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Analysts Behind Iraq Intelligence Were Rewarded
By Walter Pincus
The Washington Post
Saturday 28 May 2005
Two Army analysts whose work has been cited as part of a key intelligence failure on Iraq - the claim that aluminum tubes sought by the Baghdad government were most likely meant for a nuclear weapons program rather than for rockets - have received job performance awards in each of the past three years, officials said.
The civilian analysts, former military men considered experts on foreign and US weaponry, work at the Army's National Ground Intelligence Center (NGIC), one of three US agencies singled out for particular criticism by President Bush's commission that investigated US intelligence.
The Army analysts concluded that it was highly unlikely that the tubes were for use in Iraq's rocket arsenal, a finding that bolstered a CIA contention that they were destined for nuclear centrifuges, which was in turn cited by the Bush administration as proof that Saddam Hussein was reconstituting Iraq's nuclear weapons program.
The problem, according to the commission, which cited the two analysts' work, is that they did not seek or obtain information available from the Energy Department and elsewhere showing that the tubes were indeed the type used for years as rocket-motor cases by Iraq's military. The panel said the finding represented a "serious lapse in analytic tradecraft" because the center's personnel "could and should have conducted a more exhaustive examination of the question."
Originally posted by benevolent tyrant
...and if the aluminum tubes had btyeen used for but they had thought that the tubes were usefull for other purposes and they had NOT reported their investigative findings then they would have been derelect in their duty. In intelligence, it seems, you can't win. You are damned if you report facts but make the wrong conclusions you lose. It's amazing what these guys are able to produce in the line of intelligence. It's like putting together a jig saw puzzle from a variety of different boxes that were all thrown together and the image that they are trying to put together has been thrown away. I salute these guys for the incredible work that they do. Their success' are not reported but their failures are touted as being indicative of all of their efforts.
The CIA, the panel said, contributed to misjudgments about the aluminum tubes. The commission found that some US intelligence analysts believed the Iraqis had re-engineered an Italian rocket called the Medusa, which also used the type of aluminum tubes that Iraq was seeking. But neither the Pentagon agencies nor the CIA - the most vociferous proponents of the idea that the tubes were destined for nuclear use - obtained the specifications for the Italian-made Medusa until well after the commencement of Operation Iraqi Freedom in March 2003.
Originally posted by cargo
Any error in the outcome deserves swift and merciless punishment.
Originally posted by cargo
But in the end, just who are they really serving?
Originally posted by xman_in_blackx
The general populace panics pretty easily, my friend. There are things in this world that they should never know about so the world can keep turning.
I think you would be surprised if you had one day in their shoes and could see what they see. Then maybe you would have trouble sleeping at night like they do knowing what they protect us from.
They never see one day of recognition unless they are taking one for the team and that recognition is ALL NEGATIVE. Most of you say that "Bushco" is pretty bad. The other "things" which lurk in the darkness make your so called "Bushco" look like humanitarians.
Originally posted by xman_in_blackx
I thank God that we have good people in those high stress jobs that do the work they do, day in and day out, without any accolades. They work in offices with no cell phones, no windows and must have regular polygraphs and random UA's. Their occupation has unwritten credos like "don't f*** up" and the pressure is immense.
The only benefit they ever see out of their work is a very modest salary, 401k, health insurance, and the continuation of our nation. Their families get to enjoy life as normal people who don't have to worry about death squads or car bombs.
Yeah, if they get it wrong, they have to live with that for the rest of their lives and hopefully, the next time, they will get it right. If you are too busy weeding out people who make mistakes, you never get anyone with experience in the position. We ALL make mistakes. Sometimes, they get it all correct and they still take one for the team because no one can ever know about it. The general populace panics pretty easily, my friend. There are things in this world that they should never know about so the world can keep turning.
Some of those people in the IC are the best people you would ever have the privilage of knowing. They know what is at stake. They know lives are on the line. They do the job for YOU! They don't do the work for the money, that is for sure. They can't even tell their family about any of the work they do so that they might understand why they are away from home a lot, or moody, or angry at times.
I think you would be surprised if you had one day in their shoes and could see what they see. Then maybe you would have trouble sleeping at night like they do knowing what they protect us from.
They never see one day of recognition unless they are taking one for the team and that recognition is ALL NEGATIVE. Most of you say that "Bushco" is pretty bad. The other "things" which lurk in the darkness make your so called "Bushco" look like humanitarians.
[edit on 29-5-2005 by xman_in_blackx]
the intelligence community does not make policy. They only report the facts and their "take". It's up to the politicians and policymakers to take that info, the evaluation and do with it as they may. The politicians know the risks of using "good intell" or "bad intell". Their are risks that the policymakers have to weigh if they delay moving on "bad intell" when the consequences could be dire. Don't shoot the messenger.