posted on Sep, 29 2005 @ 12:48 PM
Good day ATS .
The impact cratering of the moon is obvious for all to see. Dating the craters on Luna is extremely difficult and plotting distribution versus
orbital data nearly impossible. This is not the case on Earth. While there are many known impact craters dotting the Earths crust, there remain an
unkown amount of undiscovered craters yet to be found.
I propose that there is a method to predicting the likelihood of future impact by looking at the craters already dotting our planet.
Here goes the theory ( or hypothesis as the casee may be ):
Look at all the known impact craters on the planet. Date them. Take the dates and figure the orientation of Earth in our orbit. Our proximity to
our stellar neighbors, our aphelion, or perihelion as the case may be. Look for correlations between cometary and asteroidal orbital parameters,
review orbital encounters with meteor streams ( IE Taruids, Geminids, etc..) , take into account precession and basically examine each crater as it
would have been at the time it impacted Earth. Take into account the orientation of the moon to the Earth at the times of impact concluding ,
rightfully so I have no doubt that the moon has saved our skin on many more than one occassion. Plot the gas giants locations in relation to known
Take into account impact orientation of each crater, declination and angle of impact, calculate velocity of impactor and plot data against timeframe
with Earths orbital parameters on one axis , and impact orientation on another axis. Follow this course untill all of the impact craters have been "
traced " and plotted back to the original time of impact .
By doing this one could see from what direction in space impact threats are most likely to come and at what time during our orbit around the sun are
we more at risk.
It may well prove that the impacts are random and come from different parts of space each time, that the whole effort was a waste of time , and that
nothing conclusive can be derived from the data sets. However I think the data will show a relative risk increase factored with Earths orbit, that of
the gas giants, and the moon.
This information may be used as risk indicators as we travel through space. An area of space for our telescopes to concentrate on when we approach a
" hazardous " zone. To my knowledge this has never been done.
Anyone want to help?