Originally posted by Simon666
Small detail: Saddam WAS already under attack when he decided to launch SCUDS at Israel. Iraq only started firing missiles at Israel the day AFTER the
US had begun the massive air campaign against Iraq.
Small detail is right. Preparations for a ground offensive were still over a month from completion. The fact that he moved as soon as it became clear
that hostilities were imminent makes it all the more clear that he hoped to force Saudi Arabia to remove their permission for coalition forces to
carry out offensive operations from Saudi Arabia. Remember that Saudi Arabia only accepted our troops to begin with because they were afraid of an
Iraqi invasion of their country.
Also note that he had attempted earlier to negotiate his withdrawl from Kuwait in exchange for an Israeli pullout from the Golan Heights and Southern
Lebanon. What precisely would be the point of that if Saddam meant to go to war with them anyway?
You can believe me on this- Saddam definately did NOT want Isreal coming off of the leash while there were half a million US troops there to help
Israel kick Arab butt. It was a diplomatic play. Saddam's intent from start to finish was to weasel his way out of the war and walk away from the
bargaining table with significant financial and territorial gains at best, and extremely impressive political victories at the least. He would have
negotiated long before the troop buildup began in all likelihood if Mubarak hadn't destroyed the deal that King Hussayn of Jordan and King Fahd of
Saudi Arabia were working out by condemning the invasion of Kuwait, after it had been made crystal clear to Mubarak it was unacceptible for Saddam to
be seen as bowing to Mubarak.
the US claimed to have such satellite photos but never ever produced them. Russian satellite pics showed no Iraqi troop concentrations near the Saudi
border.
I am aware of that controversy as well as the indication by civilian satellites that the estimate of Iraqi forces in Kuwait was probably grossly
overstated. You are missing the point though. The Saudis bought it. All that was required was for the Saudis to be afraid. If they had not been, they
would have reacted to Saddam's attacks on Israel in the intended manner- by siding with Arabs over the allies of Israel and refusing permission for
offensive action from their territory. Also by the way, photos, although quite possibly faked, were presented to King Fahd by Swartz-wartz and Cheney.
They were absolutely instrumental in forcing his agreement.
It is believed that the US created the story - just like many others, the most notorious one is the baby incubator story
Don't forget when they passed of the Kuwaiti Ambassador's daughter as a witness before congress. There was a lot of impressive lying going on before
that war. Feel free to stop missing the point whenever you like. How does the fact that you subscribe to a completely mistaken interpretation of
Saddam's intent in throwing a few Scuds at Israel? If anything, the idea that he was not massing troops against the Saudis would support the idea
that he was simply trying to pull Saudi support away from the coalition in order to make the offensive against him impossible?
Originally posted by The Vagabond
I was interested to hear your take on it and it is a nice but insufficient try at condoning that. It sure as hell wouldn't hurt to make the offer
public.
Every time you feel that my arguments are insufficient I beam with pride. And of course it wouldn't hurt to make that offer. Telling a bunch of dirt
poor goat herders who have no way of knowing jack about the WMD that we'll make them rich if they give us information won't generate ANY false leads
what so ever or waste any of the already insufficient resources at the disposal of our intelligence, now will it?
After all, we are concerned about the safety of US troops and the US public from WMD, aren't we?
Quite apparently not. Don't you watch the news? At any rate, IF we wanted to show any concern for safety or success, a great place to start would be
by not overburdening our intelligence services with false tips from people who have nothing to offer us, but REALLY want that money. Apparently thats
the one favor our government has done for the troops.
Besides, Saddams sons were betrayed by their own relatives, who they considered most loyal to them and who they turned to for refuge. They were
not captured because there were "republican guards" hanging around. After the fall of the regime, it was each on his own.
So what your saying is that you agree with me that offering a reward to the general public is a bad idea even when looking for people, because it was
not average people but insiders who betrayed Saddam's sons (by the way, nice job pulling only two cards out of the deck as if they were the only
case)? Seems like you're trying to have it both ways in a sense. Shouldn't we have targeted the reward offer at insiders instead of offering to the
general public and saved ourselves a lot of false leads? That's what your own example suggests, yet you are demanding that we should put up wanted
posters for the WMD or something to that affect?
Another thing to consider is the power of propaganda. Remember how the Japanese would throw themselves off cliffs because they were told that Marines
are canibals? Well people aren't against international law. Iraqs WMD on the other hand are. Does it really seem so far out that people associated
with the program would be reluctant to come forward because they had helped violate international law and weren't sure they could trust the US not to
punish them?
I already told you most of the deck of most wanted has been captured or killed, the top scientists imprisoned and lower ranking scientists intensively
questioned by the Iraqi Survey Group.
It would be nice if you'd at least say something relevant to what you quoted. If anything your point argues against the idea of putting out a general
reward offer if the majority of people in the know have already been captured or questioned. What you're basically saying is that all that's left is
a bunch of people who know nothing but will try to take a lucky guess to get rich, overwhelming our intelligence services for no good reason?
