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posted on Sep, 10 2005 @ 06:23 AM
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Geomagnetic Storm at G1 level
Power systems: weak power grid fluctuations can occur.

Spacecraft operations: minor impact on satellite operations possible.

Other systems: migratory animals are affected at this and higher levels; aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine).



sec.noaa.gov...

Geophysical Alert Message
Issued: 2005 Sep 10 0908 UTC

Solar-terrestrial indices for 09 September follow.
Solar flux 99 and mid-latitude A-index 21.
The mid-latitude K-index at 0900 UTC on 10 September was 5 (72 nT).

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been strong.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level occurred.
Solar radiation storms reaching the S2 level occurred.
Radio blackouts reaching the R3 level occurred.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is expected to be strong.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are expected.
Solar radiation storms reaching the S2 level are expected.
Radio blackouts reaching the R3 level are expected.
sec.noaa.gov...
_______________________________________

Here's an interesting connection:

Ozone levels drop when hurricanes are strengthening
Zou and Wu noticed that over 100 miles, the area of a hurricane typically has low levels of ozone from the surface to the top of the hurricane. Whenever a hurricane intensifies, it appears that the ozone levels throughout the storm decrease. When they looked at the storm with ozone data a hurricane's eye becomes very clear. Because forecasters always try to pinpoint the eye of the hurricane, this knowledge will help with locating the exact position and lead to better tracking.
www.physorg.com...

Solar Storms Destroy Ozone, Study Reconfirms
When the sun's protons hit the atmosphere they break up molecules of nitrogen gas and water vapor. When nitrogen gas molecules split apart, they can create molecules, called nitrogen oxides, which can last several weeks to months depending on where they end up in the atmosphere. Once formed, the nitrogen oxides react quickly with ozone and reduce its amounts. When atmospheric winds blow them down into the middle stratosphere, they can stay there for months, and continue to keep ozone at a reduced level.

Protons similarly affect water vapor molecules by breaking them up into forms where they react with ozone. However, these molecules, called hydrogen oxides, only last during the time period of the solar proton event. These short-term effects of hydrogen oxides can destroy up to 70 percent of the ozone in the middle mesosphere. At the same time, longer-term ozone loss caused by nitrogen oxides destroys a maximum of about nine percent of the ozone in the upper stratosphere. Only a few percent of total ozone is in the mesosphere and upper stratosphere with over 80 percent in the middle and lower stratosphere.

"If you look at the total atmospheric column, from your head on up to the top of the atmosphere, this solar proton event depleted less than one percent of the total ozone in the Northern Hemisphere," Jackman said.
www.sciencedaily.com...
_______________________________________

History shows again and again
How nature points out the folly of men . . .Sunzilla!


Solar Superstorm
Scientists are beginning to understand a historic solar storm in 1859. One day, they say, it could happen again.

What happened in 1859 was a combination of several events that occurred on the Sun at the same time. If they took place separately they would be somewhat notable events. But together they caused the most potent disruption of Earth's ionosphere in recorded history. "What they generated was the perfect space storm," says Bruce Tsurutani, a plasma physicist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
science.nasa.gov...

Free online book
The X rays from the flare bombarded the Earth’s atmosphere almost instantly, cooking the ionosphere and producing a surge of electric currents. The solar flare was almost certainly accompanied by a coronal mass ejection (a phenomenon that was not actually discovered until the 1970s), a blast of hot electrified particles that sped from Sun to Earth at 2,300 kilometers per second (more than 5 million miles an hour). The shock wave and cloud smashed into the Earth’s magnetic field, causing a huge increase in the flow of invisible electric currents in space and in our atmosphere. Those currents were strong enough to affect the strength of Earth’s magnetic field, as detected on the ground; scientists call it a magnetic storm.

In the decade leading up to Carrington’s flare, scientists such as General Edward Sabine had begun to suspect that solar activity could increase the auroral activity and could induce magnetic storms. So when Carrington learned in September 1859 that a magnetic storm had coincided with his flare, he came to suspect a physical connection between Sun and Earth. But in his notes to the Royal Astronomical Society, he qualified that connection by saying “one swallow does not make a summer.” There were too few data—just his one flare—to make such a direct connection.
www.nap.edu...

SOLAR STORMS CAUSE SIGNIFICANT ECONOMIC AND OTHER IMPACTS ON EARTH
The solar storms that impacted the Earth between Oct. 19 to Nov. 7, 2003, further justify the benefits of NOAA space weather activities and remind the nation that space weather can be hazardous to Earth and space systems at any time during the 11-year solar cycle. This storm came as quite a surprise, since it occurred three-and-a-half years after solar minimum, when things are relatively quiet on the sun compared to solar maximum.

