Hurricane Rita to become catagory 4 hurricane, page

It was listed as the "breaking news" bar on cnn.com, but they've taken that down now. As of right now, MSNBC is stating a Cat. 3 prediction.

This is true, the NHC is showing 115 Knots in its predictions now (133 MPH)...I already posted it in the Rita thread.

www.nhc.noaa.gov...

[edit on 9/20/2005 by djohnsto77]

EDIT: THANKS DJ. just saw your post after i made this one. thank you for verifying it. ill just leave this up though just in case people want to see more.

OK here is the report online


"This is a dangerous storm," said FEMA (search) acting director R. David Paulison, who warned that Rita could wind up being a Category 3 or 4 hurricane when all is said and done. "We don't know exactly where it's going to land. [Local residents] need to take it very seriously. Have your evacuation plan in place. Know where you're going to go and make sure you have your food and water supply for three days."

see it here: Hurricane rita most likely to become a catagory 4. at the least it will be a catagory 3

so now i finally found something that is correlating with what i am seeing on TV. even so if it just a 3 which they are making it sound on tv that it will be a 4 that is bad within itself...and think hurricane season is not even over yet

Kind Regards,
DigitalGrl

[edit on 10/01/2004 by DigitalGrl]

agreed marge, it is really sad.

here is a copy from the national weather service that shows the path and percentage of probability that it will hit NO as of right now just in case anyone is wondering.

you can click on the various pictures to see all the tracking info on there hurricane.

tracking RITA

Kind Regards,
DigitalGrl

here marge,

i looked that hurricane up and found an article for you.

here is a snippet: Hurricane Phillipe By depilot
According to this model looks as if we will have a well established Hurricane in 120 hours east of the southern Bahamas, looking like 980 MB or lower. Alot of high pressure to the north will keep this one on a west north west track and possibly into south east Florida in about 7 to 8 days.

it also has a picture that tracks it i think. sounds like another not so wonderful situation for florida.

here is the link
hurricane phillipe

Kind Regards,
DigitalGrl

Here's the latest probability data from the NOAA (as of 23:00 EDT, though the image will automatically update):



The left-most column represents hours from the time of measurement, i.e., 24 would be 11:00 PM (EDT) Wednesday night.

As per this table, Rita has a 50% probability of becoming a Cat 4-5 hurricane by Wednesday evening.

However, while the highest probability for any single outcome is that of Rita becoming a Cat 4-5 hurricane within 24 hours, there is also a 50% chance that Rita will not. And while there is a 30% that Rita will (become and) remain a Cat 4-5 over the next 72 hours -- again, the largest single probabilty -- there is a 70% probability that Rita will be a Cat 3 or less.

It is important to note that the NOAA and NHC will update this chart every few hours. We could very well awake tomorrow to find more ">98%" entries in the table, or at the very least, significantly higher probabilities associated with the Cat 4-5 scenario. And my gut feeling is that's exactly what is going to happen.

Here's the link to the NOAA/NHC graphics page for updated data.

Here's the latest NOAA sea surface temperature readings (only good through yesterday):



Figure a mean temperature of 30 degrees Celsius (86 F)... at least until the NOAA updates it's data (can be found here).










[edit on 21-9-2005 by sdrumrunner]

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