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Abkhaz Leader Has Ordered Army To Sink Any Georgian Ships In Its Waters

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posted on May, 7 2006 @ 03:36 PM
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Looks like Georgia and Ukraine may decide to withdraw from the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS)! Russia is already considering canceling benefits for Georgia and Ukraine. According to some Russian "experts" a withdrawal will be a bad move for Georgia and Ukraine...


RIA Novosti: Georgia starts consultations with Ukraine on quitting CIS

07/ 05/ 2006



Georgia has started consultations with Ukraine on their withdrawal from the Commonwealth of Independent States, the Georgian foreign minister said Sunday. "We have already started consultations with Ukraine on withdrawal from the CIS. We recently discussed with a group of Ukrainian representatives in Tbilisi the entire range of our relations with the CIS and the benefits, if any, of our countries' stay within the organization," Gela Bezhuashvili said. The Georgian foreign minister also said the Georgian government was considering possible consequences of withdrawal from the CIS.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


RIA Novosti: Russia considers annulling benefits for Georgia, Ukraine, if they quit CIS

07/ 05/ 2006



The government of Russia is considering canceling benefits for Georgia and Ukraine, if they decide to withdraw from the Commonwealth of Independent States, a government source said Sunday. Georgian foreign minister Gela Bezhuashvili said Sunday Georgia had started consultations with Ukraine on their withdrawal from the CIS, a loose association of former Soviet republics. "In the wake of statements made by the leaders of Georgia and Ukraine about the possibility of their withdrawal from the CIS, the government of Russia is considering canceling a number of benefits, which these states enjoy within the CIS," the source said.

Experts say Georgia could sustain the greatest losses in this case in the economic sphere, in particular, in agriculture, which employs half of the republic's able-bodied population and sells its products mostly in the CIS countries. According to experts, it would be difficult for Georgia to find alternative markets because its products are frequently of low quality.

Georgia's withdrawal from the CIS would also affect the republic's energy sector, which covers only 40% of the country's energy needs while 60% of electricity is largely supplied from Russia, experts say.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.




posted on Jun, 10 2006 @ 04:23 PM
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Abkhazia said Friday that they will never give up their hard-gained independence, "paid for with human blood". This was said as a response to a Georgian statement that Georgia was willing to offer Abkhazia broad autonomy status.


RIA Novosti: Abkhazia will never cede its sovereignty - FM

09/ 06/ 2006



A senior government official of Abkhazia said Friday that the self-proclaimed republic would never agree to give up its hard-gained independence and return under Georgia's control.

"There is no way Abkhaz authorities will ever give up independence, paid for with human blood," Foreign Minister Sergei Shamba said. "The nation's unanimous vote for sovereignty in a 1999 referendum confirmed that. So no one in Georgia or elsewhere should have illusory hopes on that matter."

Shamba's remarks came in response to the Georgian parliament speaker's statement that Tbilisi was willing to offer broad autonomy status to the breakaway region.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.



posted on Jun, 23 2006 @ 03:57 PM
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The Abkhaz leader don't like Georgia's continous demands for withdrawal of the Russian troops from Abkhazia. They are now threatening to withdraw from negotiations and they are planting mines along the Georgia/Abkhazia "border".


Civil Georgia: U.S. Calls for Peace Efforts in Abkhazia

2006-06-23



The U.S. Embassy in Tbilisi expressed on June 23 its “deep regrets” over the recent statement made by Abkhaz leader Sergey Bagapsh, who said on June 21 that Sokhumi will withdraw from the negotiation process with Tbilisi if the Georgian authorities will continue to demand withdrawal of the Russian peacekeeping troops from Abkhazia.

“The United States Embassy deeply regrets the statement by Abkhaz de facto leader Sergey Bagapsh threatening Abkhazia's withdrawal from the negotiating process and the planting of mines along the Georgian-Abkhaz administrative boundary. The United States calls on the Abkhaz authorities to maintain their commitment to a peaceful resolution of the conflict by continuing their participation in the on-going negotiations. The United States strongly urges the de facto Abkhaz leadership to avoid actions and rhetoric that escalate tensions or would increase militarization of the dispute,” the U.S. Embassy’s statement reads.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.



posted on Jun, 23 2006 @ 07:32 PM
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WHAT!

THey're mining parts of Georgia?

