posted on Aug, 16 2005 @ 05:20 PM
Nygdan is right about how especially the older generations don't totally trust Japan. We young folks have to check our belief that people can change
against the fact that Japan's strategic and economic situation does favor expansionsim. Young people don't think about it because as far as our
experience goes, they've always just been a neat and different culture with awesome looking writing and a real knack for building VCRs.
Those who have seen Japan drunk, so to speak, see their somewhat rigid society and technical genius in a different light. Make no mistake, if America
starts to slide strategically, Japan almost certainly will make a play on the Phillipines, Indonesia, Malaysia and perhaps South East Asia. If they
get away with that, they just might set their sights on Taiwan, Korea, and Vladivostok, Russia next.
Even Caspar Weinberger (Reagan's Secretary of Defense) holds the belief that expansionism and militancy remain problems in Japan, listing it as a
concern in his book "The Next War".
All of that being said, China had better try to bury the hatchet. As time distances Japan from its pledge to forsake belligerence as an instrument of
policy, Japan's strength relative to China will increase, not decrease, and the greatest assurance of safety for both nations will be forgiveness and
a strong will to cooperate with one another as the preeminent powers of the region.
If I had to guess, I'd say that by 2050, Japan's Navy and Airforce will have strayed quite a bit from their pledge to minimal strength and
non-belligerence, and Japan can deploy sufficient air and sea defense in the form of laser and scramjet missile technology to give China the mother of
all bloody noses if the two should go to war.