posted on Apr, 16 2005 @ 04:40 AM
For me choice 1 would be the best. I doubt US and China will nuke each other and risking everything over Taiwan + a war with china, which might
be a bit challenging will boom our economy, like what happen in WWII.
Wars are expensive with little econmic gain If I recall correctly taxs soared during WW2 to pay for the war effort.
One of the most important aspect of any Taiwan - China conflict is the role of the US allies will they allow the use of US bases for the war?
Without nukes I think the US and any allies that take part would face great diffculties in winning the war.
I base this point of view on the following,
Any form of landings on mainland China is out of the question.
Due to the sheer size of China American firepower couldnt be brought to bear across the entire front.
China is already devloping GM crops to reduce the need for food imports.
China still relys imports for Iron ore and other natuarl resouces which bring us to the logical option of a econmic blockade while not impossable
given the sheer size of Chinas coast line it would require a large air/naval force.
Perhaps one overlooked fact is the fact that most computer parts are made in Tawian which means any China - US war could create a shortage of Computer