Subs vs Carriers, a warning., page 1
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Topic started on 24-5-2005 @ 09:11 PM by psteel
China's shallow threat
Sunday, May 22, 2005
WASHINGTON -- Writing in the June issue of The Atlantic Monthly, Robert Kaplan anticipates a new war -- hot or cold -- with the People's Republic of China. The article, "How We Would Fight China," has become a burning topic for discussion from the work water cooler to Washington's dinner tables.

It immediately becomes apparent that President Bush and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld have been given intelligence information that is so wrong as to be critically dangerous to our future security.

Three years ago, the president said China was on a rising path. "America welcomes the emergence of a strong and peaceful and prosperous China," he said.

The words "strong and peaceful" are key. During the past three years, China has provided, almost daily, evidence that it is strong but also aggressive.

Our defense strategists' warnings about the growth of China's fleet of 62 diesel- or electric-powered submarines have been received with an alarming lack of concern. So much so that our Navy's submarine base at Groton, Conn., once known as "the submarine capital of the world," is high on the list of bases to be closed. This also will put the Electric Boat Co. in jeopardy. It once manufactured some of America's best and most innovative undersea craft.

Enter Russia

While the U.S. military is focused on Central Asia and the Middle East, China has developed its secret weapons -- purchasing eight new Kilo-class diesel submarines for $1.6 billion from Russia. China also has upgraded its home-manufactured sub fleet and has made the strategies of undersea warfare the backbone of its offensive battle plans.

America's needs were shaped by the Cold War and the potential enemy was Russia. We developed nuclear-powered submarines that were able to roam the deep oceans -- submerged and nearly undetectable. Other navies -- the Chinese, Iranian, North Korean and more -- have all developed small, silent, diesel-powered submarines able to operate and strike in shallow coastal waters.

The United States has none.

Recognizing its weakness -- and in an attempt to counteract lack of foresight -- the U.S. Navy has rented a Swedish navy diesel submarine for $17.5 million. It comes with crew and officers for 160 days to help train our anti-submarine warfare (ASW) ships and crews.

But it's not because of the China threat. Since the mid-1990s, the U.S. Navy has held exercises with friendly nations that use diesel submarines. Our Navy says that these experiences have "often proved humbling."

German- and Australian-built subs managed to penetrate U.S. battle group defenses and simulate attacks on surface ships (including sinking aircraft carriers) without being detected.

In 2002, in the Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) exercise -- our Navy with those of South Korea, Canada, Japan, Chile, Peru and Australia -- one of the Australian diesel-electric subs was able to score multiple "kills" against two Los Angeles-class, nuclear-powered attack submarines.

Said Rear Admiral Malcolm Fages, one of our submariners: The marriage of air independent, nonnuclear submarines with over-the-horizon fire, Harpoon-style anti-ship missiles and high-endurance homing torpedoes means that traditional ASW approaches, employing radar flooding and speed, are not likely to be successful against this threat."

'Bait' subs

The Chinese have a number of strategies. One, openly discussed, is to use one or more of their older submarines as bait. A U.S. submarine then could be lured to reveal its position and be hit by a lurking Kilo armed with the Russian Skaval torpedo.

According to a Chinese magazine article, Skavals travel in excess of 200 knots. Skavals already are installed on China's submarines, in addition to supersonic land- and ship-attack missiles that can be fired while the ship is submerged.

In discussing tactics for the potential invasion of Taiwan, China's navy planners have adopted the Russian tradition --- a carrier group can be destroyed with multiwave saturation attacks using up to 100 anti-ship cruise missiles launched in a single attack. The Chinese recall that in World War II, 17 aircraft carriers were destroyed by submarines; they know these remain the economical answer to the threat of the U.S. Navy.

China is not the first country to challenge our sea supremacy with submarines. The Soviet Union and Germany tried and failed. But while many of our ships are active in the Persian Gulf and Indian Ocean, we have to be very sensitive to sea control. If and when there is a problem with China and its submarine fleet moves from a concern to a threat, the U.S. Navy will have to do the heavy lifting.

And, as of now, they have to rely on the Chileans, Australians and Swedes to show them how.


pittsburghlive.com...


reply posted on 25-5-2005 @ 07:05 AM by orangetom1999
intresting premise on psteels post.

Something further for many of you to consider beyond the mere weaponry.
China has been granted huge loans to industrialize..by western nations. With these loans comes huge transfers of certain technologies. The Chinese are hungry for more..of all kinds and will and have used thier financial connections to secure more technologies of all types...restricted and non restricted. What do you folks think is implied in most favored nation trading status. Like the Soviets ...what they cannot get they will steal and copy...if possible. My point is that these loan connections secure certain political positions for the Chinese. Positions not made clear to the public of all nations by public education or the media who is "looking out for you!
It is the economic influence of Western nations which has put China in this position.