Wow, its a good thing you've been covering this for so long, this is starting to heat up again it looks like.



posted on Jul, 9 2006 @ 05:49 AM
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The South Ossetian Security Council Secretery has been killed by a remote-controlled bomb. The South Ossetian interior minister blames Georgia for the murder. South Ossetia sees a link between this assassination and the recent bus blast in Tiraspol.


Interfax: South Ossetia's Security Council head killed

Jul 9 2006



"Alborov was killed by a remote-controlled bomb, which went off as he was opening his garage," the interior minister said.

"We think the murder was organized by Georgia," Mindzayev said.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


S.Ossetia sees link between Alborov murder, Tiraspol taxi bus blast

Jul 9 2006



The breakaway republic of South Ossetia sees a link between the murder of its Security Council Secretary Oleg Alborov and the recent terror attack in Transdniestria.

"Today's terror attack targeting Security Council Secretary Oleg Alborov is probably connected with the taxi bus bombing in Tiraspol," a high-ranking South Ossetian official told Interfax on Sunday.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.

Related ATS Thread:
Terrorist attack in Europe: moldovia! (by DigitalGrl)



posted on Jul, 9 2006 @ 03:21 PM
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South Ossetia has sealed off approaches to the Georgian-Ossetian border and has stepped up border protection after the murder of Oleg Alborov. Georgia denies to have any involvement in the killing of the top security official.


RIA Novosti: S. Ossetia steps up border protection after top official killing

09/ 07/ 2006



Georgia's self-proclaimed republic of South Ossetia has stepped up border protection after the killing of its top security official, a spokeswoman for the South Ossetian leadership said Sunday. Oleg Alborov, the secretary of the breakaway province's security council, died when a bomb detonated as he opened his garage at 7 a.m. (3 a.m. GMT) Sunday. Irina Gagloyeva said South Ossetia had sealed off approaches to the Georgian-Ossetian border and was tightening an entry regime after the incident.

"The accusations against Georgia are absurd. The Georgian side has nothing to do with this killing," said Shota Khizanishvili, the administration head of the Georgian interior minister.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.



posted on Jul, 16 2006 @ 04:41 PM
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There has been another bomb blast in South Ossetia. Two teenagers died and four others were injured. South Ossetia calls it an act of terror and blames Georgian secret services. They say the same explosives were used as in the assassination of Oleg Albarov. Georgia on the other hand blames Russian secret services. They claim Russia is arranging provocations with the purpose of starting a war.


Axis News

14.07.2006



Two teenagers died and four other civilians were badly injured as a result of a blast which occurred in early hours on July 14 in breakaway South Ossetian capital Tskhinvali.

This is a second explosion in Tskhinvali in a week. The first one killed Secretary of National Security Council of breakaway South Ossetia Oleg Albarov on July 9. “Explosive [used on July 14] is similar to the one which was used against Oleg Albarov,” the South Ossetian Press and Information Committee reported.


Axis News: Georgian MPs believe act of terror in Tskhinvali planned by Russian secret service

15.07.2006



South Ossetian Defence Minister Anatoly Barankevich told ITAR-TASS agency that the terrorist attack was aimed against the local parliament deputy and commander of a unit of the Defence Ministry, Bala Bestuta who was not hurt. Barankevich as claimed that those behind the act of terror are the Georgian secret services that fulfill the assigned plans for physical liquidation of South Ossetian leaders and prominent figures.

Chairman of parliament of Georgia Nino Burdzhanadze declared that the latest act of terror had been planned by the Russian secret services. As she said, “Russia is arranging provocations with the purpose to involve Georgia in large-scale military actions”.



posted on Jul, 16 2006 @ 04:57 PM
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Complete bull**** from Georgia. What interests do Russians have in starting a war in South Ossetia again? They are content with the situation the region is now- and it is Georgia reigniting fires this time. The sooner the war starts, the better it is for Georgia. It is very well armed, and many Georgians actually support another war. If only somebody knocked Saakashvilli and his band of US puppets from power. The last thing the world needs is another conflict covertly sponsored by the US.



posted on Jul, 17 2006 @ 10:31 PM
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A Russian General got his passport seized by Georgian military police. The diplomats were searched while shots were fired in the air and there was swearing and threats of elimination. The Russian General has now gotten his passport back. The Russians claim that Georgia wants war.


