Uk 'vs Argentina (Present Day), page 1
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Topic started on 4-9-2005 @ 12:24 PM by MickeyDee
Following Winchester Ranger T's thread What if the Falklands conflict happened now?, i would like to compare the present armed forces of both countries.

I would like to compare the Army, Navy and Air Force and decide wheter the UK could win in the South Atlantic today if Argentina was to lay claim to the islands once again!



Mic


[edit on 4/9/2005 by MickeyDee]


reply posted on 7-9-2005 @ 09:17 AM by JungleMike
There are several things that can come into play here. Any country wanting to grab land about 200 miles away can have a chance against a country needing to defend that same land 8000 miles away. Argentina would have the initiative. I think that is important. Maybe the Argentines have a chance to take and hold Falklands if these event occur.

1. Neutralize RAF. Priority. I don't know what strength RAF is. I read online that they maintain 4 TR-3 (?) Tornadoes at RAF Mt. Pleasant. Tornado is good bird but only 4? Even with EAW, a determined press on them might pay off. RAF could be attacked covertly on the ground. Buzo Tactico paid off once. Maybe again. If they just landed some spec forces by sub and maintained a morter attack on the airfield? If RAF could be neutralized then "Malvinas" could be reenforced by air or sea. NOT with conscripts. With regular army units. Maybe some of their mountain troops this time. Establish EFFECTIVE air patrolling of the Islands with A-4, Supe Entendard (can carry bombs) and Pucara. Maintain a CAP with Mirage III and V from island airfields. Any aircraft not being used for the above purpose should be put to flying around the islands, literally "looking" for -

2. RN attack subs! Subs must have whatever pressure the Argentines can put on them. Even a lear jet can force a sub to lay somewhat low. I don't feel that Argentine Navy can perform adequate ASW against Brit attack subs. To land heavy forces (i.e. armor) the Argentines would have to gamble on a high-speed landing force run, with whatever surface and air ASW can be mustered. The landing force will take losses. Just have to throw the dice and see.

3. Then it remains in the hands of Argentine AF to keep air-superiority. Argentine subs need to make their presence felt somehow against RN subs (hopeful?) or task force to retake islands. Maybe work closer to Acension?

Much of this is what Argentina did/tried to do the last time. I think they have a chance if they go all-or nothing. Would have to land a heavy, large, trained occupation force to keep the island, though. Probably would take cruise missle hits from RN subs. Those pesky things. So I'm reinventing the wheel to a large degree. Still think it's possible.

I do want to add that I have the HIGHEST respect and regard for the UK armed forces. I also admire the courage and competence of Argentine AF.


reply posted on 7-9-2005 @ 10:03 AM by Argus
Informative and generally unbiased report on the current situation from the BBC

news.bbc.co.uk...

In a nutshell it says that as we stand right now, the repeat of what happened in 1982 could not happen now. Not only due to the increased miltary strength of the British forces, but due to the general degredation of the Argentine forces over the past 20 years. Their numbers have reduced from 100,000 down to 40,000 and as such could not mount a credible and feasible operation to re-take the islands.

Weird statement where it talks of the press not being encouraged to report the exact number of aircraft or personnel, yet if you go to the Mt Pleasant website it clearly states that 4 x Tornado F3's are based there. Boy oh boy, those military types do like to create their own little conspiracies dont they !?

www.raf.mod.uk...


reply posted on 7-9-2005 @ 10:35 AM by devilwasp
Originally posted by JungleMike
1. Neutralize RAF. Priority. I don't know what strength RAF is. I read online that they maintain 4 TR-3 (?) Tornadoes at RAF Mt. Pleasant. Tornado is good bird but only 4? Even with EAW, a determined press on them might pay off. RAF could be attacked covertly on the ground. Buzo Tactico paid off once. Maybe again. If they just landed some spec forces by sub and maintained a morter attack on the airfield? If RAF could be neutralized then "Malvinas" could be reenforced by air or sea. NOT with conscripts. With regular army units. Maybe some of their mountain troops this time. Establish EFFECTIVE air patrolling of the Islands with A-4, Supe Entendard (can carry bombs) and Pucara. Maintain a CAP with Mirage III and V from island airfields. Any aircraft not being used for the above purpose should be put to flying around the islands, literally "looking" for -

They have a detachment of rapier SAM systems to support the tornados.
There is also an infantry company ready to delay any attack.
[qoute]
3. Then it remains in the hands of Argentine AF to keep air-superiority. Argentine subs need to make their presence felt somehow against RN subs (hopeful?) or task force to retake islands. Maybe work closer to Acension?
[/qoute]
A Destroyer or Frigate is present in the Falkland Islands area for the majority of the year - including throughout the southern winter - and is at a maximum of 14 days notice from the Islands for the rest of the year.


Much of this is what Argentina did/tried to do the last time. I think they have a chance if they go all-or nothing. Would have to land a heavy, large, trained occupation force to keep the island, though. Probably would take cruise missle hits from RN subs. Those pesky things. So I'm reinventing the wheel to a large degree. Still think it's possible.

I dont, but we all have opinions...
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