Originally posted by vedas
That is totally out of the point. If that is the case, which seems quite likely, I wish to ask what is the point in getting MRCA, India can go for 5th
gen fighter and forget about MRCA and instead of 200 Tejas she can build 400 Tejas. That would be economically wise too.
But the real question is how is InAF gonna deal with the declining strength of its squadrons???
I think India should speed up the LCA testing and its induction.
This is very serious
The date of induction depends on the aircraft chosen and the support given.
2017 in any case is too late. for the induction to 'begin'.
The IAF should have inducted more than half the aircraft(~80 = 5 sqn) by then.
400 LCA and 5th gen fighters etc etc aren't going to happen by 2017.
The LCA will achieve IOC around 2010 and then the series production of 10-12 aircraft a year. That's a new sqn every 2 years. We would reach 200 LCA
a/c(10 sqn) by 2020 if everything goes smoothly.
is a very tricky term. Nothing in Indian fighter aircraft development/procurement has gone smoothly very often. There are a few
shining exceptions though(Su-30MKI, Jaguar, Mirage 2000).
So here's the bottom line:
The IAF cannot afford to sink below a sqn strength of 35 at any stage. Lets identify this until 2025. This has a lot of variables: Fighters being
inducted, fighters being retired, and would you believe the induction of trainer a/c as well.(Hawk AJT)
Let us judge this by 5 yearly increments.
As of now we have the following figther sqn breakup:
Su-30 MKI - 3 sqns
Mig 29 - 3 sqns
Mirage 2000 - 3 sqns
Jaguar - 5 sqns
MiG-27 - 4 sqns
MiG-21 Bison - 6 sqns
MiG-21M - 3 sqns
MiG 21FL - 3 sqns
TOTAL : 30 sqns
Now except for the last two MiG21 variants, all a/c types are meant to last uptill 2015 at least. The Bisons, upgraded MiG-27FLs and upgraded MiG 29S
will be phased out between 2015 and 2020.
The MiG 21FL and the MiG 21M need to be phased out by 2010. However they are the a/c that are still being used for the last stage of supersonic
fighter training. THIS (IMHO) is one of the main reasons for the 'flying coffin'
syndrome, not bad spares, old Russian equip junk etc etc..
Inexperienced rookies completing their training on Soviet Era equipment means that we haven't progressed from where we were for the last 3 decades!!
This is where the Hawk AJT comes in. In order to relieve and finally put these FL and M MiG21s to eternal rest(2010-2015), we need to have sufficient
AJT a/c to take their place. So HAL+BAE compulsorily HAS to produce sufficient AJTs to enable this retirement.
Once these 6 ancient MiG21 sqns can be phased out, the IAF will be a much better place for 2 reasons:
- No more 'Flying Coffin' Syndrome.
- Operational Sqns now do not have to bear the partial burden of supersonic fighter pilot training(the IAF dream if you will).
- The operational sqns w/o this burden, can now concentrate on speedy conversion regimes to induct new a/c(LCA, MKI, MRCA etc). OCUs and the
This is why the Hawk AJT induction is so very important.
In my next post I will talk about 2 other very important aspects and what we should have in sqn breakup terms in 2010 and 2015 successively.
The important aspects are speedy initial procurement of LCAs (LSPs) and speedy procurement of initial MMRCA a/c.
[edit on 1-10-2007 by Daedalus3]