Interfax: Provocations against diplomats aimed at escalation in region - foreign ministry

July 16



"Late on July 15, Georgian military police blocked at gunpoint a Russian embassy car in which Russian special envoy and head of the Commission's Russian part Yury Popov, Commission member, Lt. Gen. Valery Yevnevich, and employees of the Russian embassy in Georgia were traveling from Tskhinvali to Tbilisi," the statement reads. "Moreover, in violation of all international norms, the car was opened, and the baggage and some of the diplomats' belongings were seized. The passengers were searched to the accompaniment of swearing, threats of elimination and shots in the air," the Russian Foreign Ministry said. The speculative plan of those who had conceived these provocations against the backdrop of the St.Petersburg summit, is clear.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


RIA Novosti: Georgia returns passport to Russian general in South Ossetia

17/ 07/ 2006



Georgia has returned a passport seized last week from a senior Russian military officer during a diplomatic incident on the border with a breakaway region of South Ossetia.

The Russian delegation in the car included Yury Popov, the Russian ambassador at large and co-chairman of the Joint Control Commission on the Georgian-South Ossetian conflict resolution, and other officials. General Yevnevich, who is also a JCC member, had his passport taken away and it was not returned until today.

Russia's Foreign Ministry said this was a provocation aimed at a "further escalation of tensions in the region that sets back work on the political resolution of the Georgian-South Ossetian conflict."

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.



posted on Jul, 17 2006 @ 10:56 PM
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The President of Georgia told his army and his navy that major challenges and threats are ahead. Russia warns Georgia against use of force in South Ossetia. Georgia is provoked by Abkhazia's plans of a referendum on their independence. And the U.S. continues the SSOP program in Georgia.


Civil Georgia: Georgia Wraps Up Large-Scale Maneuvers

2006-07-15



Saakashvili was speaking while addressing Georgian troops, which participated in the large-scale military exercises at the Orpolo firing range in southern Georgia.

“Major challenges are ahead, major threats are ahead and use of your strength may be needed in the future,” Saakashvili told the army.

Georgia wrapped up its largest military exercises on July 15. Maneuvers Caucasus-2006 were launched in late May with the participation of over 8 000 servicemen.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


Civil Georgia: Major Challenges Ahead – Saakashvili Tells Troops

2006-07-16



President Saakashvili hailed the Georgian coast guard on July 16 and said that their service “will be more needed in the future.” He was speaking in the town of Poti where the Georgian cost guard celebrated its 8th anniversary on Sunday.

This is the second time in last two days when President Saakashvili makes this kind of statement.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.

Russia warns Georgia

Moldova.org: Russia warns Georgia against use of force in South Ossetia

17 July 2006



The statement, posted on the Russian Foreign Ministry website (www.mid.ru...), expressed concern over what it termed Tbilisi's "aggressive policy," as reflected in ongoing maneuvers, belligerent statements by individual officials, and the Georgian parliament's intention to demand the immediate withdrawal of the Russian peacekeeping forces currently deployed in South Ossetia and Abkhazia. Expressing concern at Tbilisi's refusal to formally abjure the use of force, the statement warned that aggression is unacceptable, and will elicit an appropriate response.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.

Saakashvili: Abkhazian referendum plan is a provocation

RIA Novosti: Georgian leader calls Abkhazian referendum plan provocation

17/ 07/ 2006



Georgia's president vehemently criticized Sunday a proposal to hold a referendum on the independence of the self-proclaimed republic of Abkhazia.

"All the talk that Abkhazia should hold a referendum and possibly secede from Georgia is a provocation that the international community will not take seriously," Mikheil Saakashvili said on television.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.

No more talking

RIA Novosti: Georgia, Abkhazia postpone working groups' meeting

17/ 07/ 2006



Georgia and Abkhazia have put off further contacts within a joint coordination council set up to break a long-standing impasse over the status of the self-proclaimed republic, Georgia's state minister for conflict resolution issues said Monday.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.

The Sustainment and Stability Operations (SSOP) continues

Interfax: U.S. pursuing Sustainment and Stability Operations in Georgia

Jul 17, 2006



The Pentagon has decided to continue training Georgian servicemen under the Sustainment and Stability Operations (SSOP).

"The SSOP program was completed in Georgia four months ago, but when Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili visited the U.S., it was decided to go on with the program," Georgian Defense Minister Irakly Okruashvili said at the official opening ceremony at the Krtsanissi Training Center.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.



posted on Jul, 18 2006 @ 10:38 PM
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Georgia passed a resolution yesterday to replace the Russian peacekeepers with international peacekeepers. The Russians didn't like that at all...