"It's like seeing a hurricane in November rather than August, when you'd typically expect it," commented Larry Combs, one of the NOAA Space Environment Center forecasters. “What also made these storms unusual is that there were two distinct, very intense geomagnetic storms, which both arrived in just 19 hours from the sun to the Earth. This ranks them as some of the fastest traveling solar storms on record and both produced the strongest activity this solar cycle — reaching extreme or G5 on the NOAA space weather scales." Because the NOAA Space Environment Center released advanced warnings about an unusually large solar storm, electrical utilities, airlines and spacecraft managers were able to take preventive action to minimize disruption of service — and the economy — due to the storm.
www.magazine.noaa.gov...



[edit on 10-9-2005 by Regenmacher]




posted on Sep, 10 2005 @ 08:57 AM
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The earthquake (7.3) hitting Papua New Guinea on Friday, the 9th hit 140 Km. ESE of Rabaul Volcano.

This type of earthquakes are capable of disrupting the magmatic systems of volcanoes.

For further information on Volcanoes in Papua New Guinea:
www.volcanolive.com...



posted on Sep, 10 2005 @ 09:27 AM
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Here is the list of earhquakes of September the 10th on the map in order to keep you updated:

4.9 Southern Iran 26.91 N 61.02 E
2.0 Azores - Cape St. Vincent
5.5. Iceland 63.91 N 18.99 W
2.9 Pyrenees 42.68 N 1.34W (32 Km. from Pamplona)
2.4 France 44.63 N 6.87 E (80 Km. SW Torino)
2.9 Northwestern Balkan Pen. 41.36 N 21.04 E
4.0 Greece 39.50 N 22.74 E (314 Km. SE Larisa)
2.9 Romania 45.20 N 27.25 E (Depth: 8 Km)
3.3 Romania 44.93 N 26.72 E (Depth: 20 Km)
3.4 Dodecanese Islands (Greece) 36.89 N 27.52 E
3.4 Turkey 39.79 N 41.90 E
3.4 Turkey 39.37 N 33.12 E
4.9 Southern Iran 26.91 N 61.02 E
3.9 Iran - Turskmenistan Border 37.95 N 57.24 E


Seems as if earthquakes are very active in Europe.



posted on Sep, 10 2005 @ 11:38 AM
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NICOSIA, Cyprus (Reuters) -- A Cypriot army plane crashed into a house on the island on Saturday after clipping the bell tower of a packed church and narrowly missing a 13th century Crusaders' castle, police said.

The two pilots of the single-engine PC-9 trainer were killed on impact but no one was in the home, authorities said.

edition.cnn.com...



posted on Sep, 10 2005 @ 12:58 PM
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A moderate earthquake occurred at 16:57:47 (UTC) on Saturday, September 10, 2005. The magnitude 5.9 event has been located in NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA. The hypocentral depth was estimated to be 41 km (25 miles). (This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.)

earthquake.usgs.gov...



posted on Sep, 10 2005 @ 05:15 PM
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Geomagnetic Storm: G1
Solar Radiation Storm: S3
Radio Blackouts: R3


SOLAR WIND at 22:45 UT
Speed:682 km/s
Density:3.30 p/cm3

Solar Flares:

2005/09/10 06:06:00 M3.7
2005/09/10 08:59:00 M1.9
2005/09/10 10:24:00 C7.6
2005/09/10 13:00:00 C7.8
2005/09/10 15:44:00 C7.1
2005/09/10 16:34:00 X1.1
2005/09/10 19:10:00 M4.1
2005/09/10 22:00:00 X2.1
www.lmsal.com...


Space dust galore coming to Earth!
2005/09/09 -Long duration X6.2 flare, start:19:13:00 stop:20:36:00

Solar Discussion and Forecast:

Ongoing proton storm. Several CMEs (where the main body of the ejected material is not aimed at Earth) are likely to have been produced by the multitude of M and X class events in region 10808. Glancing impacts are possible on September 11. The CME associated with the long duration X6 event is likely to be more significant than the others.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to minor storm on September 10 and active to major storm September 11-22 with severe storming likely on some days due to a near continuous stream of ejected material from region 10808. During the same time interval intense particle storms could have a huge impact on propagation conditions over most middle and high latitude paths.
________________________________

Further Reading- New Theory:

The Electric-Cosmos

There is a revolution just beginning in astronomy/cosmology that will rival the one set off by Copernicus and Galileo. This revolution is based on the growing realization that the cosmos is highly electrical in nature. It is becoming clear that 99% of the universe is made up not of "invisible matter", but rather, of matter in the plasma state. Electrodynamic forces in electric plasmas are much stronger than the gravitational force.
www.electric-cosmos.org...

