An interesting article, if indeed it proves to be accurate. As I was reading it, I was struck by the relative ignorance of the speaker, who is
reportedly Chinese National Defence Minister
Chi Haotian. His ignorance in regards to issues
of race is hardly surprising, considering that military leaders have traditionally been eager to point out the supposed superiority of their own
people over their enemies. What was surprising was his appraisal of how an attack upon the United States would progress.
The report portrays a surprise biological attack on the United States as a relatively simple matter - China will attack and wipe out hundreds of
millions of Americans and will then colonise the nation with its own people. However, this simplicity belies the reality that would ensue from such an
undertaking.
Although a retaliatory nuclear strike is hinted at in the report, the speaker seems to believe that the United States would only retaliate if China's
initial biological attacks were unsuccessful. However, such an attitude does not, in my opinion, consider the geographical vastness of the United
States and the subsequent difficulty in spreading a biological pathogen across a large portion of the land rapidly. It is extremely likely that, after
discovering evidence of such an attack and China's involvement in it, the United States would respond with a massive nuclear retaliatory strike
against the Chinese mainland. There would be little possibility of China successfully deploying enough pathogen to render such a retaliation
impossible. Even if this were somehow the case, it is unlikely in the extreme that the United States' nuclear submarines would not respond with
devastating force against China itself, in an attack that would very likely destroy China's capacity to wage war or to colonise the United States.
Similarly, the speaker does not really touch on the reactions of other nations to such an attack, other than to say that they would probably surrender
to China quickly and willingly. This is, in my opinion, a gross error in judgement. If China suddenly attacked the United States in an unprovoked and
brutally callous fashion, it is unlikely that nations such as India, Russia, Great Britain, Japan and Australia would sit idly by and allow China to
invade the United States. In the same way, it is also unlikely that these nations would acquiese to Chinese demands for surrender. Does the speaker
believe that Russia, upon discovering that China has the capacity to release a biological agent that would (as the speaker claims) kill only those of
non-Asian descent, would not hesitate to strike against China in self-defence? He speaks of learning lessons from Germany's defeat in World War 2,
but he misses the key lesson in the Russian's willingness to sacrifice millions of people to protect their homeland. Similarly, I cannot believe that
India, who has fought many wars with China and is a staunch ally of the United States and a nuclear power itself, would not hesitate to attack China
in the event that it deployed a surprise biological attack upon the United States.
Even if these nations chose not to oppose China directly, which is unlikely, nations such as Great Britain, Canada and Australia would certainly
declare war upon China immediately. The only way for China to win such a war quickly and decisively, without risking war against many enemies on many
fronts, would be to make use of nuclear weapons. Doing so would render two of the nations proposed for colonisation, Australia and Canada, largely
uninhabitable. Australia is indeed a vast nation, but much of it is largely uninhabitable desert or semi-arid zones. The actual volume of "living
space" is fairly limited, as evidenced by Australia's relatively small population (approximately 20 million) and high percentage of urban
settlement.
If China is unwilling to use nuclear weapons against these nations, then it faces the ugly proposition of fighting distant enemies with advanced and
extremely capable militaries. I find it difficult to believe that China could fight a war against Great Britain, Canada and Australia simultaneously,
whilst attempting to colonise the United States and deal with the remnants of its armed forces and civilian population.
Sadly, history has demonstrated that military leaders are often heedless of common sense and are all too willing to engage in suicidal actions in the
name of pride or the mistaken notion of national superiority. The actions the speaker outlines for China would result in millions, if not billions, of
deaths and the likely annihilation of China itself. Having said that, such realisations have not stopped military commanders in the past.