Hurricane Rita ( Bad News For Gulf )

Originally posted by dangermouse
BTW, the latest extrapolated flight winds are 185mph!

Do you have the link to prove this? I went on NOAA and couldn't find that figure.

Originally posted by mrmulder

Originally posted by dangermouse
BTW, the latest extrapolated flight winds are 185mph!

Do you have the link to prove this? I went on NOAA and couldn't find that figure.

Sure, the Hurricane Hunters vortex message shows a flight wind of 161kt or 185mph. I didn't mean to imply those are the surface speeds, those are the max winds that the plane encounters.

Indy, I am glad you posted the storms by rank and pressure. I was wandering about that.

The tidal surge on Rita could be one of the worst we have experianced in the Gulf. I was searching tidal surge and Katrina may have broke the record of Camille which was 24.4 ft. Katrina came in at 27 ft on a 2 ft high tide. Rita has the potential to do that or more. Everyone in its path should realize these facts are real. Some of the forcasters are saying as high as 50 ft waves.

As nice as Katrina looked it never looked as perfect as this storm. In the form of perfection this ranks with Andrew and Gilbert.

I would call her annular if it wasn't for all that banding.

161 kts flight level works out to 165 mph ground btw.

Any bets she hits 175mph tonight?
I say yea, maybe 180mph.


click the pic for hi-res

[edit on 21-9-2005 by Regenmacher]

Bay City. (Texas)
Officials at a Texas nuclear power plant in the path of Hurricane Rita prepared Wednesday to shut down two reactors.

He added that the plant shutdown would likely occur about seven hours before landfall. If Rita maintains the forecast track, the hurricane would come ashore early Saturday somewhere between Corpus Christi and Galveston.

CNN

Is it me or did Rita just slowed down and jogged north??????

btw I'm still under Rita's cloud cover the sky is amazing, watching all those clouds race by.

[edit on 9-21-2005 by worldwatcher]

Originally posted by worldwatcher
Is it me or did Rita just slowed down and jogged north??????

what are you seeing that indicates this?





[edit on 21-9-2005 by krossfyter]


Mod edit- Please do not try and beat the censors,

[edit on 21-9-2005 by asala]

Originally posted by worldwatcher
Is it me or did Rita just slowed down and jogged north??????

Rita has been moving slightly slower in forward speed, although your going to see plenty of wobbles which doesn't necessarily mean a trend.

Give it a few hours to see, and models will latch onto it, if it is a trend.



[edit on 21-9-2005 by Regenmacher]

Reg, in your opinion, would a slow down be good now? since it's already so strong, perhaps a little stall would allow Rita to stir up some colder deep water??? is there any colder deep water where she is btw???

I know this sounds strange but a fairly massive fireball, totally unexplained appeared off the Florida coast. This guy on the internet, Lt Col Tom Bearden mentioned fireballs sometimes being signatures of an advanced weapons system of weather engineering, and also said predicted massive hurricanes targetting our oil infrastructure this year. He said the unheard of hurricane in the South Atlantic off the coast of Brazil last year, which was thought to be impossible, was a test to see if we were aware of the enemy's capabilities, which enemy is pretty interesting in and of itself.

Here is a link to the fireball story.

www.local6.com...

link to Bearden's site

www.cheniere.org...
www.cheniere.org...

quote on Def Sec Cohen warning about this stuff.

“Others [terrorists] are engaging even in an eco-type of terrorism whereby they can alter the climate, set off earthquakes, volcanoes remotely through the use of electromagnetic waves… So there are plenty of ingenious minds out there that are at work finding ways in which they can wreak terror upon other nations…It's real, and that's the reason why we have to intensify our [counterterrorism] efforts.”

Secretary of Defense William Cohen at an April 1997 counterterrorism conference sponsored by former Senator Sam Nunn. Quoted from DoD News Briefing, Secretary of Defense William S. Cohen, Q&A at the Conference on Terrorism, Weapons of Mass Destruction, and U.S. Strategy, University of Georgia, Athens, Apr. 28, 1997.

www.cheniere.org...

Originally posted by worldwatcher
Reg, in your opinion, would a slow down be good now? since it's already so strong, perhaps a little stall would allow Rita to stir up some colder deep water??? is there any colder deep water where she is btw???

She hasn't slowed down enough to warrant her decreasing intensity due to cold water upwelling. I think the ridge is breaking down too, so any chance of stalling further may soon disappear.

As for sea temps, it gets hotter as she approaches the coast.
www.atmos.umd.edu...

Getting overwhelmed with weather data in trying to keep up...margin of error is increasing for me.

Edit note: GFDL is showing a more northerly path, so goodeye worldwatcher


As for the fireball, it could of been a red sprite from Rita, and Bearden is not considered a reliable source of data...my two cents.

[edit on 21-9-2005 by Regenmacher]

898 And dropping at 7:59 pm. Good God.

Fox News reports pressure at 898mb.....this is very serious, they sourced a weather report, sorry didn't catch where as my jaw dropped..

WOW!!!! 898!! Only 10mb away from Gilbert. This is historic.

000
WTNT63 KNHC 212351
TCUAT3
HURRICANE RITA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
650 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

...RITA BECOMES THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE ON RECORD...

DROPSONDE DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT AT 623 PM CDT...2323Z...INDICATED THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS
FALLEN TO BELOW 899 MB...OR 26.55 INCHES. THE DROPSONDE INSTRUMENT
MEASURED 32 KT/35 MPH WINDS AT THE SURFACE...WHICH MEANS IT LIKELY
DID NOT RECORD THE LOWEST PRESSURE IN THE EYE OF RITA. THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS PROBABLY AT LEAST AS LOW AS 898 MB...AND PERHAPS EVEN
LOWER. FOR OFFICIAL PURPOSES... A PRESSURE OF 898 MB IS ASSUMED...
WHICH NOW MAKES RITA THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE IN TERMS OF
PRESSURE IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN. SOME ADDITIONAL DEEPENING AND
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.

RITA CURRENTLY RANKS BEHIND HURRICANE GILBERT IN 1988 WITH 888 MB
AND THE 1935 LABOR DAY HURRICANE WITH 892 MB.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$

Just announced on CNN 898 mb reported by the Hurrican Hunters flying through the storm at this time. They still expect more strengthing over the next 12 hrs.

Max Mayfield just said 898mb on the latest dropsonde

Looks like the consesus is "oh schat" by the number of posts.

[edit on 21-9-2005 by Regenmacher]

Can I get a big fat "I told you so!"

holy crap

to quote a famous woman

*run away!!!!!*

Can anyone confirm that the hurricane hunter site hasn't updated? They're usually ahead of the NHC.