What about the other one near Maria, where's that headed?

I think this one will be Ophelia, Nate's already out there threatening Bermuda....

Ah..missed that one, didn't see it on the NHC site for some reason...
i.e. didn't scroll down enough...

[edit on 6-9-2005 by Gazrok]

Originally posted by Gazrok
Luckily, this one won't likely have the time to get much stronger than a Tropical Storm, but even those can cause power outages and some damage, so a heads up for those on the East Coast, especially in N. Florida, and Georgia....

Wait, isn't slow moving over warm water when the thing gets worse? Why is this one not going to get that bad?

If GFDL is right this will be a disaster...the new levee patches probably can't withstand even a mild hurricane.

I'm hoping the GFDL is wrong, I tend to favor a track between the NHC and the A98E models. Right now it is absolutely unknown as to what this storm will do, it could meander in circles for the next 2-3 days or just slowly drift NW. But it deserves close monitoring.

[edit on 9-6-2005 by worldwatcher]

I grew up in Jax and still have a lot of family there. Hope this thing just wanders away.

Guess this is what they mean by "peak season"... wonders what the next 2 weeks have in store for us.

What is going on with this thing? At the moment the 5 day forecast doesn't even match any of the computer models. Everything seems erratic.

Though it still is showing no signs of going beyond a tropical storm, I am now in the tropical storm warning area.

FLOOD IMPACTS... LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OUTER BANDS AND CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS FROM OPHELIA ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY NEED TO BE REVISED IF THE FORECAST TRACK CHANGES.

...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA IS TO THE SOUTH OF A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AND HAS HELPED CREATE A STRONG NORTHEAST FLOW. SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR 20 TO 30 MPH HAVE ALREADY BEEN OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST. IN ADDITION...STRONGER WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED IN SHOWER ACTIVITY TODAY. WINDS AT THE ST AUGUSTINE PIER HAVE OCCASIONALLY BEEN GUSTING TO 35 TO 40 MPH OVERNIGHT. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HRS ALONG THE COAST.

Looks like the flood watches already in affect could continue for a few days, it's been pouring buckets since last night with no sign of letting up.

Still, no where near anything I would panic over personally, but I am certainly watching it like a hawk.

Just checked the Hurricane Tracker and saw Ophelia and then I saw this thread.

Interesting, though I doubt it will cross Florida at this stage. Katrina started a little further south and cross less land but even half way across it weakened to a Tropical Storm before getting stronger again.

I too favour the models that see it head out into the Atlantic.

PS, I think Ophelia was Hamlet's mad girlfriend who committed suicide but I could be wrong. Strange name for a storm.

PPS, For anyone interested the other storm names yet to come are;

Philippe
Rita
Stan
Tammy
Vince
Wilma

[edit on 7-9-2005 by John bull 1]

Some are predicting that it may cross over Florida and into the Gulf but is soo slow moving that is difficult to tell.

The longer it feeds on the warm waters the bigger it will get.

Wait, isn't slow moving over warm water when the thing gets worse? Why is this one not going to get that bad?

Still close to land though...but, at the time, they weren't expecting it to slow down...we're still only looking at about a cat 1 at worst, most likely, but then again, this season has been the one for rapid development, so who knows. I think those in GA, and S. Carolina should at least prepare for some wind and water. Even a Cat 1 can knock your power out (or a Tropical Storm), so best to be prepared.

The sat pics almost indicate some shearing, so that'd be good news.
Looping would be bad though...let's hope that doesn't happen....