The Electric Sun Hypothesis
The Basics

Juergens, Milton, Thornhill, and others propose an electrical mechanism for the energy release of the Sun. The major properties of this Electric Sun model are as follows:

•Most of the space within our galaxy is occupied by plasma (rarefied ionized gas) containing electrons (negative charges) and ionized atoms (positive charges). Every charged particle in the plasma has an electric potential energy (voltage) just as every pebble on a mountain has a mechanical potential energy with respect to sea level.

•The Sun is at a more positive electrical potential (voltage) than is the space plasma surrounding it - probably in the order of 10 billion volts.

•The Sun is powered, not from within itself, but from outside, by the electric (Birkeland) currents that flow in our arm of our galaxy as they do in all galaxies. In the Plasma Universe model, these currents create the galaxies and the stars within those galaxies by the electromagnetic z-pinch effect. It is only a small extrapolation to propose that these currents also power those stars. Galactic currents are of low current density, but, because the size of the stars are large, the total current (Amperage) is high. The Sun's radiated power at any instant is due to the energy imparted by a combination of incoming cosmic electrons and outgoing +ions. As the Sun moves around the galactic center it may come into regions of higher or lower total current and so its output may vary both periodically and randomly.

•Positive ions leave the Sun and cosmic electrons enter the Sun. Both of these flows add to form a net positive current leaving the Sun. This constitutes a plasma discharge analogous in every way (except size) to those that have been observed in electrical laboratories for decades.

•Because of the Sun's positive charge (voltage), it acts as the anode in a plasma discharge. As such, it exhibits many of the phenomena observed in earthbound plasma laboratories, such as anode tufting. The granules observed on the surface of the photosphere are anode tufts (plasma in the arc mode).
www.electric-cosmos.org...
________________________________

East China's Zhejiang braces against Typhoon Khanun
sustained winds:115kts - barometric pressure:927mb


Hurricane Ophelia aims for southern North Carolina
sustained winds:70kts - barometric pressure:977mb


Tropical wave enters eastern Caribbean that bears watching, may develop.
Fall is starting in the southwest and North American monsoon season is considered over.


[edit on 10-9-2005 by Regenmacher]



posted on Sep, 11 2005 @ 06:21 AM
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Current Levels: 2005 Sep 11 0900 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm: G5
Solar Radiation Storm: S3
Radio Blackout: R3
Aurora Activity: Level 10 at Sep 11 0903 UT
K-index: Level 9 (520 nT) at 11 Sep 0900 UTC
Solar Wind: Speed:1001 km/s - Density:3.46 p/cm at 11 Sep 11:15 UT

Space Weather Alerts:
www.sec.noaa.gov...
www.sec.noaa.gov...

A solar wind shock was observed at ACE near 01h UTC on September 11. Solar wind speed increased to near 1000 km/sec at SOHO as the CME associated with the X6 event in region 10808 on September 9 arrived. The transit time was only 29 hours.

Solar Flares:
2005/09/11 02:35:00 M3.4
2005/09/11 06:18:00 C7.1
2005/09/11 07:10:00 C4.4

www.lmsal.com...

Solar Forecast:
The geomagnetic field is expected to be active to major storm on September 11. The full halo CME observed on September 10 should reach Earth early on September 12 and cause active to severe storm conditions. Unsettled to major storm conditions are likely on September 13.

G4 geomagnetic storm effects:
Power systems: possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems will mistakenly trip out key assets from the grid.

Spacecraft operations: may experience surface charging and tracking problems, corrections may be needed for orientation problems.

Other systems: induced pipeline currents affect preventive measures, HF radio propagation sporadic, satellite navigation degraded for hours, low-frequency radio navigation disrupted, and aurora has been seen as low as Alabama and northern California (typically 45� geomagnetic lat.)

external image
This plot will sometimes display a cosmic ray loss cone precursor ahead of an approaching CME shock. The defining characteristic of a loss cone precursor is a strong suppression of cosmic ray intensity for particles arriving from the Sunward magnetic field direction. Thus, look for large red circles concentrated near small pitch angles.
Larger images and more data here:
neutronm.bartol.udel.edu...

