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Originally posted by Gazrok
Here's a scary map...wind probabilities...
Even if it goes EXACTLY as predicted, I'm still looking at Hurricane force winds. I imagine I'll be in a Hurricane Watch zone soon....
Not exactly. That map you posted shows the probability of tropical storm force winds over the next few days. With the red part having the highest probability.
You're still in the green (meaning low probability) of having hurricane force winds.
Dennis makes landfall
2:15 p.m. ET Fri.,Jul.8,2005
M. Ressler, Meteorologists, The Weather Channel
As of 1:00 p.m. ET, Dennis' maximum sustained winds have tailed off slightly to 145 mph, making it still a very dangerous Category 4 major hurricane. Hurricane Dennis made a brief landfall near Cabo Cruz, Cuba on Thursday evening. The eye has now made a second landfall on the south-central coast of Cuba near Cienfuegos and will move steadily across western Cuba, finally emerging into the Gulf early Saturday.
A hurricane warning is in effect for eastern and central Cuba (including the city of Havana). A hurricane watch is posted for the western tip of Cuba and the Isle of Youth.
In the U.S., a hurricane warning is in effect for the lower Florida Keys from the Seven Mile Bridge westward to the Dry Tortugas. A tropical storm warning and hurricane watch have been issued for the remainder of the Florida Keys east of the Seven Mile Bridge to Ocean Reef and Florida Bay. A tropical storm warning is also in effect from Bonita Beach, Fla. along the Gulf and down around eastward to Golden Beach, Fla. along the Atlantic. A tropical storm watch has been posted from Longboat Key, Fla. to Bonita Beach, Fla.
Heavy 5-to-15-inch rains and destructive winds continue to pound Cuba. Also, the southern coast of Cuba is being battered with high waves. The Cayman Islands could pick up an additional 4 to 8 inches of rain. Mudslides and flooding are likely. The winds will gradually increase over southernmost Florida but any damaging winds will be confined to the Keys plus the outer rain bands could produce 4-to-8-inch totals over southern Florida by Saturday. Outer bands with heavy rain and gusty winds could affect much of the Florida Peninsula on Saturday.
Although the trek across Cuba may blunt the hurricane's strength, Dennis will still be a dangerous hurricane plowing NNW through the eastern Gulf of Mexico toward the northern Gulf Coast this weekend. All interests along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to the west coast of Florida should monitor the progress of Dennis very carefully.
Four Atlantic weather systems -- Arlene, Bret, Cindy and Dennis -- reached Tropical Storm status by July 5, the earliest for so many named storms in recorded history. Only three major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) have hit the U.S. coast in July in the past 100 years. When the maximum sustained winds in Hurricane Dennis peaked at 150 mph this past morning, Dennis officially became the strongest July Atlantic Basin hurricane on record and the strongest Atlantic hurricane this early in hurricane season.