A closer relationship exists between gold prices and inflation, that is, the rate of change in the general price level. Two periods particularly stand
out: The high inflation of the early 1980s is matched by high gold prices, which definitely appear to "lead" the CPI inflation rate by about a year,
a relationship that doesn't break down until 1988. The most recent decrease in the inflation rate also corresponds to a drop in gold prices, though
that relationship is much more synchronous, without a clear lead or lag time.
A scatterplot diagram of high-lights the relationship more fully. The slope of the line suggests that a $100 rise in the price of gold is associated,
on average, with higher inflation in the following year of 2.4 percent-age points. While gold prices do tell us some-thing about the inflation rate,
it need not be either that inflation raises gold prices or that higher gold prices cause inflation. Some third factor, such as the money supply, may
influence both.
www.gold-eagle.com...
Basically what it means is that mines have cut production, or are using a lower grade ore to drive prices up to make extra money. While gold and
inflation are tied toegether somewhat, if you read that link, you'll see that there is a lot of gold that is stockpiled incase prices go higher, that
they can release to bring prices back down. What happens is that if the price goes too low they artificially inflate the price by using a lower grade
of gold, or by slowing down work at the mines, to bring prices back up somewhat.
[edit on 19-9-2005 by Zaphod58]