Earth's bow shock and magnetopause:
pixie.spasci.com...

Sunspots Image (10808 becoming more geoeffective):
sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov...
sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov...

*For solar wind speed use SOHO since ACE satellite is still having problems with proton contamination: umtof.umd.edu...

_________________________________________

Tropical Weather:

Hurricane Ophelia changes forecasted track again,
may only brush North Carolina before heading out to sea.
(sustained winds:75kts pressure:978mb)





Typhoon Khanun makes landfall in east China.
(sustained winds:90kts pressure:954mb)



Larger images of the above here:
www.nrlmry.navy.mil...

Mystery Bulge in Oregon Still Growing
PORTLAND, Oregon (Reuters) - A large, slow-growing volcanic bulge in Eastern Oregon is attracting the attention of seismologists who say that the rising ground could be the beginnings of a volcano or simply magma shifting underground.

A lava dome is growing in the huge crater created in Mount St. Helens, but that event appears to be unrelated to the South Sister bulge, seismologists said.

"We haven't seen anything like this in the Cascade range," Lisowski says, "although we have only been looking in the last 20 years."
www.abovetopsecret.com...





[edit on 11-9-2005 by Regenmacher]



posted on Sep, 11 2005 @ 01:34 PM
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MOUNT ST. HELENS UPDATE
Sunday, September 11, 2005 10:30 a.m. PDT (1730 UTC)

Current status is Volcano Advisory (Alert Level 2); aviation color code ORANGE:

Growth of the new lava dome inside the crater of Mount St. Helens continues, accompanied by low rates of seismicity, low emissions of steam and volcanic gases, and minor production of ash. During such eruptions, changes in the level of activity can occur over days to months. The eruption could intensify suddenly or with little warning and produce explosions that cause hazardous conditions within several miles of the crater and farther downwind. Small lahars could suddenly descend the Toutle River if triggered by heavy rain or by interaction of hot rocks with snow and ice. These lahars pose a negligible hazard below the Sediment Retention Structure (SRS) but could pose a hazard along the river channel upstream.

A micro earthquake occurred at 5:06:20 AM (PDT) on Sunday, September 11, 2005. The magnitude 2.5 event occurred 0 km (0 miles) SSE of Mount St. Helens .

www.ess.washington.edu...
www.fs.fed.us...



posted on Sep, 11 2005 @ 03:56 PM
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rocked Indonesia's tsunami-battered Aceh (Jakarta - Indonesia) province on Saturday, with a 5.9 magnitude earthquake causing residents to flee their homes in panic. (Earthquake mentioned before).

news.yahoo.com...




[edit on 12-9-2005 by ADVISOR]



posted on Sep, 12 2005 @ 07:46 AM
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Current Levels: 2005 Sep 12 1130 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm: G3
Solar Radiation Storm: S3
Radio Blackout: R2
Aurora Activity: Level 9
K-index: Level 6 (111.7nT)
Solar Wind: Speed-1000 km/s Density-3.48 p/cm

Region 10808 continued to decay somewhat in the easternmost parts as the negative polarity areas there became weaker. Many new small spots emerged in the dominant positive polarity areas. There is still a significant magnetic delta structure within the largest penumbra. When this region first emerged as region 10798 it was a reversed polarity region. Now most of the negative polarity has migrated to the western parts of the region. Once the process of straightening out the polarity alignment completes the region will lose much of its flare potential. There is still a chance of very energetic X class proton flares. Flares: M3.4 at 02:35, C7.1 at 06:18, C4.4 at 07:10, C3.1 at 10:18, M3.0/1F long duration event peaking at 13:12, M1.3 at 20:40, C1.9 at 22:08, C6.5 at 22:15 and C2.0 at 23:25 UTC.

Solar Flares:
Lockheed Martin site is not updating at this time

Forecast:
The geomagnetic field is expected to be active to severe storm on September 12 and unsettled to major storm on September 13.

[edit on 12-9-2005 by Regenmacher]



posted on Sep, 12 2005 @ 01:20 PM
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10:23:07 (UTC) on Monday, September 12, 2005.
5.0 - NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA. earthquake.usgs.gov...

12:33:30 (UTC) on Monday, September 12, 2005.
5.0 - SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS.
earthquake.usgs.gov...

20:47:47 (UTC) on Sunday, September 11, 2005.
4.7 - SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS.
earthquake.usgs.gov...

