posted on Nov, 5 2007 @ 10:58 PM
A Georgian friend of mine who has family in Georgia said that things are quickly spiralling out of control, and Saakashvilli is repressing not only
all opposition but also all media coming in and out of the country. He has arrested members of his own administration now who have voiced concern,
and he is quickly losing all support he has left. What is going on now is earily similar to the "Rose Revolution", only now in reverse. The people
are trying to force an election ahead of time, because they fear that another year (election is supposed to be in 2008) will allow Saakashvilli to
cement his position in government and create a total dictatorship. Every day the protests are getting more violent, and dozens of people are detained
So what is Saaka to do but resort to only propaganda he has left - try and unite the population by making up new stories about big bad Russia. With
every new "Russia is attacking - EVERYONE PANIC" story, he is getting more and more pathetic. Georgians no longer give a cr*p about Abkhazia,
Russia or any other fabricated bullsh*t. They just want the imposter out of government.
Given Georgian tendencies of forced coups, I would be surprised if Saakashvilli last untill the election. He will either leave his post, and likely
run away from Georgia with his tail between his legs, or be forced to defend against a coup-AKA-revolution. And if it turns to violence, which is
looking more and more likely, Saaka will get what he deserves - a proper assassination. He should have stayed in the US and been a lawyer or a
political prostitute instead, so you can't say too many people will feel sorry for him.
Now such a turn of events is nothing new for Georgia. After all every single administration the country had since its independence has been forced
from power. The mystery factor this time is the US, and their precious oil pipeline. Will US sit still and watch as its investment in the new
Georgian Dictatorship is destroyed, or will it supply Saakashvilli with necessary means to stay in power. Yeah - the same means it is supplying to
Musharraf who is digging his own grave as well - including international political support and military supllies. If it is the later, what will
Russia do? Finance the opposition? Create a near flare-up in Abkhazia/South Ossetia? Smells like a proxy conflict.
I was saying this all along on these forums since the "Rose Revolution". US is sticking its nose where it does not belong, and Saakashvilli is
nothing more than a US puppet who will create a new war in the Caucasus. But noooooooooo - since it was called the "revolution" and the great holy
US proclaimed it a democracy, then the ignorant horde must support their new Allied Dictator for Hire no matter how deranged he is.
Here is what I see happening. Saaka is overturned one way or the other. The opposition that comes to power will immediately seek to negotiate with
Russia to open trade barriers. Russia will pressure Abkhazia and South Ossetia into a deal with the Georgian government. And US will have stained
its reputation in yet another country, adding it to the list of the "people who are not with US, and are therefore against the US". As for the
pipeline? A good source of revenue for the new administration, and yet more incentives for them to overthrow Saaka as soon as possible.