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NEWS: Atlantic Primed For Heavy Storms.

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posted on May, 14 2005 @ 03:54 PM
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With the onset of the 2005 hurricane season little more than two weeks away, meteorologists Friday warned that conditions in the Atlantic again were ripe for spawning tropical storms that could slam into Florida or other parts of the Eastern U.S. or Gulf Coast with potentially devastating and deadly consequences.
 



story.news.yahoo.com
Last season, Florida was hit by four hurricanes in six weeks, an unprecedented succession of natural disasters in the state that was blamed for 123 deaths and more than $42 billion in property damage.

Although predicting precisely where and when storms will make landfall is impossible, forecasters attending Florida's 19th annual Governor's Hurricane Conference agreed that the Atlantic Ocean was in the throes of an active period that could last two decades or more, and that the resulting increase in the number of tropical storms heightened the chance of one or more reaching the United States.

"We're in a new era now, and we're going to see a lot more major storms," said William Gray, a professor in Colorado State University's department of atmospheric science, who issues a much-awaited yearly prediction of hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin.

The most recent calculations by Gray and his research associate Philip J. Klotzbach, presented on the final day of the conference, call for a 73% chance that a major hurricane — defined as one carrying sustained winds of 111 mph or more — will hit the U.S. coast between June 1 and November 30.

There was a 53% chance of a major hurricane making landfall this year in the Florida peninsula, they said, and a 41% likelihood of one coming ashore somewhere along the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle to Texas.

"Right now, the Atlantic looks very favorable for storms," Klotzbach told the conference. "The sea surface temperatures are incredibly warm, much warmer than normal, and the sea-level pressures have been quite low."

Max Mayfield — director of the National Hurricane Center — alerted the 2,900 government officials, emergency responders, representatives of private charities and others attending the weeklong event that they might be in for another very busy hurricane season.

"I can tell you that we have had more tropical storms, and more hurricanes, since 1995 than any other 10-consecutive-year period on record," Mayfield said Wednesday. "So folks, we're in this active period, like it or not."

Gray explained that the rising salinity of a vast stretch of the Atlantic Ocean, caused by evaporation, was making a wide current flow north, pulling warmer water from the South Atlantic and tropics. The added heat carried by that water, he said, is excellent for helping spawn hurricanes.




Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


Last year was bad. Could this year be worse? What do you think the increase is from? Is it the ozone layer or El Nino? What is it from?




posted on May, 14 2005 @ 04:12 PM
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i really hope it isn't worse than last year. i live in south florida and went through two last year, wasn't fun at all. i've read a large reason we got hit so bad last year is a large front that's been sitting over the south atlantic that pushed storms that would normally pass us right into us.



posted on May, 14 2005 @ 04:20 PM
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The reason why this year is going to be almost a repeat from last year is because the strong high-pressure ridge, which allowed for all those tropical storms to become hurricanes and were steered right into Florida and the southern states, is still in the same area.

Here is a link where I gave more information about this topic.

Another Possible Above Normal Hurricane Season.

[edit on 14-5-2005 by Muaddib]



posted on May, 14 2005 @ 04:32 PM
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This is not good news.

Lets hope they are wrong for once We sure do not need a repeat of last year. As I recall one storm hit Florida twice before heading back out over the Atlantic. I forget the name of the storm but it entered around Miami then went west over Florida into the Gulf and turned North and re-entered Northern Florida heading East towards GA and the Atlantic again.



posted on May, 14 2005 @ 04:36 PM
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The following is an excerpt from the thread i gave about this topic back in February this year.


The same strong high-pressure ridge which prevented hurricanes to turn north in the Atlantic and which steered 4 hurricanes towards South Florida last year, is still at the same area as it was last year, and it's pattern is very similar as it was last year. This means that we can expect another above average hurricane season this year. If the Bermuda High which took it's name because it centers over the small island of Bermuda, does not break up in the next few months, Florida could experience another intense hurricane season.


And this is part of what the experts were saying.


"Right now, the pattern is very similar to what we had last year," hurricane specialist Stacy Stewart of the National Hurricane Center said Tuesday. "So people should plan on this being another above-average season."


Excerpted from.
www.sun-sentinel.com...

[edit on 14-5-2005 by Muaddib]



posted on May, 14 2005 @ 05:07 PM
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Muaddib this is a new story about the topic please stop giving links to your site. If a mod feels the artical is to close they will delete it. Thank you



posted on May, 14 2005 @ 05:20 PM
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Very scary. I got hit by 3 out of the 4 in Florida last year, I don't want to think about it if this year will be the same or worse. Could this have something to do with the Atlantic current stopping? Could this be the start of a new ice age?



posted on May, 14 2005 @ 05:47 PM
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original submitted by digitalassassin
Muaddib this is a new story about the topic please stop giving links to your site. If a mod feels the artical is to close they will delete it. Thank you


What in the world are you talking about?....

First off the link i gave is a thread which I posted in these same forums back in February...a link with more information on this topic...it is not my site....the first link is an ATSNN link...the second was a link to the newstory which has everything to do with this topic...none of those links are from my site as you claim....

And what in the world are you trying to say with the following comment.

If a mod feels the artical is to close they will delete it. Thank you
????

BTW i was submitting more information since the original poster was asking the reason for the above average hurricane season....

I assume it is you, the one who submitted the story, because you are taking the additional information i provided too personal, as if i was trying to take credit for your submission.... Don't worry. If you want I'll make a disclaimer.


----Disclaimer: All credit from this original news story goes to the original poster in this thread. Any additional links, and information does not take any credits away from the orginal poster.-----


There, feel better now? back to the topic.


[edit on 14-5-2005 by Muaddib]



posted on May, 14 2005 @ 06:07 PM
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I apologize. I thought you were doing what has been done to me 9,000 other times. I am sure it has happened to you before. Sorry



posted on May, 14 2005 @ 06:52 PM
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originally submitted by digitalassassin
I apologize. I thought you were doing what has been done to me 9,000 other times. I am sure it has happened to you before. Sorry


Apology accepted. But nothing like what you are saying has happened to me, some members have given more information backing information I have provided, which is what I did here too.

Some people even present evidence which shows a different story of what i original provided, but I have never seen anyone trying to take credit from any news stories submitted by me.

anyways, back to the story. It does seem that we are going to have another above average hurricane season. I would recommend that people in the south, and more so in South FLorida get prepared for this season as if what happened in the last season were going to happen again.

It is better to be prepared than being caught unprepared.



posted on May, 15 2005 @ 12:47 PM
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I Live in Connecticut, but i have family and friends in the South. I know last year was bad and i know this year could be worse. But what are the chances of Hurricanes coming more North? Last time i remember one was in like 1994-95. It was hurricane Bob, when ever that was. But by the time it got here it was really nothing more than a strong wind storm. I was alive during Hurricane Gloria back in the 80's that was the strongest i lived though. Why do not many Hurricanes make it up to Connecticut? Will there be one this year?



posted on May, 16 2005 @ 09:21 AM
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It looks like it will be a busy hurricane season, hopefully all forecasters are wrong, but the State of Florida is doing more than it's part in making people aware and trying to get them to prepare.

June 1 - June 12th, NO taxes on hurricane supplies in the state of Florida:
items such as batteries, flashlights, tarps, even generators...no taxes. buy early, save some money







 
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