18:31:31 (UTC) on Sunday, September 11, 2005.
5.0 - OFFSHORE BIO-BIO, CHILE.
earthquake.usgs.gov...

13:57:50 (UTC) on Monday, September 12, 2005.
5.0 - SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS.
earthquake.usgs.gov...


19:28:34 (UTC) on Sunday, September 11, 2005.
4.9 event - NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN.
earthquake.usgs.gov...



posted on Sep, 12 2005 @ 03:46 PM
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ALERT! Much of Los Angeles Loses Power

A large portion of Los Angeles was hit with a blackout Monday afternoon. The city was investigating the cause and extent of the outage. But Sgt. Catherine Plows, a police spokeswoman, said terrorism was not suspected.

Electrical power was knocked out shortly before 1 p.m. after two power surges, and traffic was snarled at intersections throughout the city when stop lights went dark. The lights also went out at downtown high- rises.

The Police Department went on "full tactical alert," meaning no officers were allowed to leave duty.

The blackout came a day after ABC aired a videotape of a purported al- Qaida member making terrorist threats against Los Angeles and Melbourne, Australia, on the fourth anniversary of the Sept. 11 attacks.

Heavy usage on hot days can lead to blackouts. But the weather in Los Angeles was not unsually hot Monday.
www.breitbart.com...

Department of Water and Power does not know cause of mass outage.

Power went out shortly before 20:00 UTC

*Solar Flare and Terrorism Discounted As Cause.
(employee blamed for hooking up wrong wires)



[edit on 12-9-2005 by Regenmacher]



posted on Sep, 12 2005 @ 04:54 PM
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A moderate earthquake occurred at 21:15:05 (UTC) on Monday, September 12, 2005. The magnitude 5.3 event has been located in the FIJI REGION. (This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.)

earthquake.usgs.gov...



posted on Sep, 13 2005 @ 10:36 AM
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Current Levels: 2005 Sep 13 15:30 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm: G2
Solar Radiation Storm: S1
Radio Blackout: R1
Aurora Activity: Level 9
K-index: Level 5 (89nT)
Solar Wind: Speed-727 km/s Density-1.14 p/cm
_____________________________________

Proton Events: The greater than 10 MeV proton event that began
at 08/0215 Z and reached a peak flux of 1880 pfu at 11/0425 Z is
still in progress and has declined to near 10 pfu.

Geomagnetic Activity Summary: The geomagnetic field was at
active to major storm levels. A shock was observed by the ACE
spacecraft at approximately 12/0600 UTC. Solar wind speed at ACE
increased to over a thousand km/s; however, the IMF Bz never went
lower than -12 nT. Minor to major storm levels occurred at all
latitudes following the shock. Solar wind speed gradually declined
to near 800 km/s by the end of the period.

Solar Flares:
11-SEP-05 13:53 M3.0
11-SEP-05 20:49 M1.3
11-SEP-05 22:11 C1.9
11-SEP-05 22:18 C6.5
11-SEP-05 23:31 C2.0
12-SEP-05 00:53 C3.3
12-SEP-05 02:53 C2.0
12-SEP-05 05:27 M1.5
12-SEP-05 07:05 M1.3
12-SEP-05 09:20 M6.1
12-SEP-05 14:08 B9.9
12-SEP-05 15:42 C1.1
12-SEP-05 16:35 C1.1
12-SEP-05 16:40 C1.2
12-SEP-05 18:45 B7.5
12-SEP-05 19:42 C3.2
12-SEP-05 20:11 M1.5
12-SEP-05 22:42 C7.2
12-SEP-05 23:03 C5.6
12-SEP-05 23:23 C5.5
13-SEP-05 01:02 C4.3
13-SEP-05 03:31 C3.4
13-SEP-05 04:02 C1.5
13-SEP-05 04:20 C1.9
13-SEP-05 04:54 C5.1
13-SEP-05 06:37 C1.2
13-SEP-05 08:31 C1.8
13-SEP-05 11:24 M1.3
13-SEP-05 13:53 C4.5

Geophysical Alert Message
Issued: 2005 Sep 13 1507 UTC

Solar-terrestrial indices for 12 September follow.
Solar flux 118 and mid-latitude A-index 44.
The mid-latitude K-index at 0000 UTC on 13 September was 5 (95 nT).

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been moderate.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G2 level occurred.
Solar radiation storms reaching the S2 level occurred.
Radio blackouts reaching the R2 level occurred.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is expected to be strong.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G3 level are expected.
Solar radiation storms reaching the S1 level are expected.
Radio blackouts reaching the R3 level are expected.

