iranians are killed, well there would still be millions and millions more still alive..and they would be very angry and so would many other muslims and even non-muslims..at that point an American city suddenly goes up in a mushroom cloud..the bomb could have been delivered by a small boat, or snuck in on a small jet or on a cruise-missile, possible even shipping crate..who knows who did it.. but people would say enough and the nuclear game stopped..the President and his staff know this so they would never enter into a nuclear contest with Iran and they would be forced to suspend their war of attrition first.
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