opec really doesn't want prices to fall below $50. even with the high prices last year the economy wasn't hurt as bad as it would have been in the
early 80's.
you may see opec on paper cut production
IEA Warns Of Weaker Oil Demand On High Prices
By Spencer Swartz
LONDON (Dow Jones)--The rate of global oil demand growth is expected to be weaker this year, the International Energy Agency warned Tuesday, in a report pointing to the impact of oil prices on consumers and industrial users, especially in parts of Asia.
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"I believe (the report) indicates that 4.5%-5.0% gross domestic product growth rate forecasts look too high, and it makes it harder to justify support for $60 oil," McMahon said.
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In its widely-watched monthly report, the Paris-based IEA cut its oil demand growth forecast for 2006 by 16% to 1.49 million barrels a day from 1.78 million b/d a month earlier.
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The new forecast is bound to unnerve the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries just days after the 11-nation producer group decided unanimously to maintain its quota production ceiling at a 25-year high. (emphasis mine)