My Note: Sun has quieted down since the last series of X-class flares, but sunspot 10808 is now almost lined up with Earth and is still capable of producing strong X-class proton flares.

Interesting link:
World Data Center System
www.ngdc.noaa.gov...

[edit on 13-9-2005 by Regenmacher]



posted on Sep, 13 2005 @ 12:28 PM
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A moderate earthquake occurred at 14:32:57 (UTC) on Tuesday, September 13, 2005. The magnitude 5.5 event has been located in the NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION. (This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.)


earthquake.usgs.gov...



posted on Sep, 13 2005 @ 02:44 PM
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X-class flares - double pulse 30 mins apart

13-SEP-05 19:32 X1.5
13-SEP-05 20:03 X1.4

x-ray flare chart of double flares

Proton event may be forthcoming...

[edit on 13-9-2005 by Regenmacher]



posted on Sep, 13 2005 @ 06:11 PM
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09/13/05 - Cascadia Episodic Tremor and Slip (ETS) Underway


Slow earthquakes affecting southern British Columbia and northern Washington have been occurring every 14 months or so over the last 10 years. The PNSN has deployed additional seismometers to record expected tremor events to gain insight into the process and into the stresses that eventually will lead to the region's next major earthquake.

A slow earthquake was expected to occur sometime between August and October, 2005. It began on September 6, 2005

www.pnsn.org...

Tue Sep 13 10:31:12 2005
Subject: Earthquake Report

www.pnsn.org...

[edit on 13-9-2005 by Regenmacher]



posted on Sep, 13 2005 @ 06:36 PM
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13-SEP-05 23:22 X1.7

This latest X-flare brings the total to 9 since Sept. 7th.
___________________________________________

Solar-terrestrial indices for 13 September follow.
Solar flux 114 and mid-latitude A-index 39.
The mid-latitude K-index at 0000 UTC on 14 September was 3 (38 nT).

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been strong.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G2 level occurred.
Solar radiation storms reaching the S1 level occurred.
Radio blackouts reaching the R3 level occurred.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is expected to be strong.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are expected.
Solar radiation storms reaching the S1 level are expected.
Radio blackouts reaching the R3 level are expected.



[edit on 13-9-2005 by Regenmacher]



posted on Sep, 14 2005 @ 08:06 AM
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Current Levels: 2005 Sep 14 13:00 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm: G1
Solar Radiation Storm: S1
Radio Blackout: R3
Aurora Activity: Level 9
K-index: Level 2.2 (11.8nT)
Solar Wind: Speed-572 km/s Density-2.2 p/cm

Proton Events: The greater than 10 MeV proton event that began
on 08 September fell below the 10 pfu threshold today; however, a
new influx of protons has raised levels to around 7 pfu's by the end
of the reporting period and is expected to continue rising.

Forecast:The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to minor storm on September 14. The CME observed during the evening of September 13 could reach Earth just before midnight on September 14 or early on September 15 and cause minor to extremely severe (Kp 5-9) geomagnetic storming. Unsettled to major storm is likely on September 16 barring further CME activity in region 10808.

Latest solar flares:
13-SEP-05 20:57 X1.5
13-SEP-05 23:30 X1.7
14-SEP-05 04:19 C3.8
14-SEP-05 07:03 C5.2
14-SEP-05 09:04 C2.2
14-SEP-05 10:38 M4.6
14-SEP-05 12:57 C3.4


Solar data is increasingly become scarce or in error: Lockheed Martin events site is not updating, EIT is still in CCD bakeout, ACE and now SOHO are reporting inconsistant solar wind speeds and geomagnetic data, and the SXI is experiencing high voltage problems.

Looks like 18th and 19th setting up to be high event days for earthquakes, volcanos, weather, and human situtuations....that's my best guess for now.

[edit on 14-9-2005 by Regenmacher]



posted on Sep, 14 2005 @ 10:29 AM
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The Times writes about the solar flares
Sunspots on the horizon threaten to cripple satellites and networks
By Mark Henderson Science Correspondent

The US National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) describes solar activity as at “very high levels”, and has already reported some problems on Earth as a result. Electrical power systems, spacecraft, high-frequency communications and satellites such as those operating the global positioning system “are experiencing impacts due to the strong-to-severe solar activity”, though none has been knocked out, the NOAA Space Environment Centre said.
www.timesonline.co.uk...





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