Originally posted by deltaboy
Originally posted by AlphaOfTheOmega
I'm not going to argue with that, although I guess there is the chance some may want to give in and make a peace bargain with them. Maybe if they terrorise enough people and enough people want to give in to the insurgents they think they can win by popular demand? ie - more people in favour of it than the government can handle.I guess we won't ever know, and if we ever do, it'll be more than a wee while before we do.
Once a political organization starts targeting civilians, they lost the war they just barely started. Name me a terrorist group that has won their demands...lets say Al Qaida, Basque, Tamil Tigers, IRA, KKK, etc. Most terrorist groups have been fighting for decades and are still fighting. Once you target civilians intentionally you dont have much popular support and most of them are going into hiding, true?
OK I see what you are saying, but its a little wrong.
What the insurgency and Al-Quada is doing in Iraq is somewhat different than what the IRA and others do.
By attacking Iraqi civilians the insurgency is essentially trying to build antiamerican sentiment. When they attack Iraqi civilians, the blame isn't being place on the insurgents. Instead, the Americans are taking indirect blame. The rationale is, "if America wasn't here we wouldn't have to kill you. Make them leave and we'll stop killing you." So every Iraqi life they take strengthens the antiAmerican sentiment in Iraq's civilian population.
More over, they are scaring people away from doing anything to help America. If you are an Iraq civilian and decide to join the local police force, you are also placing your family at great risk. Same goes for the military. The insurgents make it a point to track down 'traitors' and punish them or their families.
As for the weapons, you guys are off base. They aren't coming from anywhere. Initially they did come from Russia yes, 30 years ago! Russia made millions of RPG30's they are a fire and throw away weapon. Once fired the launching mechanism is usless. It cannot be reloaded. Thus a large quatity of them had to be manufactured by Russia in order to sell the one shot weapons abroad.
Those RPG's do figuratively grow on trees in pretty much the whole Asian continent. Not to mentiona that China and Russia have been churning out AK47's for nearly a half century.
I think you guys are overestimating the cost of running an insurgency. Imagine. If you were fighting a holy war for your god, would you dig into your own pocket to buy a couple Rifle Rounds? Or would you wait for a check from Al-Zarkawi? You'd pay yourself. Not to mention that they aren't exactly fireing a hundered rounds a day or anything. They fire a clip off when they mount an attack, there may be weeks between attacks for any given individual, so 100 rounds would probly last one insurgent for a couple months.
Not to mention that AK47's are pretty much a household commodity in the arab world. They are after all called 'arab fireworks'. You can buy an AK47 in Africa for 8 dollars USD. thats right EIGHT frickin bucks. There are quite literally millions of 47's and variants in circulation today.
As for the explosives. You could go into the cupord under your sink and make a decent bomb with the cleaning materials used for cleaning your stove microwave and floor. So don't think that getting explosives is costing the insurgants too much coin.
Like it or not, the insurgency is winning the battle for Iraq. They are doing it cheap and with little outside help. There really isn't any outside "players" they are fighting with what they have. Weapons a plenty.