RIA Novosti: Russia blasts Georgia's resolution on peacekeepers pullout

18/ 07/ 2006



Russia's Foreign Ministry said Tuesday the Georgian parliament's resolution on withdrawal of Russian peacekeepers from its conflict zones was an irresponsible action. The Georgian parliament passed a resolution earlier on Tuesday advising the government to suspend peacekeeping operations in the breakaway regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia and take urgent measures to introduce international peacekeepers. "Tbilisi's irresponsible actions may cause irretrievable damage to the peaceful conflict resolution," the ministry said in a statement.

"Russia considers the resolution as a provocative step aimed to escalate tensions, destruction of current negotiating formats and elimination of legal basis for peaceful settlement of the Georgian-Abkhazian and Georgian-South Ossetian conflicts," the ministry said.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.



posted on Jul, 19 2006 @ 03:19 PM
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Transnistria might send its "peacekeepers" to Abkhazia and South Ossetia in Georgia. This is their response to Georgia's decision to oust the Russian troops from those Georgian provinces.


RIA Novosti: Transdnestr may send peacekeepers to breakaway Georgia regions

19/ 07/ 2006



A senior member of Transdnestr's parliament said Wednesday that the self-proclaimed republic in Moldova might send its peacekeepers to breakaway provinces of Georgia in the wake of Georgian lawmakers' decision to oust the Russian contingent. Oleg Gudymo, the head of the Transdnestrian legislature's security and defense committee, said Transdnestrian peacekeepers would be part of a joint peacekeeping force to be formed in Abkhazia and South Ossetia under a June 2006 deal between the three separatist regions.

Gudymo said the replacement that the Georgian leadership was pushing for "will lead to the same consequences as operations in Iraq and Afghanistan." "Georgia and Moldova are trying to dismantle the peace agreements of the early 1990s. This is a very dangerous trend, which may bring the conflicts to a 'hot phase'," he said.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.

Related ATS Thread:
Tiraspol - Moldova - Mafia in Uniform



posted on Jul, 20 2006 @ 12:25 AM
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Russia and Georgia continues to trade accuations against each other. Abkhazia has issued a statement saying that the pullout of the Russian troops could lead to a war.


RIA Novosti: Wrap: Russia-Georgia peacekeeping dispute gains momentum

19/ 07/ 2006



Georgia and Russia continued to trade accusations Wednesday after the Caucasus state's parliament demanded the pullout of Russian peacekeepers from conflict zones in its territory.

Georgia has accused Russia of backing separatism in its breakaway regions and planning to annex its sovereign territories, thereby stalling the settlement process.

Georgian officials and politicians said Russia's condemnation of the resolution Tuesday as "provocative" and "irresponsible" was insulting.

The parliament of the self-proclaimed republic of Abkhazia issued a statement Wednesday saying the Georgian decision to expel Russian peacekeepers could lead to a war, and that Abkhazia would not allow Russian troops to be replaced with an international contingent.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.



posted on Jul, 28 2006 @ 01:05 AM
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Georgian security forces are hunting an Abkhaz militia leader, Emzar Kvitsiani. They launched an anticrime operation to hunt him down. Georgian security forces intercepted some radio communication - It was Emzar Kvitsiani urging Russian troops to send a helicopter to evacuate him. Georgia now control the whole of Kodori Gorge. Kvitsiani got away and there is now a $57,000 reward for information leading to his capture. Saakashvili said Abkhazia's legitimate government would be based in the Kodori Gorge...


RFE/RL: Civilian Killed In Georgia's Kodori Gorge Operation

July 27, 2006



A senior Georgian official says one woman was killed in a clash between Georgian security forces and members of a rebel militia in the Kodori Gorge, which straddles the breakaway region of Abkhazia and the rest of Georgia.

Reports from the region previously said government troops had surrounded Kvitsiani and about 60 of his men in mountains near the village of Azhara.

