posted on Feb, 12 2006 @ 11:14 AM
Whilst many will see this title and say "oooh... an invisible hand... must be some crazy conspiracy", those that have taken Economics might
recognize it as something else - the Invisible Hand of the Market.
The idea of the Invisible Hand is that Markets, by their own competitive nature, will shift towards a certain equilibrium of productivity and
efficiency all on their own - because business behaviours function in such a way as to stay almost right up to speed with even minute changes in the
However, I think that the Invisible Hand extends not only to Economics, but also to Politics and any power-struggle in our world (be it corporations,
or organizations). Further more, I think this Invisible Hand is the real culprit for most (not necessarily all) conspiracy theories involving
secret organizations, the new world order, and secret government plans.
There is but one assumption, and that is that people act rationally. People respond to incentives - whether this is the incentive to succeed
(rewards), or the incentive to not fail (punishments). These incentives will guide people in a power-struggle relationship along certain pre-defined
courses of actions. They will not purposefully do something that will cause them harm, nor will they purposefully NOT do something that would cause
them satisfaction. They are rational.
Within the organization in question, you have individuals. These individuals have their own lives, their own wants, and their own needs. Their drive
is to gain more power in order to further their own ends and live a happier, more fulfiling life. To that goal, they will do whatever their ordered or
prescribed to do. This may be a desk job, shuffling papers and signing documents, or it may be in the field - discussing, marketing, and other
By fulfilling the function of their purpose, of their job, they have the chance to recieve more power. Thus, they will do their job.
However, there are many jobs. Hundreds, thousands, tens of thousands of jobs perhaps. All of them very different from each other. Thus, since these
people WILL perform their jobs with the goal of succeeding at them in order to avoid getting fired (punishment) or recieve more power (rewards), we
can now take the individual and instead say that, for all intents and purposes of the organization, they ARE their job.
Jobs, though, don't tend to communicate with each other. The people behind those jobs do, but often not about things of great relevance. When they do
talk about things of relavance, it is because their JOB is communicating with other JOBS. Jobs also form series, or mini-organizations. For example,
MacDonald's has 4 major jobs. There is the cashier, the cook/slave, the supervisor, and the manager. The cashier communicates directly with the
customer, and relays that information to the cook. The cook responds to the customer through the orders of the cashier, and sends a message (the food)
back to the cashier. The supervisor watches over the two jobs to ensure that they are communicating effectively between each other.
However, the supervisor does not cook the food, or make the orders of the customers. Furthermore, the supervisor has to respond to the manager. The
manager has to determine the direction in which that MacDonalds will go. Being that there are multiple shifts, there are multiple supervisors,
cahsiers, and cooks. If something wrong is going on (say profits are down), the manager will request reports from the supervisors on how their shifts
went. The supervisor whose shift is doing poorly will get in trouble. The supervisor then is motivated (in order to not lose his/her job) to find the
element in that shift which is functioning poorly. The supervisor then fires the cashier, say, and then hires a new one.
Now, this is overly simplified, but it shows how the "head" of the organization has to make decisions based on the information it recieves - not
directly from each part, but rather by relays. Job 1 communicated through Job 2 to Job 3. Job 2, fearful of Job 1, punishes Job 3.
Say a customer left a very good response for Job 3. Job 2 will relay that to Job 3, who then - given a reward - will perform better, which increases
Job 2's standing in the report to Job 1.
And thus the Invisible Hand is formed.
Every organization runs like this. People fear another group of people, and will make sure to hand on down the responsibility, or do something about
Why does should this discourage the formation of secret agendas? Because the secret agenda is not in the job description. In the War in Iraq case, we
had the public getting mad at Bush. Fearful of losing his power (punishment) he tries to do something about it by handing down responsibility to the
military, his chiefs of staff, and CIA, and tells them "find out how we can stop other 9/11's from happening, and how we can keep the economy
strong, and keep people voting us into power - otherwise I'll punish you". These people, fearful of losing their power, will respond with
suggestions on courses of action. If some of these suggestions are similar to each other, or are in fact the same, then the head (Bush) makes a
decision that will, according to what he's been told, will keep him in power.
The Invisible Hand pushed us into a war with Taliban-controlled Afganistan, and then again into a war with Iraq.
It wasn't Bush's, or anyone else's goal to keep things secret - but in order to perform these actions which Bush's staff planned to keep him (and
thus themselves) in power, they had to keep things secret. This then spawns conspiracies over what really happened, and why.
Now, does this mean that the War couldn't have been averted?
Does this mean that George Bush is a good president?
Does ths mean that lying to the population is okay?
Other actions could have been taken, had the members of the staff, and their advisors, and the advisors below them, and the organizations below, them,
and so on and so on, thought differently. However, culture voted them into power, and those in power were there because they were the best at their
jobs in their boss' opinion.
And so it is that Invisible Hand is now pushing against Bush, since people think he made the wrong decision. Unforunately, Bush doesn't fear losing
his power (much - minus the elections for Congress coming up at the end of the year), and so is free to do what the Invisible Hand initially guided
him to do.
So, in the end the theory is this.
The government, corporations, and the world in general is just a bunch of body parts (JOBS) running around aimlessly trying to do their business,
whilst the head has been chopped off (doesn't exist), and the body flails about while rapidly losing blood. There is no head, or brain, that truely
guides anything - and because of that, organizations are doomed to inefficiencies and agendas that will forever be question and conspiracized.
Each JOB has its own minor agenda, which - when grouped with other JOBS - gives the illusion of a grand agenda.