For reasons largely having to do with pique and embarrassment over the 1979 terrorist takeover of the U.S. Embassy, we have largely ignored Iran even
though documented proof continues to show that she is the principle money and organizational means behind most of the ME terror/political groups.
If you read _Why America Slept_ it becomes very obvious as to how this 'achievement' of space launch capability is not a good thing or even a
/neutral/ thing that is happening.
For even if the satellite is strictly comms related, it provides them the ability to have worldwide discrete networking with whomever while
effectively bypassing (1 point secure encrypts and directional signal or even 'held' orbital relays) our ability to monitor.
If it is recce, then any _unconventional_ attack (which is all that Iran has had the guts to instigate in 20+ years of terror in Lebanon and
elsewhere) has mission planning an order of magnitude better than before, particularly as regards movement rates and dispositions of simple logistics
systems which are the principle vulnerability of any enemy.
Including one encamped at various locations in Iraq.
On a darker note, it should be noted that when Russian orbited Sputnik, they did so on the basis of letting us hear the bleep-bleep noise of what an
ICBM would be, screaming over the pole.
If you can LEO an object, you can put a 20kg (10KT) plutonium device onto any target below it's ground track. I don't believe Iran is a signatory
on the Space Weapons act. And I don't believe it is wise to let them believe "We can't do anything about it..." because allowing such rebel
psychology encourages the adolescent stupids to try and push a limit which should not be under question.
The real sadness here is that it simply reinforces the notion that as our presumed technical lead erodes because it is 'more profitable' to sell
weapons around the world until we're all equally overarmed. We ALL become less secure, not more.
This is particularly true of Iran which is a nation with a chip on it's shoulder TEN TIMES the size of our 9/11 one, thanks to the brainless idiocy
of their own tactics in the first PG War.
Add to this the fact that they continue to expand extremist/fundamentalism throughout Iraq via their 'untouchable' intel contacts within the
And it becomes clear that they are not a player (for good) on the world scene in any but a self interested, paranoid and increasingly maniacally
hypocritical manner. Just like U.S..
All the while, they continue to cover up their 'convention center' attitude on various meetings of known terror groups OFFICIALLY welcomed within
their country (one, met less than 2 months before 9/11 and included representatives of UBL's inner circle including the man who planned it all.).
If it comes right down to it, we still have a minor edge. In that it is already acknowledged that YABL-1 will have to be able to see /behind/ rising
TBM targets to make sure it isn't LOS'ing a satellite.
But even this is a transient and very limited option. Because optics have definite square-of-aperture-for-root-of-distance (arc minute) limits that
tend to restrict HEO and GSO uses for our own 'monitoring' purposes and DEWs themselves are not such a stretch of high energy physics as to be
unmatchable by the industrial powers we have created through sales of advanced warfare tech (and purchase of oil).
And we are /vastly/ more vulnerable to ASAT warfare than anyone else.
Taken together, the only way to keep Iran bottled up in their own stew of glowie-in-darky paranoia (come out of the closet when you feel like putting
your bombs down) while maintaining our own High Frontier information dominance, is to destroy Iran's remote intel gathering options NOW.
Before they can indeed hostage the world to their "And we'll do it!" image of an extremist Islamic whim.
I frankly don't give a damn if they flash fry the entire ME into self lighting parking lot status. We'll just come in and inherit their worthless
dirt after we do for them in turn. But satellite capability is effectively proto-intercontinentals and that is just something they don't deserve to
This is what is so terrible about IIAF's obvious troll posts. He doesn't say "There, there, honeybear, just because we can doesn't mean we
will." He fans the flames deliberately to set the stage for "And we told you we would!"
The nice thing about living in a largely secular nation is that we tend to value real things to be had in THIS world. Even in our own nuclear attack
upon the mad dog Japanese bushido concept of suicide warfare; we did so to save our own so that they could come home. And our occupation of Japan has
been nothing if not lenient to the point of ludicrosity ever since.
I have never seen that kind of respect for their own self interests (beyond any perceived affront) in Iranian politics. Nor any restraint in their
actions towards others.
And if they insist on acting out the image the world has of their being a bunch of raving fanatics, their possession of a nuclear+strategic
delivery+targeting option cannot be met with the same equanimity as say Russia or China was.
Because Iran could lose everything to a reprisal and it wouldn't end the world.
Even as they 'ended' U.S. as an island-isolated nation.
But both the USSR and PRC, as 'member nations' of the Euro-Asian landmass _know_ that if we level them in SIOP retaliation (or even first strike)
the likelihood is high that the entire planet will become a wasteland both economically and environmentally with the massive det-count required to
finish the job properly.
And so, as suddenly-discovered capitalist pigs like ourselves, they won't do anything that could end their chance to snuffle at the acorn of profit.
At least not directly. Which is where No-Dong/Taepo-Dong and Russian Whatever tech insertions becomes, again, an obvious source of corrupt
profiteering gone too far in arming the barbarians via other barbarians without acknowledgement of the chain of responsibility back to Russian and
Chinese base systems.
Iranian Shahab and Norkian Dong's