Up to 1,000 Georgian troops have been reported deployed in the area.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


RFE/RL: Georgia Offers Reward For Militia Leader

July 27, 2006



Georgian authorities are offering a $57,000 reward for information leading to the capture of the leader of a rebel militia in the Kodori Gorge, which straddles the breakaway region of Abkhazia and the rest of Georgia. Georgian government forces launched the operation against Emzar Kvitsiani, a former presidential envoy to Kodori, and his militia on July 25, after he refused authorities' order to disarm. Defense Minister Irakli Okruashvili today said the "major phase" of the operation was over as all the villages in the Kodori Gorge are now under the control of government forces.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


RIA Novosti: Georgian president announces full control over Kodori Gorge

TBILISI, July 27



Georgia's president said Georgia fully controlled the Kodori Gorge. "Today, Georgia made a serious step forward and restored full control over the territory of Abkhazia's Kodori Gorge for the first time in the past 13 years," Mikheil Saakashvili said. Georgia started what it termed an anticrime operation the area of its breakaway region Abkhazia after former presidential envoy Emzar Kvitsiani, a militia leader, said on Sunday he did not recognize Tbilisi's rule.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


RIA Novosti: Abkhazia legitimate govt. to be based in Kodori - Georgian pres

TBILISI, July 27



Georgia's president said Thursday Abkhazia's legitimate government would be based in the Kodori Gorge.

He added that Abkhazia's legitimate government would fully control the Kodori Gorge, develop and revive the territory. "The Kodori Gorge will become a temporary legitimate administrative center of Abkhazia," the president said.

The Kodori Gorge is in northern Georgia and is the de facto border between the self-proclaimed republic of Abkhazia and the Georgian-controlled territory. The lower part is controlled by Abkhazia and the upper part by Georgia.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


Civil Georgia: Saakashvili Speaks of Kodori

2006-07-28



In his televised address to the nation on July 27 President Saakashvili said anti-criminal operation against rebel militias in upper Kodori gorge to restore the government’s control over the area, which is the only Georgian-administered part of breakaway Abkhazia, has been “completed successfully

“These bandits should be blamed for death of this person because bandits were using peaceful population as a shield.”

“I warn the Russian peacekeeping troops, which are yet deployed in the conflict zone to refrain from provocations,” Saakashvili said.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.



posted on Jul, 30 2006 @ 05:14 PM
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FYI,




Pres. Saakashvili aka "Misha"

Sporty

[edit on 30/7/2006 by SportyMB]



posted on Jul, 31 2006 @ 05:18 PM
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Russia urged Georgia to withdraw its troops from Kodori Gorge as it may trigger tensions if they don't. Abkhazia fear that Georgia might be planning a full scale invasion of "their territory". They say the reports of Kvitsiani's presence in Abkhazia might be used by Georgia as a pretext for an invasion.


Scotsman.com: Georgia must pull troops from Abkhaz gorge - Russia

31 Jul 2006



Russia urged Georgia on Monday to withdraw troops from a remote gorge bordering Georgia's breakaway region of Abkhazia to avoid a conflict with Abkhaz separatists.

Abkhaz separatists fear Georgia is building up forces in the gorge -- a gateway to Abkhazia -- ahead of an attack, though Tbilisi has denied any plans to invade. Regional power Russia, which also sees a Georgian military build-up, said Georgia should withdraw its troops. "Actions by the Georgian leadership in the Kodori gorge ... could provoke developments under a dangerous scenario and lead to a new bout of tension and unpredictable confrontation," the Russian Foreign Ministry said in a statement.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


RIA Novosti: Russia calls on Georgia to withdraw troops from Kodori Gorge

31/ 07/ 2006



Russia calls on Georgia to remove its troops from the Kodori Gorge, a de facto border between Georgia and separatist Abkhazia, as it may trigger tensions in the region, the Russian Foreign Ministry said Monday

The Abkhaz foreign minister said last week that Georgia could be using the report about Kvitsiani's alleged presence in Abkhazia as a pretext for an invasion of the republic. "All the speculation about Kvitsiani hiding on our territory makes us believe that Georgia could exploit it for military intrusion of Abkhazia," Sergei Shamba said.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.

Strange, isn't it? Country "A" telling country "B" to move their troops out of a territory which technically belongs to country "B"...



posted on Aug, 1 2006 @ 04:13 AM
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Georgia's defence minister, Irakli Okruashvili, said Monday that Georgia is ready for Kodori Gorge to be inspected by international observers. But only after an inspection has been held at the Russian military base in Gudaut...


RIA Novosti: Georgia ready for international inspection in Kodori Gorge

July 31 2006



Georgia is ready for an international inspection of its law enforcers in the Kodori Gorge, the Georgian defense minister said Monday. "We are ready to let the international inspection in the Kodori Gorge, but only after an international inspection has been held at the Russian military base in Gudaut," Irakli Okruashvili said.