I don't know what exactly you think you're proving, but in all of your carrying on you haven't raised a single valid challenge to the point that
there is ample evidence that Saddam was covering up a covert weapons program. The best you've been able to do is inform us that we have many of the
people who know what happened in custody. They were captured, therefore they didn't have weapons? They aren't being allowed to hold press
conferences, therefore they must not have had weapons? What are you getting at- if you actually have a point?
This little Chewbacca Defense of yours is doing nothing but misinterpret facts which are completely consistent with my contention that Iraq was
maintaining small stores of precursors to biological weapons for use in reconstituting their arsenal at a later date, and that these materials were
moved to neighboring countries and/or destroyed hastily in the lead up to the invasion, in hopes that this frustration would lead to our withdrawl
before Saddam's capture and allow him to reemerge to regain power.
They all keep saying there were no WMD nor WMD programs, some do say that Saddam intended to reconstitute them after the sanctions were lifted.
Although in itself this is likely, the lifting of the sanctions wasn't considering US and UK veto. And again, it sure wouldn't hurt to get this out
to widest public.
How many times have I told you that the veto can only keep the sanctions in place ON PAPER? The UN has no teeth. The minute it became clear that Iraq
had complied, every nation in the world with the exception of the US and UK could have resumed trade with Iraq with impunity because France, Russia,
and China would not have stood for any action against violators.
You have even conceded to the likelihood of my point now, yet you cling to the fact that these scientists are denying it. Has it occurred that when
you have taken great pains to cover something up so that the invaders will eventually be forced to leave your country that the LAST THING you would
ever do is undermine your own efforts by telling them the truth?
I have considered it, have you? If you consider that, you should even conclude MORE that there is nothing. You know something, what I derive from your
view of Iraqis is that if they work for the regime they are demons from hell, 100% loyal and devoted to "the cause", as well as able to resist the
hardest torture or the most tempting offers of money.
Yes that's exactly what I said, verbatim.
Originally posted by The Vagabond
They are all demons from hell
I get the impression you're a bit slow on the uptake sometimes, so let me stress that I just made that quote up.
Perhaps they're not saying anything because there is nothing to say. They are screwed. What do you do when somebody is torturing you to make you give
them the location of something that you destroyed just before they arrived?
They weren't fiercely loyal- they were deathly afraid. They got into our hands and they had somebody new to be afraid of- and they almost certainly
told us what happened. But what then? Should we put a battered prisoner on tape like the North Vietnamese did and make him state what happened? Yeah,
that will work. Or maybe we should let him heal up, then arrange a press conference so that he can tell the news what he knows, because there is no
way that he'd seize the opportunity to screw us over by going into the press conference and returning to the old story that they had disarmed long
before we attacked. No, they'd NEVER do a thing like that, especially not when it would almost certainly bring about the end of the occupation, thus
necessitating the release of the POWs- including the speaker himself
It's a catch 22. plain and simple. There is nothing we can do to convincingly reveal what the evidence already suggests to those not blinded by
politics if it has been corroborated by the captured officials. With any logical thinking ability at all you should have realized this.
Similarly, Amer Al Saadi .... (pointless multi-paragraph biography excluded
Touching story to be sure, but in no way does it contradict anything above. Also there is a matter of point of view to consider. You can drone on and
on all you like about what a nice guy he is and how he would never have lied for Saddam, but as you said, he did not defect, and he followed orders by
building weapons for Saddam.
Has it occurred to you that a little something called the Fedayeen Saddam exists, and even if he was a great guy and was wanted to turn on Saddam he
must know full well that his wife and children would be targets if he did? It wouldn't be the first time that Saddam loyalists sought out and
attempted to kill traitors in Europe afterall.
I repeat one more time for emphasis:
You concede that it is likely that Saddam attempted to preserve the necessary materials to reconstitute his weapons program in violation of Resolution
687.
All evidence suggests that he did this successfully until 2003, at which point he was forced to destroy what he had left or hand it to his neighbors
for safe keeping, because he felt that if they were not found the US would be forced to leave and he would be able to return to power.
Those who do know have no motive what so ever to publically state the truth. To continue to lie is in their own best interest and quite possibly
necessary for the safety of their families, and even if they were inclined to turn coat, there is no believable manner in which their testimony could
be brought to light- it would simply be taken as propaganda made under durress.
I've laid out a simple, logical explanation. This can be opposed only by overlooking a great deal of evidence uncovered by UNSCOM and by placing
blind faith in the word of men who have every reason to lie. Why would you ever take such an irrational position? I would guess it to be that like
many of the wild eyed Saddam appologists that you simply hate Bush and will sell yourself to any devil available to formulate an attack on him.
Yet again I remind you that I hate him too, and I have plenty of rational reasons for it. I don't see the need to deny the obvious just to make him
look slightly worse.