According to Robert G. Webster, one of the few bird flu experts, there is an even odd that bird flu could mutate into a form that would be easy to
trasnmit from human to human. Webster states that people should make personal preparations, that he has a 3 month reserve of food and water in case
there is an outbreak, and that we should face the fact that 50% of the population could be killed in the worst case scenario.
There are "about even odds at this time for the virus to learn how to transmit human to human," he told ABC's "World News Tonight." Webster, the
Rosemary Thomas Chair at St. Jude Children's Research Hospital in Memphis, Tenn., is credited with being the first scientist to find the link between
human flu and bird flu.
"I personally believe it will happen and make personal preparations," said Webster, who has stored a three-month supply of food and water at his
home in case of an outbreak.
"Society just can't accept the idea that 50 percent of the population could die. And I think we have to face that possibility," Webster said.
"I'm sorry if I'm making people a little frightened, but I feel it's my role."
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According to Webster, he personally believes this could happen and that people should be making preparations by buying food and water, which he has
This is a problem for the whole world if bird flu mutates into an easily transmitted form that will affect humans.
Is the world ready if this scenario becomes a reality?
People should make personal preparations because there is no way for any government in the world to know into which strain the bird flu virus might
mutate into, one vaccinne which would work on one strain of the bird flu will not work on another mutated form of the virus, hence this expert
believes that people should be making their own personal preparations just in case the worse does happen.
In the same article another researcher Dr. Anne Moscona, from the New York Weill Cornell Medical Center, explains that it is possible for bird flu to
mutate, or it might be possible for it not to mutate, but if it does mutate she thinks that scientists will not be able to contain it.
"If bird flu becomes not bird flu but mutates into a form that can be transmitted between humans, we could then have a spread like wildfire
across the globe," Moscona said.
"It may not do it. There may just be too many changes. The virus may not be able to be a human virus," Moscona said.
"I don't think that once we have human-to-human transmission, it's going to be possible to contain it," she said.
That is why nearly every viral scientist in America, perhaps the world, is waiting and watching the avian flu virus to see if it remains just a threat
to birds or changes its genetic code and becomes a deadly threat to humans as well.
Excerpted from original link.
[edit on 15-3-2006 by Muaddib]