posted on Sep, 10 2015 @ 09:07 PM
a reply to:
MystikMushroom
The same could have been argued for fission a half century ago. There are always drawbacks, no matter how good some things look on paper. In some
ways, it'd be no more disruptive than distributed solar and Tesla's home battery technology.
The drawbacks I can see are:
1: Cost. No matter how promising these technologies are, at the end of the day you're still talking about an extremely high-precision piece of
high-energy physics apparatus. The reactors themselves will likely cost enough to make them unrealistic for all but the wealthiest of nations and
communities.
2: Fuel, these things still consume fuel, and they'll consume relatively large amounts of fuels that we currently have zero infrastructure for
producing. If I'm a big oil company, I have a long lead time to develop heavy water/lithium harvesting technologies.
3: Public opinion. In the 1950s, nobody could have imagined that the immense promise of fission power would lead to nothing but a brief wave of
1st-generation reactor construction followed by a huge Luddite backlash that would make it all but impossible to build new reactors after 1970 or
so.
We had world-disrupting reactor technologies 40 years ago in the CANDU and AGR reactor designs, which were relatively inexpensive to build and fuel
while being all but impervious to meltdowns, and nothing came of that promise. We have them today in distributed wind/solar with home batteries, and
I'm still doubtful that anything will come of it.
Economic realities and the court of public opinion can quash good ideas with a brutal efficiency that the oil companies, coal companies, etc can only
dream of.