posted on Sep, 18 2005 @ 06:49 PM
First, Muaddib, the title of this story is insanely misleading. It's humorous, and even bordering on sensible after I've really read the story, but
it's alarmist to the max.
"Sun Explodes" vs "Tons of activity" = Connotationary Nightmare.
Second, grover, we have not just been observing the sun for 3 cycles. We've been observing the sun for over a hundred years. If I were to go dig up
one of the 20 or so books of Asimov's essays I could read the bit on sunspots/solar activity that he likely wrote in the 70's, talking about how we
knew what we know.
started doing systematic measurements in 1848, and we've been tracking solar
activity seriously since then. We've realised that there are 11ish year periods that generally prevail, 11 going from peak to pit and 11 more back to
Through the years, as astronomy has evolved, we've understood more and more, and since 1975 or so, we've had satellites that can do far more
advanced calculations/measurements. We just have known a ton more since then.
Finally, this is a very interesting thing. Near Solar Min, we're experiencing amount of activity similar to the halfway point from Max to Min - I'm
wondering if the number will roughly hold, then increase, or what? Time will tell, but a good read while we wait.
I'd suggest reading this
to anyone interested in learning more.