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Originally posted by Astronomer68
I'm having a little trouble with those numbers. If the overall hurricane activity is going to be 170% of normal, then why isn't the likelihood of a hurricane hitting the U.S. going to be 1.7 times normal? Also, how can the overall likelihood of a hurricane hitting the U.S. be 77% when the addition of all the other likelihoods combined doesn't come out that high?
[edit on 2-6-2005 by Astronomer68]
Originally posted by Muaddib
There are many factors that will affect how a hurricane will behave, and in which direction it will move. You are not taking this into account, but meteorologists do. For example, since last year there has been a high pressure system that was the one which caused all those hurricanes to hit Florida last year. That system is in the same place as it was last year.
[edit on 3-6-2005 by Muaddib]