posted on Jun, 16 2005 @ 07:19 AM
Posted by Al
any chance people will start using alternative methods by then?
Always a chance
. Problem is, "by then"
is far too late. Needs to already be
happening. Some small inroads have been made,
but the basic flaw is this bankrupt idea that we will somehow "devlop solutions" at the time when we run out
. Solutions need to be
implemented twenty or thirty years before that happens (2005/2008 would have been nice) .. we need the energy from the petrochem to devlop the
Posted by Al
any toher alternative mthods, or would a post like that belong somewhere else?
Probably. I'm still reading what's here, mixed with various searches to see the current state. Fuel cells require a lot of resources and energy to
develop. If research continues & we get some breakthroughs ... yah, they'll be a Good Thing. Otherwise ...
There won't be any single solution; bad mental box to premise yourself (ourselves) into.. It'll be a mix of three or five or more. Each will begin
to fill it's own niche instead of the ''petrochem for everything'' mentality of this past century.
Ecology begs multiple, non-monoculture solutions for greatest stability and ability to to withstand and adapt to change. Transportation one way (or
several), power grids another, and we need a replacement for fertilizers, too ... most of ours are developed form petrochem. Use that up & we don't
have fertilizer (ooops). What will we use to manufacture plastic from ...?
But, when will we run out is the topic ....
, we can only estimate. Too many factors are changing all at once to give an exact year ... and the ''crisis point'' may
be because something else failed (lack of agricultural land, potable water, sustainable harvest of food or trees from land & sea, etc.). We might
actually have recoverable, ''affordable'' petrochem in 2030, but be in the thro's of a plague or famine.
[edit on 16-6-2005 by datora]