WHAT!

THey're mining parts of Georgia?

Wow, its a good thing you've been covering this for so long, this is starting to heat up again it looks like.

Complete bull**** from Georgia. What interests do Russians have in starting a war in South Ossetia again? They are content with the situation the region is now- and it is Georgia reigniting fires this time. The sooner the war starts, the better it is for Georgia. It is very well armed, and many Georgians actually support another war. If only somebody knocked Saakashvilli and his band of US puppets from power. The last thing the world needs is another conflict covertly sponsored by the US.

FYI,




Pres. Saakashvili aka "Misha"

Sporty

[edit on 30/7/2006 by SportyMB]

I've composed a limited military analysis on the situations in Gerogian and Moldovan

flashpoints.

Abkhaz - Georgia
Geography:
Mostly mountaineous, poor infrastructure, heavy foliage in the mountains covers defending

troops efectively from both ground based and airborne observation. Only very limited zones

are passable by armoured vehicles allowing the defender to easily control these choke points

with very limited manpower. RPGs and ATGMs placed in these points can create severe

deathtraps for advancing armoured units. Ideal

Military Power:
Georgian Air-Force has limited numbers of ground attack planes that are unable to sustain

prolonged CAS over the Abkhaz forces. Primary combat aircraft is SU-25 with 10 planes in

service.

Georgian Army has four Mechanized Brigades in operation readines, plus 15 battallions of

reserve troops (National Guard), Equipment is largely of Russian origin including but not

limited to T-72s, T-55s, BMP-1/2 and SP-Artillery. Mechanized Brigades should be considered as a credible threat, but low morale may reduce their effectiveness.

Abkhaz-forces are mainly infantry based guerilla forces, with some elements that could be concidered special forces and capable of conducting advanced manouvering and SF-Missions. Limited armored support might be present. Weaponry is mainly of Russian origin, some relatively modern ATGMs and Manpads may be present.

Possibility of external intervention:
Russian Intervention is possible, but that would require an all out war between Georgia and Russia, CIS peacekeepers will most likely stay out of the harms way in limited engagement scenarios.



S Ossetia - Georgia

Geography:
Mountaineous, but more accessible than Abkhazia. Several of the problems in Abkhazia exists.

Military Power:
Similar to the above.

Possibility of external intervention:
High probability of intervention, either by Moscow or directly by Paramilitary/security forces from Norther Ossetia. CIS/Russian forces in S Ossetia will probably participate if the region falls under attack.



Transdniestria - Moldova

Geography:
Flatlands, dotted with settelments and few larger cities, area is well suited for armoured operations, infrastucure is intact and allows rapid movement of forces. Primary feature of the possible battlefield is the Dniester River, Bridges along the river will be the key to success or failure for a campaign in the region. Ukrainian border is open and Transdniester could be easily be taken from the east.

Military Power:
No Credible sources available about Transdnistrian forces.
Moldovian Military is mainly equipied with Soviet leftovers, readines and training may be questionable.

Possibility of external intervention:
Russian forces in Transdniester (about 1000 men) Will most likely participate or at least support the Transnistrian "government". Ukraine may step in to pacify the area, incase the EU puts pressure on Ukranian Regime that's eager to please EU.

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One possible reason for Transnistrians to begin the independency process might be Iranian influence. Iran desperately needs a distration from the nuclear issues. Full scale war in europe might buy them time. It's a possibility that Transnistrians have sold weaponry to Iran or Terrorists under Iranian influence.