Agree with edsingers post on why we train on diesel boats. The last American diesel boat was retired over 15 years ago. So too have retired the experienced sailors who have the practical on the job knowlege of diesel boats. Classroom training is there..but real on the job experience is not. Those of us who have operated in any field of endevour know the difference between classroom senerios and actual on the job problems.
No experienced sailor takes for granted the ability of any opponent...to do so is suicide.
One more thing about the US Navy. The turnover rate of personel retiring , getting transfered, or just plain getting out after their first tours is huge. This represents a huge loss of experienced personel. I did not know it was that huge until I worked on Aircraft Carriers and got a sense of how many new people had to be qualified from scratch.
With this in mind..it is not difficult to see how people with diesel experience ..hands on ..is a rare commodity in the US Navy. This is why they train...constantly.
Remember..we are not just talking about a diesel boat per se...we are talking about a total weapons platform. Diesel boats with modern weaponry , sonar, and advanced maneuvering/training is not a thing for any experienced sailor to turn their nose up at. Sonar , training , and weapons have made quantum leaps in the last 40 years. The Flying Tigers in China with a overall inferior airplane is a textbook example.

Also Intresting question posted by ulshadow...very intresting.I believe you have answered your own question olde man...well done. The rest I will leave to your imagination.

Thanks,
Orangetom


reply posted on 25-5-2005 @ 08:38 AM by shadarlocoth
I have 1 word for you intersepter torpedo's be easy enough to make we have the tech look at sea ram just adapt it to a torpedo. Make a small light and fast torpedo with minimal warhead. example - contact on sonar 1400m we got a fish running hot and inbound. Ploting fireing salution........ Under Sea Ram ready sir. Fire tubes 1 and 6.... THuwoshhh... Torpedo has been intersepted sir. Plot firing salution on the attacking boat. open outer doors... place safty's at 800m... Fire tube 2... 2 min later BANG... enemy sub down...

Just make sure the intersepters have normal counter masures built into them to try to get the torpedo to track on the intersepter. Even a small explosion in close prosimity to a torpedo would damage/disable it cripling the guide's our control systems. Torpedo's are fast and noisie.

What they need is duel speed torpedo's you fire it and it runs slow and quit then when it lock's on the target and closes the gap then it flips up to full power. Closing the last few 100m.

Another intresting idea would be under sea fighter type craft. That could go down atleast 800m Have then run off fuel cells and have a range of atleast 250miles and carry 2-4 torpedo's and 2-6 interspetor torpedo's. With sprint speeds similar to torpedo's and cruse speeds like normal sub's

retro fit a boomer sub to act as a carrier. So mother ship comes in and drops off its 4-6 figher subs. The fighters stalk in on the target fleet. They plot there targets then all at once fire all there torpedo's and run like hell. If they make it back to the mother ship reload and refuel them rinse repeat tell the target fleet is gone. The pricie old boomer sub stays out of harms way and the cheep fighters go in and do the dirty work. And if the fleet did not have the interseptor torpedo's or very good counter masures then. At least 8-24 ships would go down with each wave of attacks.


reply posted on 25-5-2005 @ 10:52 AM by Pyros
The US Navy does not have "problems" with DE boats.

Fore decades, the US Sub fleet was calibrated to fight fast Soviet nuke boats that were easy to track.

The US Sub fleet now is in the process of "recalibrating" for warfare against quieter (and slower, less well armed, and shorter-legged) DE boats to be used in littoral situations.

That does not imply that the US Sub fleet (or Brit Fleet for that matter) has litter or no capability to deal with Kilos and the like. And again, ASW does not solely comprise sub-on-sub scenarios. Ther are other factors involved, including airpower (huge factor) and surface power (a factor) and even the availability and use of "national assets" (huge capability that people outside the community are clueless about). If you think the US Navy would just send 2-3 SSNs into the Taiwan Straight without any support with orders to sink all CHICOM subs, you are fooling yourself.

We lease and practice against DE boats from other nations because practice makes perfect. Pro golfers spend hours at the range, and so to US Navy sub drivers. The US Navy does not use DE boats for various reasons, one of which is that they are more dangerous to operate than nuke. I know this to be true, because I was a first-hand witness when the last US Navy DE boat caught fire and almost sank in the mid-Atlantic when seawater got into the battery compartment.

And BHR, instead of changing the subject to a political bashing session more appropriate to another forum, why don't you stick to the subject of naval submarine warfare?

Gooseuk, I can guarentee there are no US sub drivers who are "afraid" of CHICOM DE boats, that is for sure. If memory serves me right, the CHICOMs recently lost one other their DE boats, and they didn't even know it was dead until some peasant fisherman ran across it's periscope sticking out of the water, as it floated DIW just under the surface. The entire crew was killed due to faulty equipment. Yeah, we are really afraid...........

We are glad the Russians, for the most part, are out of the business. And we don't have to worry about our NATO friends. That leaves China, Iran, NK and the likes. While it is wise to continue to "sharpen our swords", we certainly don't fear engaements with those nations with their current capabilities.

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