Russia's Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov said earlier Monday that Georgia's armed units that entered the Kodori Gorge in the country's breakaway region of Abkhazia on July 25 could be inspected by international observers. "UN observers and peacekeepers are demanding an inspection of what Georgia calls police troops there," he said. Georgian troops entered the Kodori Gorge to disarm a rebellious militia unit led by Emzar Kvitsiani, a former presidential envoy to Abkhazia.

Georgia earlier maintained that it was a police operation, but Russian peacekeepers stationed in the region reported that Georgia had deployed military units in the area.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.

Okruashvili also says that Emzar Kvitsiani is no longer in Abkhazia but hides in Russia... "According to our information he is now in Russia"



posted on Aug, 1 2006 @ 08:48 PM
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Georgia calls the Kodori operation "a success" but not everyone agrees with that statement. First of all Kvitsiani managed to escape, and the area which Saakashvili calls "the heart of Abkhazia" is described by others as nothing but a no-man's-land. A spokesman for the Abkhaz President said: "we have another word for what Saakashvili calls the heart". The article doesn't mention what word the Abkhazians use. When Saakashvili said "the heart", maybe he was refering to another area of Abkhazia? Maybe they plan to "establish Georgian jurisdiction and constitutional order in the heart" of Abkhazia in the near future?

U.S. military personnel in Georgia reported low morale among the Georgian servicemen during the Kodori operation. Russian unnamed "experts" said that the Georgian military is not yet professional enough. A Russian General said that starting a campaign in Kodori in summer would be suicidal. With mountains covered in foliage, providing excellent cover for the defending forces. There are reports of continous Georgian military build-up in the area. The question is whether they are going to advance into Abkhazia or not.

Maybe we'll find out after Transdnestria holds its referendum on independence on September 17th? There will be held large-scale NATO exercises in Moldova at the same time (Sept 11-29). If war breaks out there, it might break out in South Ossetia and Abkhazia as well. How will Russia respond?


RFE/RL: Extent Of 'Victory' In Kodori Offensive Unclear

August 1, 2006



Speaking on national television on July 28, Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili said that Georgia now "directly controls a very important strategic part of the territory of Abkhazia," and will "establish Georgian jurisdiction and constitutional order in the heart" of that breakaway region.

Such claims are, however, an exaggeration, insofar as Georgia has merely extended its control over the upper reaches of the gorge -- formerly a no-man's-land controlled by Kvitsiani's Monadire (Hunter) militia -- as far as the border between Abkhazia and the rest of Georgia. Kristian Bzhania, a spokesman for Abkhaz President Sergei Bagapsh, derided the Georgian claims, telling regnum.ru that "we have another word for what Saakashvili calls the heart."

U.S. military personnel in Georgia described the Georgian troops' performance to one Washington analyst as less than stellar, noting that morale among the Georgian servicemen was not good and that at one point the operation was halted due to "inclement weather conditions." The Russian newspaper "Vedomosti" on July 28 likewise quoted unnamed "experts" as saying the Georgian military is not yet professional enough to conduct large-scale operations. Former Kodori Governor Kvitsiani, who managed to evade the advancing Georgian troops and whose current whereabouts are unknown, was particularly scathing. He said in video footage broadcast on July 30 by the independent Georgian television channel Imedi that claims that his fighters were surrounded were "laughable."

"Izvestia" on August 1 quoted an unnamed Russian general as saying that "starting a campaign in Kodori in summer would be suicidal." He pointed out that the mountains are covered in foliage, providing the enemy with excellent cover, and that it would be virtually impossible to use armor or heavy artillery. A Russian military analyst similarly noted that at one point the gorge narrows to the point that two platoons of Abkhaz special forces could easily block any further Georgian advance.



posted on Aug, 2 2006 @ 04:26 AM
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I've composed a limited military analysis on the situations in Gerogian and Moldovan

flashpoints.

Abkhaz - Georgia
Geography:
Mostly mountaineous, poor infrastructure, heavy foliage in the mountains covers defending

troops efectively from both ground based and airborne observation. Only very limited zones

are passable by armoured vehicles allowing the defender to easily control these choke points

with very limited manpower. RPGs and ATGMs placed in these points can create severe

deathtraps for advancing armoured units. Ideal

Military Power:
Georgian Air-Force has limited numbers of ground attack planes that are unable to sustain

prolonged CAS over the Abkhaz forces. Primary combat aircraft is SU-25 with 10 planes in

service.

Georgian Army has four Mechanized Brigades in operation readines, plus 15 battallions of

reserve troops (National Guard), Equipment is largely of Russian origin including but not

limited to T-72s, T-55s, BMP-1/2 and SP-Artillery. Mechanized Brigades should be considered as a credible threat, but low morale may reduce their effectiveness.

Abkhaz-forces are mainly infantry based guerilla forces, with some elements that could be concidered special forces and capable of conducting advanced manouvering and SF-Missions. Limited armored support might be present. Weaponry is mainly of Russian origin, some relatively modern ATGMs and Manpads may be present.

Possibility of external intervention:
Russian Intervention is possible, but that would require an all out war between Georgia and Russia, CIS peacekeepers will most likely stay out of the harms way in limited engagement scenarios.



S Ossetia - Georgia

Geography:
Mountaineous, but more accessible than Abkhazia. Several of the problems in Abkhazia exists.

Military Power:
Similar to the above.

Possibility of external intervention:
High probability of intervention, either by Moscow or directly by Paramilitary/security forces from Norther Ossetia. CIS/Russian forces in S Ossetia will probably participate if the region falls under attack.



Transdniestria - Moldova

Geography:
Flatlands, dotted with settelments and few larger cities, area is well suited for armoured operations, infrastucure is intact and allows rapid movement of forces. Primary feature of the possible battlefield is the Dniester River, Bridges along the river will be the key to success or failure for a campaign in the region. Ukrainian border is open and Transdniester could be easily be taken from the east.

Military Power:
No Credible sources available about Transdnistrian forces.
Moldovian Military is mainly equipied with Soviet leftovers, readines and training may be questionable.

Possibility of external intervention:
Russian forces in Transdniester (about 1000 men) Will most likely participate or at least support the Transnistrian "government". Ukraine may step in to pacify the area, incase the EU puts pressure on Ukranian Regime that's eager to please EU.

------

One possible reason for Transnistrians to begin the independency process might be Iranian influence. Iran desperately needs a distration from the nuclear issues. Full scale war in europe might buy them time. It's a possibility that Transnistrians have sold weaponry to Iran or Terrorists under Iranian influence.



posted on Aug, 5 2006 @ 05:09 PM
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Excellent post, northwolf!



Here are some recent news articles from Civil Georgia about the Abkhaz-Georgia situation.


Russian assault helicopter

A Russian assault helicopter flew over Georgian checkpoints dropping anti-heat seeking missiles. Georgia didn't like that at all.


Civil Georgia: Georgia Protests Russian Helicopter Flight over Kodori

2006-08-04



A Mi-24 assault helicopter belonging to Russian peacekeeping troops flew over Georgian Interior Ministry’s checkpoints in upper Kodori Gorge early on August 4 dropping anti-heat seeking missiles, according to the Georgian Foreign Ministry.

“Provocations of this kind are inadmissible, especially against the background of the [Georgian side's] almost completed operation to restore rule and order in the region [upper Kodori Gorge]. The Georgian side is trying to show maximum restraint,” the Georgian Foreign Ministry said in a statement.

Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


Still fighting...

There are still clashes between Georgian troops and Abkhaz militia fighters. At least 10 people have been killed in the past couple of days.


Civil Georgia: Abkhaz Sources Report of Casualties in Kodori Shootings

2006-08-04



According to the Defense Ministry of breakaway Abkhazia, at least 10 people died during clashes between Georgian government troops and rebel militia fighters in upper Kodori Gorge in the past two days, Interfax news agency reported.

“The recent shootout took place near the village of Azhara at about 6 pm [local time] on Thursday,” Sergey Pustovalov, the breakaway region’s Defense Ministry spokesman, said.

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Emzar Kvitsiani's nephew escaped into Abkhaz-controlled territory


Civil Georgia: Reports: Group of Rebels Escape into Abkhaz-Controlled Territory

2006-08-05



A group of about 15 rebel militias have escaped to the Abkhaz-controlled territory from upper Kodori Gorge, Rustavi 2 television reported on August 4 quoting the Interior Ministry official.

According to the Rustavi 2 Bacho Argvliani, a nephew of wanted warlord Emzar Kvitsiani, was among this group of rebels.

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